In recent weeks we’ve seen scores of civilian
men, women and children massacred in the Syrian towns of Homs and Tremseh, a Turkish
(NATO) plane shot down over international airspace, some 10,000 armed
insurgents enter the country across the Lebanese border, and what amounts to
nothing short of total anarchy and civil war in
the streets of Syria that has left an estimated 17,000 people dead. Western nations have
condemned the actions of the Syrian government, calling for a peaceful
resolution, but some observers suggest that we’ve be doing exactly the
opposite, and rather than looking for a peaceful solution, all indicators
point to a growing powder keg that’s set to blow at any moment. The
Russians were recently caught transferring armaments to the middle east
nation amid condemnation from the Obama administration, with Secretary of
State Clinton telling Russia they will
“pay a price” for their attempts at halting progress in the region.
Late last week headlines across the world raised the
alert level even higher. According to intelligence reports President Assad
has begun mobilizing
his weapons of mass destruction arsenal. Though Colon Powell may not be available
to show us the location of the WMDs this time around,
“intelligence” reports from western agencies indicate that Assad is
preparing to deploy chemical weapons, including sarin, cyanida and mustard gas, on the rebellious population of
The situation is now at a head, and two key
developments in the last 24 hours indicate that whatever NATO has planned
for Syria – be it a Libyan style no-fly zone or a full on Iraqiesque invasion – will soon come to pass.
First, a final warning was reportedly sent to the
Assad government through intelligence back channels that threatened
airstrikes on his weapons facilities:
…today, the Syrian ruler was given a
“last warning” through intelligence channels in the West to leave
the warheads and shells loaded with mustard gas, sarin
and cyanide where they are. If he dared move them out of the northern and
central locations where he deployed them last week, they would be destroyed
from the air.
Second, likely a tell-tale sign that NATO military
action will soon be initiated in Syria, several of Assad’s top generals
and key security figures have fled the country with their families.
Several high-placed generals bolted Bashar
Assad’s inner circle Sunday, July 17, including such key figures as two
security services chiefs who were operations commanders of the Alawite Shabiha militia plus
the former head of Syria’s chemical and biological administration who
took six other generals with him. They all fled to Turkey and defected.
A fourth senior general from another security service was assassinated in
1. They all managed to spirit their families out of
Syria well before they absconded themselves, an operation that must have
required weeks of careful and secret preparation. The failure
of Assad’s many-tentacled, clandestine
agencies to discover what was up and foil the walkouts, attests to
serious lapses in their notorious efficiency.
2. All the defectors served in Damascus at the
regime’s nerve center for suppressing the revolt.
3. They all made tracks for Beirut before making
their way to Turkey. Neverthetheless, the extensive
spy networks run by Iran and Hizballah in the
Lebanese capital failed to pick up on the city’s use as a way station
for Syrian defectors in flight to Turkey.
4. Despite their active roles in crushing the civil
uprising in Syria, those generals clearly hoped to escape the consequences of
their actions and becoming liable for prosecution. The Red Cross Committee in
Geneva, the first international organization to call the violence in Syria a
full-blown civil war, made it clear Sunday, July 15, that international
humanitarian law applied henceforth throughout the country and provided a
basis for war crimes prosecution, especially if civilians were attacked.
Top level military and intelligence officials within
the Assad government are bugging out after reports surfaced that chemical
weapons are in play and “last” warnings from the west have been
We’ve seen similar circumstances before, in
Iraq, where those who didn’t defect had their names and pictures placed
on a deck of cards and were hunted down by Western forces. It looks as if the
Syrians see the writing on the wall and don’t want to end up in front
of an international war crimes tribunal or at the business end of a drone
UN / NATO military action is coming to Syria, and it could very easily lead to a global crisis
that pits western nations against Russia and China, who have been in
solidarity with the Assad government.
As we’ve suggested before, it’s only a
matter of time before the Russians and Chinese finally step in to counter the
hegemony of western powers in the oil-rich middle east.
Many have pointed to Iran as being the breaking
point and potential catalyst for World War III.
What if it’s Syria? And, what if it starts in
the next few months?