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In an interesting twist, Jon Nadler posted a report by a blogger two
days ago that I could mostly agree with.
http://www.kitco.com/ind/nadler/sep012008A.html
http://goldchat.blogspot.com/2008/08/fud-fear...inty-doubt.html
The blog post is by an "industry insider," who tries to
explain the "normality" of the shortages of silver and gold.
I also think it's normal for there to be shortages of silver and gold
when inflation is raging out of control, and when the markets are
manipulated, but I suppose we don't agree on reasons like that.
I left several comments on that blog, here:
https://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=6089228851855763774&postID=7370174306249188090
My key question: If there is no shortage of actual silver, as
opposed to only shortage of "investment silver", where can I go to
buy that real actual silver? As of last night, there was no answer.
Today, a reply came, but no answer.
http://goldchat.blogspot.com/2008/09/jason-ho...omments-to.html
The blogger works at Perth Mint, and writes:
"When I say that wholesale bars are available, it means in
wholesale quantities. I cannot speak for Kitco, but I went upstairs and spoke
to the Treasurer and he will do deals for a minimum of 20 tonnes of silver
and 1 tonne of gold. Call Nigel Moffatt on (08) 9421 7403. Price will be on a
deal-by-deal basis."
That's insane. Right downstairs, they often run out of 100 oz. bars, and
reportedly have no 1000 oz.
bars for sale.
Besides, that's a lie. Wholesale quantities in silver are 1
silver futures contract of 5000 ounces, which is about 1/6th of a tonne,
not 20 tonnes!
Further, I note that Nigel did NOT say he would SELL 20 tonnes of
silver. He only wants to "deal" in that, minimum. He
probably needs to buy that much to pull his fat out of the fire, as I will
explain below.
But first, people keep asking me "What's up with Jon Nadler, that
guy who bashes metal, yet works for Kitco, who sells metal? I don't get
it?"
Kitco runs a "pool" account where they hold the metal for
investors, or in other words, they OWE precious metal to their clients.
Kitco also sells Perth Mint certificates, which also represents precious
metal owed to clients.
Maybe that explains it?
Usually that's all I need to say to those who ask me, and the person
replies, "Oh, of course. Thank you."
Perhaps that's one reason why Nadler posted the article by a Perth guy; they are connected, they both owe metal, and Perth uses Kitco, or
Nadler specifically, as a mouthpiece.
If you click on Nadler's bio link at the top of any of his articles,
it says that he may have helped government mints, like Perth, in the past:
"He has long-standing ties in the precious global metals
community and has consulted on marketing and product development issues to
government mints, precious metals retailers, as well as to trade and
membership organizations, such as the World Gold Council."
Interestingly, Nadler boasts about his background in banking, and not
just for a small banking outfit, but Bank of America, America's
second largest bank!
"Jon established and managed several precious metals operations
at major USA-based financial institutions (Deak-Perera, Republic National
Bank, and Bank of America)."
Bank of America has the second largest derivatives position of all the
Banks in America,
right behind JP Morgan, at $28 trillion, yes, Trillion, with a T.
http://www.occ.treas.gov/ftp/deriv/dq207.pdf
And, Bank of America was a member of the Silver User's Association, a group devoted to the
conflicting goals of keeping silver prices low and keeping silver available
for users. Low prices create shortages, of course. And you can't
buy silver at Bank of America, of course.
I don't think Jon Nadler is ignorant on purpose. I don't believe
anyone can actually be that stupid on a regular basis, so the people who have
repeatedly nominated him for the "Moron
of the Year" award don't see the big picture. Instead, I
give Nadler more credit than that. I think he's a human of somewhat
higher intelligence than normal, but his wisdom score is extremely low.
Either that, or he has a very high wisdom score, but he just works with black
chaotic magic, instead of embracing the light of truth, or something like
that. I think he has a clear agenda, he is actively making a war on
gold and silver with his words, on a daily basis, and he is paid to do that.
There are more key connections I must reveal, based on
reports from out of Australia
about two weeks ago.
The Perth Mint owns 40% of AGR Matthey, in Australia.
AGR Matthey supposedly was using some of Perth's silver and gold
that backs the Perth Mint silver certificate program, that is sold by Kitco.
Proof: The Perth Mint's annual report discloses the precious metal
loan to AGR Matthey, as I reported previously.
"The $880 million of precious metals deposited by Perth Mint
Depository clients (note 17) was used in operations by Gold Corporation as
inventory ($381 million - Note 8b) with the balance in the refining
operations of AGR Matthey (Note 8a).
http://www.perthmint.com.au//documen...ort%202007.pdf
p. 81, bottom
I never took a class in deciphering "Ogre-speak", and
certified accountants can't decipher Perth's
annual report either, but did Perth Mint mean to say or imply that AGR
Matthey has "the balance" between $880 million and $381 million,
which would be about $500 million worth of gold and silver backing the
certificate program?
Wait, that's not the shocking part, I'm getting to it.
Here's the bombshell shocker:
AGR Matthey closed their silver operations! There is no news of
this item, it's only available at the Kitco chat boards directly!
https://www.kitcomm.com/showthread.php?t=21325
Two of my readers reported the same thing. AGR Matthey offices
closed. What?? Why?!
AGR Matthey supposedly has all this gold and silver on loan from Perth Mint's
certificate program with which to operate and conduct operations, to enable
them to have metal for use in refining operations, so that they can take
those abundant 1000 oz.
bars, and make them into 100
oz. bars, and sell metal to the public, and now,
during a time of record demand from the public, when little old me can sell
25 bars at a $4.01 premium to the spot price, when AGR Matthey should be well
funded, with plenty of metal, and capable of making a killing on
manufacturing bars with their own top industry and famous and desired trademark,
they decide to close up shop?
What??!!
Their story makes no sense. It make more sense that they have
been operating at a loss for years, and used up the loan of
precious metal in operations years ago (a loan that would have been fantastic
to have during a bear market in metals, which, if you used accounting
gimmicks right, you could say that the loan was brining in
"profits", but not in a bull market). So, most likely, the
managers recognize that they cannot buy more metal today, and cannot get the
metal back to pay back the growing metal loan. It makes more sense that
as the silver market is manipulated down, when inflation is raging, and when
investors are all buying, and not selling, that they cannot source metal from
the public anymore, and so they have closed up shop for that reason.
So, look, AGR Matthey's closure of silver operations might have been a
$500 million precious metals default to Perth Mint in the last two
weeks. No wonder the Perth Mint wants to deal in 20 tonnes of silver
minimum, which would still only be about $10 million worth. (20 tonnes
x 32,151oz/tonne = 643,020
oz. x $13? = $8.3 million!)
But hey, I'm sure someone like Nadler can be hired to say things like
"move along", "nothing to see here", the business was
"just not profitable". Really! Ya think?
If silver is abundant, why can't AGR Matthey use their ($500 million?)
pool of abundant and borrowed metal to make 100 oz. bars to sell to
the public at a premium, and just buy more abundant 1000 oz. bars with the
profits and make a killing?!
I believe that this is the first major "hidden" default, or
emerging default, that has the potential to cause the bankruptcy of the Perth
Mint, and/or bankruptcy and/or silver default at the COMEX, if they are
not all bankrupt already.
The closing of AGR Matthey calls into question the validity of the
entire Perth Mint certificate program, and Kitco, and Nadler.
I think Perth Mint certificate holders should either be investigating,
or redeeming their certificates for real physical metal, while they still
can.
It appears as if the Perth Mint took my advice a few months ago, and
bought at least some silver at higher prices to make available to people, to
calm down the constant stream of reports of delays of 2 months. But
now, it appears as if things are much, much, much worse than a mere 2 month
delivery delay.
It seems as if Perth's 2 month delay has turned into Johnson Matthey's
2 month delay!
The other connection and warning that must be made now, is about
Johnson Matthey, because AGR Matthey is one of their divisions.
http://www.matthey.com/about/locations.htm
Johnson Matthey, of course, is the largest silver refiner in the U.S.,
and was 8-10 weeks behind on orders for 100 ounce silver bars,
and in the last week or so, stopped taking orders for silver. Matthey
has a capacity of manufacturing 300-400 bars per week. 7th Grade Math
warning: 400 bars x 100
oz.. each x 10 weeks = 400,000 ounces of
silver = 12 tonnes, that JM is behind, backordered.
Interesting that that amount is just under the "minimum deal
size" of 20 tonnes as Nigel said at Perth.
COMEX contracts are for 5000 ounces, or about 1/6th of a tonne.
Why not just take delivery of 120 contracts Nigel?
But wait, if 20 tonnes is the minimum deal size, does that mean that Perth
does not buy any silver when investors buy certificates for less than
that, after all, that's their minimum deal size!?
So, it's not we silver investors who need to take delivery of the COMEX
contracts. We silver investors already placed the
orders. It's them, the companies who owe silver to the investors,
who need to take delivery, and apparently cannot.
Johnson Matthey's primary distributor is AMARK. Amark is the
largest bullion trader in the U.S. Amark is out of all silver products,
so they are essentially "out of business" with a "shut
down" silver division too, until they get silver.
Most other major dealers deal direct with Johnson Matthey, or Amark.
Here is another major shocker that I just heard today. CNI
Numismatics, at golddealer.com, who is one of the most trusted silver
dealers of which I know, verifies and confirms this overall story
with a shocker admission from Johnson Matthey.
JM told CNI that JM is "ramping down" production of 100 ounce bars!!!
What? JM is backlogged 8-10 weeks, and refusing orders to try to
catch up, yet is "RAMPING DOWN production"? That
confirms the AGR Matthey shut down. And that can only mean one
thing. There is a shortage of 1000 oz. bars or any other form of silver to
make into 100 ounce
bars.
This is why there is a shortage, world wide. The largest silver
providers can't find enough silver to provide it. And this is why
the shortage is denied by those in that camp. Their businesses may well
be at risk right now, and the worst lot of them are in desperate need of you
to send them money now to wait for silver that has an indefinite wait time
attached.
KITCO NOTICE ADMITS THEY WANT TO DEFRAUD YOU BY HOLDING YOUR MONEY
POTENTIALLY FOREVER, AND IF YOU ASK FOR A REFUND, THEY WILL CHARGE YOU EXTRA.
IMPORTANT NEW NOTICE: Demand for bullion products has increased
significantly in recent days. As a result, we may experience delays in supply
and possibly delays in processing and shipping by our vaults. We apologize
for this inconvenience and will do everything in our power to service your
orders as quickly as possible. While
cancellation fees still apply, prices are guaranteed regardless of the length
of the delay. We remain committed to providing you the best
service no matter what market conditions prevail.
Don't fall for it. Not now.
Be careful out there. Defaults are either ongoing, or
imminent.
If you want to help break these guys, there's one key way to do
it. Make sure you buy and sell your silver at an ever increasing
premium over their "spot" price or paper price. As that
starts to happen, the paper hedging contracts cannot be used to purchase
silver from the public, because the public's silver will cost too much.
And if the paper system cannot provide enough silver either, then their game
is over.
We are closer than ever to a major explosion in the silver
price. In fact, it's already begun in the premiums for "walking
silver" as opposed to "paper silver". What's
"walking silver"? The stuff you can walk out of the store
with!
Sincerely,
Jason Hommel
goldismoney.com
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