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Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,732,
EUR 1,316.51, and GBP 1,093.09 per ounce.
Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,716, EUR 1,320.51, and GBP
1,094.74 per ounce.
 
Gold fell $23.50 to as low as $1,705.80/oz by about 1200 GMT, but then rose strongly for most of
the trading session and closed near high of $1729.91/oz
- for a loss of just 0.05%. Gold ticked higher in Asian trade touching
$1,735.18/oz and is marginally lower in Europe.
Gold testing support at $1,700/oz
and then the sharp turn around seen yesterday is indicative of a market that
is consolidating and soon to go higher. The price action seen in the gold
mining shares, with both the XAU and HUI indices surging nearly 3% on the
day, is also indicative of a market that wants to go higher.
Gold is 0.7% higher for the week and a higher weekly
close would be the first higher weekly close after 2 weeks of falls. This
would be important technically and would embolden traders to again go long
gold more aggressively.
It may also reassure western physical buyers who have
been dormant in recent days with experience and reports of subdued physical
demand in the US and EU.
Euro gold fell to about €1,312.50/oz prior to recouping some of its losses but the euro has
fallen 2% against gold so far this week.
Sterling has performed well this week and is flat in
gold terms and the good retails sales data today saw sterling rise a further
few pounds against gold.
Gold in Major Currencies in February - Reuters Global
Gold Forum
The Japanese yen has come under pressure this week and
has fallen 2.6% against gold due to continuing ultra loose
monetary policies and yen debasement.
Gold continues to consolidate in most currencies after
the strong gains of January. Dollar gold’s trading range is $1,700/oz to $1,763/oz. Gold is just 4% from resistance at the
psychological $1,800/oz level and a move above
$1,763/oz or higher weekly close this week should
see us challenge that level.
The fundamentals of the gold market remain sound as
ever what with sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone and the risk of
sovereign debt crisis in other major economies and oil prices over $102 a
barrel on concerns of conflict between Israel and Iran. All of this suggests
that stagflation could soon confront investors.
A regional war looks increasingly likely in this regard
and should result in a period of “risk off” as seen in months
prior to the war with Iraq in 2003 – which saw equities fall and oil
and gold rise.
Silver slipped over 2% to as low as $32.643 before it
also stormed back higher in New York and ended near its late session high of
$33.548 with a gain of 0.24%.
Silver too has all the technical hallmarks of a market
that wants to go higher and a breach of $35/oz
could quickly see silver move to $40/oz or $45/oz.
OTHER NEWS
(Reuters Global Gold Forum) -- Singapore will exempt
investment-grade gold and other precious metals from a seven percent goods
and services tax to spur the development of gold trading, Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam said on
Friday.
(Bloomberg) -- LME Says Silver OTC Clearing Service
Will Start on April 2
The London Metal Exchange said the introduction of of its over-the-counter silver clearing service with LCH.Clearnet Ltd. will be April 2. The LME commented in
an e-mail to exchange members today.
(Bloomberg) -- World’s Biggest Platinum Mine
Under Police Control After Riots
Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd. said police are
monitoring the world’s biggest platinum mine near Rustenburg, South
Africa after violent demonstrations yesterday.
A “big police presence” has replaced troops
that were sent to the mine, also known as Impala, yesterday to restore calm,
he said. Today about 500 miners and unemployed people protested outside the
mine, Sydwell Dokolwana,
the National Union of Mineworkers’ regional secretary in Rustenburg,
said. Demonstrators yesterday killed a miner who was on his way to work, he
said in a phone interview.
“The situation was very, very tense in the
morning,” Dokolwana said. “Because of
the presence of police for now there are no road blockages. People are just
singing and carrying sticks and pangas,” Dokolwana said, referring to heavy, machete-like knives
usually used to clear vegetation.
Impala fired 17,200 workers at the mine, which accounts
for about 12 percent of global production of platinum, two weeks ago after an
illegal strike began. By Feb. 14 the disruption had delayed output of 60,000
ounces of the metal worth about 1.2 billion rand ($154 million),
Impala’s Chief Executive Officer, David Brown, said yesterday.
Impala shares rose 2.51 rand, or 1.6 percent, to 160.70
rand as of 10:11 a.m. in Johannesburg after declining 4 percent yesterday.
The price of platinum rose 0.9 percent to $1,639.75 an ounce as of 8:12 a.m.
in London.
The union will meet Impala to try and resolve the
situation at 4:30 p.m. local time in Johannesburg today, Dokolwana
said. The protests were sparked by rivalry between the National Union of
Mineworkers, recognized by Impala as the main labor group at the operation,
and the Association of Mineworkers & Construction Union, which is trying
to gain members, Brown said.
The mine was “basically quiet” overnight
and this morning, the company said in an e-mailed response to questions
today.
For breaking news and commentary on financial markets
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NEWS
(Bloomberg)
Gold
Traders/ Analysts Get More Bullish as Billionaire Paulson Says Buy
(Reuters)
Gold up on
Greece bailout hopes; heads for weekly gain
(Bloomberg via Business Week)
Gold Set for
Weekly Gain as Greece Bailout Optimism Curbs Dollar
(FT)
China
Central Bank in Gold Buying Push
COMMENTARY
(FT)
John Lee: China’s Gold Rush Reflects a Loss of
Faith in the Growth Miracle
(Zero Hedge)
Credit Suisse: "Probability Of The Largest
Disorderly Default Loss In History On March 20 Has Increased"
(GATA)
Another
Misplaced Sneer About Gold from The Wall Street Journal
(SilverSeek)
Ted Butler: Short position in SLV has fallen
substantially
(Mineweb)
Gold Is Money In Extremis - Just Ask Iran
Mark
O’Byrne
Goldcore
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