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The fallout from
the weekend’s European
elections continues, with
leftist politicians in Greece now attempting
to form a new “anti-austerity”
coalition government, with
one radical-left leaders stating
that “the people of Europe can no longer be reconciled with the bailouts of barbarism.” France’s new president Francois Hollande is still insisting that “austerity can no longer be the only option”, but Berlin remains
unmoved.
Spain also declared
yesterday that it is preparing
a bank bailout
– a risky political
venture considering that
the Spanish unemployment rate is close to an eye-watering 25%
of the workforce. It’s
no exaggeration to say that such economic
conditions, as in Greece, carry potentially
revolutionary political
implications.
The euro sunk to a three-and-half year low against
sterling yesterday, while
against the US dollar it
hit a new three-month low
of $1.3020. The Dollar Index gained 0.13% on the day to settle at 79.60, moving further above its 100-day moving average at around
77.00. “Risk off, buy
the dollar” being hedge
funds’ familiar knee-jerk response to any bad news from Europe.
Stocks and commodities also lost ground,
while precious metal prices suffered losses. June Comex
gold lost 0.4%, settling
at $1,639.10 per troy ounce, with further
losses in Asian trading this morning. Silver for July delivery lost 1.4%, while platinum for delivery in the same month lost 0.5%, with the June Palladium contract down 1.5%.
Fear, deflation,
“risk off”; whatever
you want to call it, these are the dominant market emotions right now, and it’s making it difficult
for precious metals
– in particular silver
– to show the kind of upward
price momentum that we’ve become accustomed to in recent years. Absent some kind of imminent game changing central bank intervention, it looks like the metals could be consolidating
for a little while longer.
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