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Mish - Global Economic Analysis
GM Says “Market is Definitely Slowing” Lowers Outlook for Vehicle Sales
Reuters reports GM Lowers Outlook for U.S. 2017 New Vehicle Sales, but not by enough in my estimation. General Motors Co now expects U.S. new vehicle sales in 2017 will be in the “low 17 million” unit range, reflecting a widespread expectation that the industry is headed for a moderate downturn, a top executive said on Monday. “The market is definitely slowing … it’s something we are going to monitor month to month,” Chief Financial Officer Chuck Stevens told analysts on a conference call. “Pri
Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Bonds and Related Indicators
By Gary TanashianExcerpted from the June 25 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, which also included comprehensive analysis of US and global stock markets, commodities, precious metals and stock charts galore (with the Market Internals segment, in particular, having evolved into what I find to be a must-have guide).TLT is now a buck from its target of 129. Tell me, where is all that mania about rising interest rates and the likes of the “R.I.P. Bond Bull Market” headlines (Bloomberg called the
Monday, June 26, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Bond Market Paralysis: What Happens When Central Banks Own the Market? Mish’s Sure-Fire Proposal
Here’s the question of the day: What happens when central banks own the market? The answer comes from Asia where Japan’s Government Bond Market Grinds to a Halt and the yield on 10-year Japanese bonds did not move for seven days. Yields on newly issued 10-year Japanese government bonds remained flat for seven straight sessions through Friday as the Bank of Japan continued its efforts to keep long-term interest rates around zero. The 10-year JGB yield again closed at 0.055%, where it has been s
Monday, June 26, 2017
Jesse - Le Cafe Américain
Seymour Hersh: Trump's Red Line
The intelligence made clear that a Syrian Air Force SU-24 fighter bomber had used a conventional weapon to hit its target: There had been no chemical warhead. And yet it was impossible for the experts to persuade the president of this once he had made up his mind. “The president saw the photographs of poisoned little girls and said it was an Assad atrocity,” the senior adviser said. “It’s typical of human nature. You jump to the conclusion you want. Intelligence analysts do not argue with a pr
Sunday, June 25, 2017
John Butler - Goldmoney
Palladium to underperform the PM complex
In recent weeks palladium prices have soared to levels only rarely seen. This is all the more impressive in that precious metals prices more generally have moved sideways, including palladium’s big sister platinum. There are fundamental explanations offered but we do not believe these justify sustained high prices. More probably, non-physical speculative traders have chased upward momentum of late, leaving palladium exposed to highly asymmetric downside in the event these traders choose to exit.
Sunday, June 25, 2017
Jason Hamlin - Gold Stock Bull
Cryptocurrency Review: India Legalizes Bitcoin, Ethereum Flash Crash, ICO Update
There were plenty of major happenings in the crypto world this week, so let’s dive in… This week it was announced by the Unicode Consortium, that the 10.0 version of the Unicode Standard will include a Bitcoin symbol. According to an article in The Verge online magazine, the timely addition won’t appear as a traditional bubble-like emoji, but rather a regular Unicode character, the currency’s B-like symbol. It said, “Unicode 10.0 is d
Friday, June 23, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Hedgers Net Short the Euro, US Market Rotates; 2 Horsemen Set to Ride?
By Gary TanashianIn line with our bullish forward view on USD, behold the very bearish state of the Commercial Hedger positions in the Euro (courtesy of Sentimentrader). Recent historical data speaks for itself. It appears a decline in the Euro is imminent (which, in market terms means ‘relax, it could be a while yet’ ).The next question is, when Uncle Buck rides will he ride alone or will he have the other rider at his side? The 2 Horsemen would be the bringers of pain in the form of liquidity
Friday, June 23, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Citizens Will Soon Turn their Rage Towards Central Bankers
Via Email, I received an interesting article from Albert Edwards at Societe Generale. Edwards claims citizens will soon turn their rage towards Central Bankers. In an age of “radical uncertainty” how long will it be before angry citizens tire of blaming an impotent political system for their ills and turn on the main culprits for their poverty – unelected and virtually unaccountable central bankers? I expect central bank independence will be (and should be) the next casualty of the current poli
Friday, June 23, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Crude Oil, Fresh Lows and Support Zone
On Wednesday, the black gold moved lower once again after government data showed an increase in crude oil production, which offset a decline in crude oil and gasoline inventories. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude hit a fresh 2017 low. What’s next for the commodity? Crude Oil’s Technical Picture Let’s take a closer look at the charts and find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). Yesterday, we wrote: (…) crude oil extended losses and hit a fresh 2017 low of $42.94. Thanks
Thursday, June 22, 2017
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
Update:Project $1550 Gold Hints a Bottom is Near (But We're Nervous)
$1247 gets you $1220, but above  $1214 and the $1550 target is still in play via Soren K. Group for Marketslant It should be noted that we are concerned that Gold under $1247 gets us to $1220. But the wave count we have been following says that a sell-off above $1214 still keep it intact. It is just hard for us to buy dips on short term trades. We'd rather buy a bounce off the lows. But as long as Gold remains above $1214 both the wave  count and our own feel corroborate each  other. It is just
Wednesday, June 21, 2017
Sprott Money
The End of Markets, Part I - Jeff Nielson
Readers in the Alternative Media may have noticed a distinct drop-off in the number of articles that are published on “the gold market” or “the silver market”. This is true even with respect to precious metals commentators. There is a very good reason for this. We no longer have markets. To prove this assertion, as always, the place to start is definition of terms. What is a market? There are a number of ingredients in any definition. However, first and foremost, a market is a forum for human
Wednesday, June 21, 2017
USA GOLD - USA Gold
BOJ’s Kuroda: need to stick with easing, watch price trend
Reuters/Stanley White/06-21-17 Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said maintaining the current easy monetary conditions is appropriate because prices are lagging improvements in the economy and remain distant from the central bank’s inflation target. …”Our economy is on firmer footing, but we are still distant from our 2 percent inflation target,” Kuroda said. “It is appropriate to keep monetary conditions easy with our current market operations framework.”
Wednesday, June 21, 2017
Chris Vermeulen - GoldandOilGuy
Global Blast-Off Trade Setup
Our analysis of the global markets and metals markets are prompting us to issue a warning that may not shock a number of our followers – but may surprise others. We use a number of custom indicators, custom indexes and other specialized features to try to keep our valued members aware of moves before they happen at ActiveTradingPartners.com. You may recall our recent article warning of a VIX spike between June 9th and June 13th in correlation with a US market correction (NASDAQ). We nailed this
Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Price Hits New 1-Month Low as 'Hawkish' Fed Considers Higher Inflation Target
GOLD PRICES popped $5 higher Tuesday lunchtime in London, rallying from new 1-month lows beneath $1243 per ounce hit after what pundits and analysts took to be "hawkish" comments on interest rates from a senior US Federal Reserve official. Having raised rates to a ceiling of 1.25% last week, "This is actually a pretty good place to be," said New York Fed chief William Dudley late Monday. "We are
Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Inflation is no longer in stealth mode
IHS Markit index shows UK households pessimistic about finances for 2017-208 UK household finances remain under intense pressure from rising living costs 58 percent of respondents expected higher interest rates in 12 months time Inflation in the United Kingdom currently at near four-year high Prices up prices by 2.9pc year-on-year, biggest annual increase since June 2013 In May consumer spending in the UK fell for the first time in almost four years By a continuing process of inflation, governm
Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Investigating Amazon’s Impact on Retail Sales Growth
The latest retail sales report from the Census Department offers a fascinating look at Amazon’s impact on retailers if you dive into the details. Retail sales are off to a poor start in the second quarter. April plus May growth is only up 1% in total, about 0.6% annualized. Areas highlighted in yellow with blue boxes show retail categories where Amazon has had a heavy impact. Sales from March through May of 2017 are up 4.4% vs. the same period a year ago but electronics, sporting goods, depart
Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
“Major Deflationary Disruption” Says Cramer About Amazon Purchase of Whole Foods
Amazon bought Whole Foods today. Widespread carnage in the grocery stock prices followed. Jim Cramer called it a major deflationary disruption saying stores cannot compete. “If I was the Federal Reserve, I would have a meeting on this. Inflation is going to go down…. You have to rethink food … Costco knows how to compete. It will be in there tooth and nail with toilet paper and paper towels. … But Kroger, a crisis in Cincinnati, crisis.” “Major Disruption of Society” SupplyChain247 reports A
Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
The Most PiMBEEB Transaction Of All-Time
Monday mornings can be daunting, in processing the massive amount of PiMBEEB – or Precious Metal bullish, everything-else-bearish – news since my last publication, 72 hours earlier.  This, amidst a world where government-commandeered “markets” signal nothing but the madness they have created, and the carnage that must surely ensue – as if generational economic weakness; the highest-ever debt load; the largest-ever industrial oversupply; the lowest-ever cumulative purchasing power; and the highes
Monday, June 19, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Crude Oil Verifies Breakdown – Or Is It Something More?
On Friday, the black gold gained 1.15% and climbed to the previously-broken lower borer of the trend channel. Is this a verification of the earlier breakdown or something more? Crude Oil’s Technical Picture Let’s take a closer look at the charts and find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). From today’s point of view, we see that crude oil moved little higher on Friday, which resulted in a climb to the previously-broken lower border of the red declining trend channel. What does
Monday, June 19, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Bonds and Related Indicators (and more macro discussion)
By Gary TanashianThe target for TLT continues to be around 129. Treasury bonds are in bull trends (remember back a few months ago to all the bond hatred in the media). How does an eventual decline in bonds square with what we just noted above regarding Q4 2008? [work done in the preceding Precious Metals segment] Treasury bonds were a wonderfully bullish asset during Armageddon ’08 and who’s to say that an upside blow off may not be coming sooner rather than later amid massively over bullish sen
Monday, June 19, 2017
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