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Not So Fast

James Howard Kunstler
The media branch of “the Resistance” wet its pantsuits last Friday when Robert Mueller released sentencing memos on Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen, the human keys to the dungeon they would like to toss Mr. Trump into. Over in the House of Representatives, incoming Judiciary Committee chair Jerrold Nadler spooged himself into a rapture as visions of impeachment lap-danced in his head. Their victory orgasms may prove premature. The memos themse...

The Myth of the Neutral Interest Rate

Frank Shostak
In his speech to the Economic Club of New York on November 28 2018, the Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell said that the US central bank’s policy interest rate is just below the neutral rate. This prompted many commentators to suggest that a tighter interest rate stance of the Fed is likely coming to an end. At the end of October the fed funds rate target stood at 2.25%. It is widely held that by means of suitable monetary policies ...

Capture the Flag

James Howard Kunstler
A titanic battle between Mr. Trump and his antagonists looms in the political gloaming of the new year. It may not be resolvable by conventional means since the Intel and Justice agencies have been leading a two-year coup-by-subterfuge against the pres...

The Mythical Problem Of “Finding The Right Gold Price”

Nathan Lewis
For decades, we’ve heard this lament that determining a new “price of gold” (dollar/gold parity) in a new gold standard system is some kind of insoluble barrier akin to Fermat’s Last Theorem. This is silly. The fact of the matter is, countries have often returned to gold after long periods of floating currencies. For the most part, this was successful. These countries have included: The United States in 1879, 1919 (arguably), 1934 and 1953 (ar...

The Ghost of Christmas Present

James Howard Kunstler
Apparently one additional world leader turned up in Buenos Aires without fanfare this weekend. The General Secretary of the North Pole, known popularly as Santa Claus, took his latest-model hypersonic sleigh to the G-20 Meeting, and made sure that the global financial elite would find their Christmas stockings stuffed with sugarplums one last time before the great reflation bull market dies of incredulity. Something drastic was required as so ...

Columbia University Promotes Letting Students Grade Themselves

Mish
Fresh on the heels of UC Berkeley saying they cannot trust kids to grade teachers, comes an even sillier Columbia idea. According to a Columbia University PowerPoint presentation Trusting Students to Assess Themselves, inclusive grading starts by “trusting students to assess themselves.”I picked that link up from Columbia University Seminar to Promote ‘Inclusive Grading’.Rationale for Self-Grading​Teachers don't know how to grade or don't want...

How Private Banks Create Bubbles — with the Help of Central Banks

Frank Shostak
With meagre resources at his disposal, an individual is likely to allocate these resources (i.e., his wealth) towards essentials such as food, clothing and a roof over his head. He is unlikely to allocate his meagre wealth to less essential goods as fa...

Deep Quandaries of the Deep State

James Howard Kunstler
Watergate had tragic Shakespearean overtones, with Nixon as King Lear, but Russia-Gate — perhaps the last gate America goes through on its giant slalom run to collapse — is but a Chinese Fire Drill writ large. The reason? In 1973, we were still a serio...

Self Driving Reality: It's Here, In Snow, In Unexpected Conditions, Now

Mish
Waymo Celebrates 10 Million Miles of Self-Driving. Can you drive better than the video below? Waymo says "We’re building the world’s most experienced driver, with over 10 million miles self-driven on public roads and almost 7 billion in simulation. Discover what we've seen and learned along the way from literal curveballs in our path, to navigating low-visibility dust storms, and more unexpected scenarios." ​ Self-Driving Car Timeline Tech Eme...

Murphy’s Law to the Rescue!

James Howard Kunstler
What can go wrong will go wrong. It’s so fundamental to the operation of the universe that Sir Isaac Newton should have installed it between his 2nd and 3rd Laws of Motion — but he had his hands full losing a fortune in Britain’s South Sea Bubble circa 1721, after muttering to a colleague that he “could calculate the motions of the heavenly bodies, but not the madness of the people.” Note to all you hedge fund cowboys out there: Old Isaac was ...

Thoughts From The Precipice

Chris Martenson
As you already know, things are unraveling. The narratives of the past are being revealed as false and fraudulent -- even harmful. For example, the fallacy of pursuing "ever more" growth. Growth up to a point is beneficial, but it turns self-destructive when it exceeds what available resources can sustain. As it is practiced, economic growth as pursued around the world today is now destructive. If we continue on our current trajectory, it will...

Net Gold Exports, 1913-1937

Nathan Lewis
This week we will look at Net Gold Exports of major countries, 1913 to 1937. This has some importance regarding monetary “interpretations” of that time. August 25, 2017: The Interwar Period #2: It’s Not That Complicated The source of the data is the Jones/Obstfeld Database, available at NBER. http://www.nber.org/databases/jones-obstfeld/ We discussed this earlier here: August 11, 2017: The Midas Paradox #4: Much Ado About Nothing This database...

Holiday Doings and Undoings

James Howard Kunstler
Somehow I doubt that this Christmas will win the Bing Crosby star of approval. Rather, we see the financial markets breaking under the strain of sustained institutionalized fraud, and the social fabric tearing from persistent systemic political dishonesty. It adds up to a nation that can’t navigate through reality, a nation too dependent on sure things, safe spaces, and happy outcomes. Every few decades a message comes from the Universe that f...

The Money Supply Is Never Too Small

Frank Shostak
For most economists there is the need to keep the so-called economy along the path of stable economic growth and stable price inflation. One of the reasons for the possible deviation of the economy from the stable growth path is a change in the demand ...

Welcome to GenderWorld

James Howard Kunstler
The defeat of Hillary, and the elevation of the vulgar Mr. Trump, loosed a fury of women against men in America that now verges on a kind of all-consuming chaos, like those western wildfires turning every product of human endeavor in the burn-path to smoke and ash. All the sorrows of our national life are assigned lately to the wicked white male patriarchy that must be defeated to usher in a satori of female sharing-and-caring. A case in point...

New anti-state movie

George F. Smith
My new movie on Amazon Prime Video is called Audition, the tagline for which is "Sometimes success depends on the chemistry of strangers." While this has romantic implications, the question before them is whether their acting inexperience can fulfill demanding roles in an anti-state movie.  Is it possible they have an edge that veteran actors don't? The Amazon link has a trailer, and I've put together another one here. The movie runs close ...

An Odor of Perfidy

James Howard Kunstler
I suspect there’s a hidden agenda behind the announcement in The Wall Street Journal op-ed by former Hillary Clinton aide Mark Penn that the Ole Gray Mare is actually eyeing another run for the White House in 2020. No, it’s not just that she would like to be president, as she averred on video last week in a weak moment, or that she has decided late in life to go full Bolshevik policy-wise. It is to establish her in the public mind as a serious...

The Gold Standard Didn’t Disappear In 1971, It Just Went Underground

Nathan Lewis
Officially, the gold standard is regarded as superstitious nonsense, especially by academics. The fact that it worked very well for centuries, produced results that nobody seems able to achieve today, and – unlike any other “superstition” in the history of human civilization – has been shared by the ancients and moderns, Chinese, Romans, Persians and Aztecs, apparently means little to these people. But unofficially, gold was not only the basis...

There Are Two Types of Credit — One of Them Leads to Booms and Busts

Frank Shostak

New Study: Social Media Has A Link To Loneliness And Depression

Mac Slavo
Social media use has once again been linked to loneliness and depression. Research has been hinting at the connection for several years, but scientists from the University of Pennsylvania say that this new study is the most comprehensive and rigorous to date. Social media is not all bad, as not much really is, but most people tend to have a difficult time using their social media accounts in moderation.  That, according to the new study, can l...

Rock the Vote

James Howard Kunstler
It warmed my heart to read in The Wall Street Journal that Hillary Clinton is preparing to re-enter the Washington DC swamp from her deluxe exile in the woods of Chappaqua, New York, and make another run for the White House — though it’s hard to calcul...

Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt...

SRSrocco
While the government agencies and economists continue to publish strong GDP figures, they seem to overlook how much debt it took to produce that growth.  Or should I say, the “supposed growth.”  The days of adding one dollar of debt to get one dollar o...

The Decline of Rome

Nathan Lewis
This is another excerpt from my upcoming book, The Magic Formula. It describes, rather briefly, how the decline of the Roman Empire can be seen as a consequence of unstable politics leading to bad economic policy. A more in-depth (but still short) study of the subject can be found here: “How Excessive Government Killed Ancient Rome,” by Bruce Bartlett We looked at the decline of the Spanish Empire a little earlier, here: September 18, 2018: Th...

50 Million Empty Homes In China, Third-Home Purchases Soar...

Mish
There are more than 50 million vacant homes in China. An amazing 69% of recent purchases are second or third homes. Home-buying speculation is rampant in China. Over a fifth of China’s homes are empty. That’s 50 Million Empty Apartments. Soon-to-be-pu...

How Prepared Are You? Let’s Find Out....

Chris Martenson
We're pleased to announce the first-ever Peak Prosperity Resilience Challenge. Over an upcoming weekend in January 2019 (specifc dates to be announced soon) participating individuals will turn off their electricity from Friday at 7:00pm to 7:00pm Sunda...

Postmortem

James Howard Kunstler
And so, with the midterm election in the rearview mirror, behold the rush into the next phase of Civil War 2. The Golden Golem of Greatness (aka, President Trump) finally requested the resignation of the feckless Attorney General, Mr. Sessions — a fine point as we shall see. The New York Times, of course, played it as an opportunity to litigate the constitution in their headline the day after: Jeff Sessions Is Forced Out as Attorney General a...

Salesforce CEO Reaches Out To Musk To Dig A Tunnel Under San Francisco...

Oilprice.com
Salesforce’s chief executive, Marc Benioff asked in a Elon Musk to dig a tunnel under San Francisco, days after the Tesla CEO, who is also head of The Boring Company, the tunnel under Los Angeles had been completed and will launch officially next mon...

Technology Detox: The Health Benefits of Unplugging Unwinding

Mac Slavo
Recent studies have shown that 90% of Americans use digital devices for two or more hours each day and the average American spends more time a day on high-tech devices than they do sleeping: 8 hours and 21 minutes to be exact. If you’ve ever considered attempting a “digital detox”, there are some health benefits to making that ch

Facebook Makes Good On Their Vow To Censor Political News They Dislike

Mac Slavo
Facebook is making good on their promise to censor political news they dislike before the midterm elections.  Just like they vowed, the social media giant has identified, flagged, and blocked dozens of accounts for not towing the correct political line. It appears that only the United States government is allowed to pander political propaganda, no one else. According to Fox News, on Monday night, Facebook said it identified about 30 accounts a...

Social Justice

James Howard Kunstler
It may be as simple as this: voters look at the two parties and decide that they don’t want the nation to turn into a gigantic seminar on race and gender studies. The Democratic Party doesn’t have a platform, it has a curriculum. The party wants to instruct everybody how to think and act. You will be tested regularly on the correctness of your thought. And if you fail or object, say goodbye to your livelihood. That’s the main reason that the G...
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“Collapse Of Civilisation Is On The Horizon” – Attenborough Warns W...
11 DecJ.0
The Climate, it's complicated. Look up the 100,000 year problem. Basically, the Earth has been in an Ice Age about 70 - 80 % of the last one m...
“Collapse Of Civilisation Is On The Horizon” – Attenborough Warns W...
06 DecS W.0
It is difficult to argue with a person like D Attenborough. Who doesn't like his shows? In saying that I am wondering if he, and probably 99% o...
Columbia University Promotes Letting Students Grade Themselves
03 Decvictoriashores
Really who cares
Scientists: The Globe’s Food Supply System Is Broken
04 DecJ.
People need to stop following academics as if they know everything. Science is about continuously evolving your knowledge based on a process of te...
Scientists: The Globe’s Food Supply System Is Broken
02 DecS W.
Oh no! Wheeze all doomed. It is not a matter of eating less meat it is simply a matter of eating less. and eating less of garbage food in part...
How Private Banks Create Bubbles — with the Help of Central Banks
02 Decsneezy67
It appears that we as consumers pay a price for convenience. It is very difficult to haul 10 acres to market on your back or cart. Pieces of gold a...
Why It's Important to Define Money Correctly
29 NovACarr
Great quote!! This is incredibly true. Too many people get so caught up in fiat currency, when it's all about gold if you really look at it. I've g...
Thanksgiving - And Deliver Us From Evil
23 NovBarnsey
Dear Jesse, As much as I admire your journeys down biblical roads, I consider you have missed the point of that mystical journey. Beyond...
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