Chart usGOLD   Chart usSILVER  
 
Food for thought
There is no limit how much Governments will Spend when it’s not their money
Charleston Voice  
Search for :
LATEST NEWS  :
MINING STOCKS  :
Subscribe
Write Us
Add to Google
Search on Ebay :
PRECIOUS METALS (US $)
Gold 1330.00-16.08
Silver 20.74-0.46
Platinum 1412.504.50
Palladium 687.30-2.80
WORLD MARKETS
DOWJONES 15112-203
NASDAQ 3443-39
NIKKEI 13015-231
ASX 4744-98
CAC 40 3780-60
DAX 8065-132
HUI 246-8
XAU 1030
CURRENCIES (€)
AUS $ 1.4351
CAN $ 1.3656
US $ 1.3241
GBP (£) 0.8576
Sw Fr 1.2332
YEN 129.6200
CURRENCIES ($)
AUS $ 1.0847
CAN $ 1.0309
Euro 0.7549
GBP (£) 0.6474
Sw Fr 0.9306
YEN 97.8460
RATIOS & INDEXES
Gold / Silver64.13
Gold / Oil13.78
Dowjones / Gold11.36
COMMODITIES
Copper 3.09-0.05
WTI Oil 96.51-1.73
Nat. Gas 3.94-0.03
Market Indices
Metal Prices
RSS
Precious Metals
Graph Generator
Statistics by Country
Statistics by Metals
Advertise on 24hGold
Projects on Google Earth
In the same category 
Central Banks Beat Up on Private Creditors
Published : March 13th, 2012
735 words - Reading time : 1 - 2 minutes
( 0 vote, 0/5 ) Print article
 
    Comments    
Tweet

 

 

 

 

Last week the Greek government, with the heavy handed support of its larger friends in the Eurozone, succeeded in coercing some 85.8 percent of private sector bondholders to "voluntarily" exchange €206 billion-worth of Greek sovereign bonds for newer bonds with longer maturities, lower coupon rates, and a face value of 53.5 percent less than the original paper. The benignly termed "haircut" (more accurately described as a "scalping") is particularly painful for those buyers who were literally strong armed by their own governments into buying Greek bonds in the hopes of achieving regional financial stability.

 

A monstrous creation of political expediency, the deal may have solved Greece's short-term funding of some $19 billion in bonds due on March 20th, and secured the likelihood of its receipt of an additional $170 billion package bailout. While it is still far too early to tell if the agreement does anything beyond kicking the can down the road a few paces, the immediate lessons are easier to grasp. Most strikingly, this episode reveals just how cheaply the rights of private bondholders will be held in the new world of sovereign bailouts.

 

One particularly pernicious aspect of the settlement was the declaration that the European Central Bank (ECB) deemed itself to be 'senior' to all other bondholders and was thusly able to recoup all its invested principal. This unilateral action should justifiably shock traditional private bond buyers worldwide. Previously, such draconian and politically self-seeking actions would have been the purview of revolutionary tyrannies, not the modus operandi of staid Continental bankers.

 

Equally troubling was the underhanded manner in which the Greek government used collective action clauses to pressure bondholders to accept a 'voluntary' swap. Using these legal devices, even those who had said "no" were declared retroactively to have said "yes." In this manner, more than 90% of bondholders are now on board. The Soviets could not run a better election.

 

At the last hour, the whole messy deal was deemed a 'credit event' by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association thereby triggering payments of so-called credit default swaps (CDS). Interestingly, investors only learned of these modest reimbursements after the deal was finalized. This delayed decision could fuel suspicions that the action was deliberately timed to bring pressure on bondholders to accept the Greek government swap offer.

 

These three official actions likely will erode confidence quietly and will create extensive long-term damage to the image of government bonds as a riskless asset class. Coming at a time of recession and increased government spending, it could herald acute funding difficulties for less creditworthy nations. It may also scare some private buyers away from the highest rated sovereign debt, leaving central bankers as the increasingly dominant market maker. An analysis of this problem can be found in the latest issue of Euro Pacific's newsletter.

 

Forgetting the lessons of the pre-Bretton Woods era, many institutional investors had been lulled into the fond belief that in the modern world governments of politically important developed nations would not default. This belief had allowed many nations to borrow massively even as they failed to address fiscal imbalances. The Greek default should shatter this belief.

 

At its core, this deal was a means to protect the financial status quo. And from my perspective the biggest losers, worse off even than the private bondholders, are Greek citizens who must live under the weight of a crushing austerity imposed upon them from without. It would have been far better for the rank and file Greeks if their government had been allowed to default the old fashioned way, and all lenders, public and private would have been made to pay, in full, for their ill-advised loans. In so doing, a newly impoverished Greece would have at least a real chance for a fresh start.

 

The unemployment rate among young Greeks is some 51 percent. Unless the situation reverses itself quickly and decisively, Greece may never be able to repay even a much reduced debt burden. In the meantime, the Greek people will be subject to inescapable poverty. But it need not happen. Some four years ago, Iceland put ECB austerity proposals to a referendum. The people voted for default. Now it appears as if Iceland is on the road to recovery. Last month, S&P raised Iceland's credit rating, illustrating what may happen if free markets are allowed to function. Greece may be an example of the dangers of best laid plans.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Data and Statistics for these countries : Greece | All
Gold and Silver Prices for these countries : Greece | All
Tweet
Rate :Average note :0 (0 vote)View Top rated
Previous article by
John Browne
All articles by
John Browne
Next article by
John Browne
Receive by mail the latest articles by this author  
Latest comment posted for this article
Be the first to comment
Add your comment
TOP ARTICLES
Editor's picks
RSS feed24hGold Mobile
Gold Data CenterGold & Silver Converter
Gold coins on eBaySilver coins on eBay
Technical AnalysisFundamental Analysis

John Browne

John Browne is the Senior Market Strategist for Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. Mr. Brown is a distinguished former member of Britain's Parliament who served on the Treasury Select Committee, as Chairman of the Conservative Small Business Committee, and as a close associate of then-Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. Among his many notable assignments, John served as a principal advisor to Mrs. Thatcher's government on issues related to the Soviet Union, and was the first to convince Thatcher of the growing stature of then Agriculture Minister Mikhail Gorbachev. As a partial result of Brown's advocacy, Thatcher famously pronounced that Gorbachev was a man the West "could do business with." A graduate of the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, Britain's version of West Point and retired British army major, John served as a pilot, parachutist, and communications specialist in the elite Grenadiers of the Royal Guard. In addition to careers in British politics and the military, John has a significant background, spanning some 37 years, in finance and business. After graduating from the Harvard Business School, John joined the New York firm of Morgan Stanley & Co as an investment banker. He has also worked with such firms as Barclays Bank and Citigroup. During his career he has served on the boards of numerous banks and international corporations, with a special interest in venture capital. He is a frequent guest on CNBC's Kudlow & Co. and the former editor of NewsMax Media's Financial Intelligence Report and Moneynews.com. He holds FINRA series 7 & 63 licenses.
John Browne ArchiveWebsite
Most recent articles by John Browne
6/11/2013
5/29/2013
5/9/2013
5/3/2013
4/9/2013
All Articles
Comment this article
You must be logged in to comment an article8000 characters max.
 
Sign in
User : Password : Login
Sign In Forgot password?
 
Receive 24hGold's Daily Market Briefing in your inbox. Go here to subscribe or unsubscribe.
Disclaimer