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Upton Sinclair: The Moneychangers

Jesse

Central Banks Aren't Really In Control of Interest Rates

Frank Shostak
For most experts the central bank determines short-term interest rates by setting the target to the benchmark policy rate such as the federal funds rate in the US. Many economists are of the view that through the manipulation of short-term interest rates, the central bank by means of expectations regarding future interest rate policy can also dictate the direction of long-term interest rates. By this way of thinking, expectations regarding fut...

House Party

James Howard Kunstler
As the first of 12 presidential debates blows in at mid-week like an evil patch of bad summer weather, twenty candidates vie for the position of Ole Massa on the Democratic Party plantation, and the air is gravid with bad vibes. One highly-favored entry, Mayor Pete (Buttigieg) of charming South Bend, Indiana, stepped into (and tripped over) a big fresh patty of mule poop over the weekend at a “town hall” meeting that was called to address the ...

Don’t think like a lawyer

Steve Saville

Crazyland

James Howard Kunstler
Surfing the cable channels the evening before my Friday a.m. blog duties, I came upon Sean Hannity at Fox News completely losing his shit in a colloquy with Geraldo Rivera about the Iran drone incident. “Bomb the crap out of them!” Mr. Hannity ranted, several times, the veins in his neck throbbing visibly on the high-def screen. I thought I was having an acid flashback to Doctor Strangelove. Geraldo himself seemed a bit nonplussed and embarras...

Mahathir’s Asian Gold Currency Is A Return To Asian Values

Nathan Lewis
“Speaking truth to power” is nice, I guess, but “speaking truth while in power” is exquisite. Mahathir Mohammad, prime minister of Malaysia, recently proposed a pan-Asian currency based on gold, using the very public forum of the International Conferen...

Low Inflation Is No Threat to the Economy

Frank Shostak
“When interest rates are low central banks don’t have much room to maneuver to deal with a crisis,” the New York Fed President John Williams said on Wednesday, June 6, 2019. In addition, according to Williams “if inflation falls, central banks will hav...

The Immutable Laws of Nature, and Murphy's other 15 Laws

Peter McKenzie-Brown

Luxury Bunkers For Sale: The Wealthy Are Buying Multi-Million Dollar Bunkers With “Highest Level Of Military Grade Security”

Mac Slavo

A Good Start

James Howard Kunstler
Campus Wokesters with boundary problems got “woke” for real on Thursday when an Ohio jury laid an additional $33-million for punitive damages on top of $11-million in compensatory damages already awarded against Oberlin College for running a “social justice” campaign to ruin the business of a four-generation small-town bakery that followed the shoplifting arrest of three black Oberlin College students there in 2016. The precipitating incident ...

Sometimes Things Turn

James Howard Kunstler
A February night in 1924, in a Manhattan concert hall owned by the Aeolian piano company… the wailing, warped, and flatted clarinet glissando that opens George Gershwin’s Rhapsody in Blue announced the 20th century’s self-recognition that something new was up in the world, and especially in the USA. The composer tried to represent the stupendous energy of the maturing industrial culture in a symphonic cacophony with a core of the deepest tende...

Money Velocity and Economic Growth

Frank Shostak
After rising to 2.198 in Q3 1997, the ratio of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to money supply M2 fell to 1.433 by Q3 2017. Since then the ratio has bounced slightly to 1.457 in Q1 2019. Economists label this ratio as the velocity of money. Some expert...

Mission Accomplished

Nathan Lewis
We have been talking about the relationship between banks’ balance sheet structure, and the monetary base of the Federal Reserve. May 26, 2019: The Federal Reserve and Bank ReservesJune 2, 2019: The Federal Reserve and Bank Reserves #2: What’s Old Is New Again What we have seen is that, after 2008, “Cash Assets” as a portion of all assets has risen back near its long-term and traditional average around 10%; and that this “Cash Assets” ha...

The Fed Stops Pretending

Peter Schiff
Well, it didn’t take much and it didn’t take long. After years of delays, a tentative start, many cautious pauses along the way, and a top speed that never really hit cruising velocity, the Fed has taken the first available off-ramp on the road towards...

Going Where, Exactly?

James Howard Kunstler
In response to what has become a nation of shameless racketeering, vivid wealth disparity, and shocking destitution on display in city streets, the party of the common man seeks remedies in the redistribution of capital. Seems more than fair to many. It’s not for nothing that they style it “social justice,” the cutting edge of an economic system called socialism — with overtones, of course, of settling racial and gender scores for good measure...

What’s Old Is New Again

Nathan Lewis
We have been looking at the behavior of banks, as it relates to reserve balances held at the Federal Reserve. May 26, 2019: The Federal Reserve and Bank Reserves It turns out that I did look at these issues earlier, in 2013: November 3, 2013: What’s Going On At The Fed? Today, we will continue with our story. First, let’s look at basically the same data as we looked at last week, but in terms of nominal figures instead of a percent...

Correlation ? Causation

Frank Shostak
Often we observe that two pieces of data, which are not supposed to have any relationship, appear to have very high visual correlation. For instance, we may discover strong correlation between the intensity of a dog barking and movements in stock prices. One is then tempted to take advantage of this discovery in order to make money in the stock market. In reality however, both the barking of the dog and the movements of the stock indexes have ...

Why Judy Shelton At The Federal Reserve Would Help Keep The Dollar Stable

Nathan Lewis
President Donald Trump is clearly sending a message: after nominating Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the openings on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the next candidate being talked about is Judy Shelton, formerly of the Atlas Network Sound Mo...

“Uniformity” In Taxation Was Our Blueprint For Greatness

Nathan Lewis
“Don’t tax you, don’t tax me, tax the guy behind the tree” is one of those useful aphorisms of government that describes, in a few words, the organizing principle behind the tremendous scrum of tax favor peddling that takes place in Congress today, and which took place in all cultures throughout history. The quote is ascribed to Senator Russel B. Long in 1973, who, during his seven years as chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, heard hundr...

Rumors of War

James Howard Kunstler
The race to economic collapse is an international competition sparking threats and tensions summoning the specter of war. The imploding center of this collapse is that of industrial technocracy based on fossil fuels. All the nations will go through it ...

The Federal Reserve and Bank Reserves

Nathan Lewis
I usually don’t spend much time talking about current events as regards the Federal Reserve and other central banks. There is already a lot of babble about this — the usual econobabble that constitutes the “PhD Standard” — and I find that it is better to investigate many other neglected topics instead. Nevertheless, this is a topic that might be important, so we will look at it a bit here. I am talking about the reserve holding characterist...

The Real Meaning of Deflation

Frank Shostak
For most experts, deflation is bad news since it generates expectations for a decline in prices. Because of this, it is held, consumers postpone their buying of goods at present since they expect to buy these goods at lower prices in the future. Conseq...

The Golem Strikes Back

James Howard Kunstler
Not long ago, few Americans of the thinking persuasion might have imagined that such a well-engineered republic, with its exquisite checks and balances, sturdy institutions, and time-tested traditions would end up as so much smoldering goop in a national dumpster fire, but such is the sad state-of-the-union moving into the fateful summer of 2019. The castle of the permanent bureaucracy is about to be torched by an uprising of deplorable peasan...

How To Get Outrageous Growth Without “Inflation”

Nathan Lewis
Whenever the economy gets up a head of steam, as has been the case recently, we have a debate about “does growth cause inflation?” This has been going on a long time — about fifty years, as I count it. You would think that we could have answered that q...

The Balance-of-Payments Myth

Frank Shostak
In March, the US trade account balance stood at a deficit of $ 50 billion against a deficit of $49.28 billion in February and a deficit of $47.4 billion in March last year. Most commentators consider the trade account balance as the single most important piece of information regarding the health of the economy. According to the widely accepted view, a surplus on the trade account is considered as a positive development while a deficit is perce...

The Tranquilizer

James Howard Kunstler
A mental health assessment of the Democratic Party suggests that identity politics had lately turned into an identity crisis. Years of staying woke finally produced hallucinations and violent outbursts. It was time to medicate the patient. Enter, stage right, the Tranquilizer, smiling Uncle Joe Biden, the perfect agent to quell an acute case of adolescent rebellion. Mostly, the rank-and-file don’t seem to know what to make of Uncle Joe’s arriv...

An Austrian Perspective

Nathan Lewis
Today we are looking at The Gold Standard: An Austrian Perspective, edited by Llewellyn Rockwell (of Mises.org). It is a collection of papers from a conference in November 1983 — apparently quite a big conference, with more than 400 people gathered in ...

Rise Of EVs Signals Peak Gasoline

Oilprice.com
The internal combustion engine has already reached a peak in sales.That startling conclusion comes from a new report from Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). “Sales of internal combustion passenger vehicles have already peaked, and may never recover unless EV growth falters, or major economies such as China invest in significant stimulus programs,” BloombergNEF wrote.EVs may reach price parity with the internal combustion engine by the mid-20...

E-Commerce Crushes Mall Retailers One by One. Here’s the Data

Wolf Richter
Brick-and-mortar department stores – the lucky ones still open – are on schedule to be toast. E-commerce sales in the first quarter soared 12.4% from a year ago to $127.3 billion (not seasonally adjusted), the Commerce Department reported on Friday. Last year, e-commerce sales blew through the $500-billion level for the first time ($513.6 billion). For 2019, e-commerce is on track to hit $575 billion, an increase of $61 billion. Over the past ...

3 Modern Arguments for Tariffs, Debunked

Robert P. Murphy
 Many proponents of tariffs recognize the absurdity of tariffs as a general rule. However, they feel that there are certain, special cases in which tariffs are justified, and indeed vital to a nation's survival. In  this article, I will analyze three such arguments: I. REDUCE TRADE DEFICIT Many people believe that a tariff on a specific country's goods is necessary whenever the United States suffers from a high trade de
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How Much Gold Should Someone Own? Where and How To Own It?
23 JunS W.
It is possible to earn interest on gold. That said, gold is just an asset, a very liquid one at that.
Crazyland
22 JunGypsy
The Celtic tribes of Britain were enslaved by the Romans. The Romans were eventually enslaved by the Germanic tribes. All of Europe was overrun b...
Why is JPMorgan Above the Law?
21 JunS W.
I will assume that TB is correct when it comes to JPM and price manipulation of PM's. Silver is now the same price it was back in April 2006.<...
Going Where, Exactly?
16 JunS W.
Stock up on anti depressents
Luxury Bunkers For Sale: The Wealthy Are Buying Multi-Million Dolla...
16 JunS W.
Oh yeah the old Scouts motto...be prepared. Better to move to a place where there is way less likelihood of being affected by fallout and marau...
Sometimes Things Turn
14 JunThemis1
When humans try to do it all using their own strength and 'wisdom', we screw up royally. Let us remember that we have a powerful God and humbly tu...
The CFTC’s Summer Camp Letter
14 Junsonora691
I have followed the daily and intra-day prices of silver for most of the last 10 years. I am not a speculator, but a small investor interested in m...
Sometimes Things Turn
13 Junsonora694
I would like to thank you for turning a hundred years of American history into a succinct and subjective account of what has gone wrong in this co...
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Editorials

Upton Sinclair: The Moneychangers
Jesse
"It had all worked out beautifully, according to the schedule. The stock market was falling to pieces—some of the leading stocks wer...
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The Exchange Of Income And Wealth
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How Much Gold Should Someone Own? Where and How To Own It?
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Periodically I receive questions on gold ownership. How much should one own, and where? Let's start with the first question: How M...
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Don’t think like a lawyer
Steve Saville
The job of a judge or juror is to impartially weigh the evidence and arguments put forward by both sides in an effort to determine w...
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RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS The most simple and compelling argument for owning gold for the average investor is to diversify a portfolio. ...
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