Bitcoin Trading Alert originally sent to subscribers on June 26, 2015,
10:39 AM.
In short: no speculative positions.
Bitcoin is getting more and more attention from the banks and exchanges
but it still remains relatively unknown to consumers, we read on CoinDesk:
A new survey published by Goldman Sachs has found that just over half of
US millennials believe they will never use bitcoin.
Fifty-one percent of the 752 survey respondents said that they had never
used bitcoin nor do they have any plans to do so. Twenty-two percent said
they currently use it or have used it in the past, and intend to use it
again.
An additional 22% said that they have never used bitcoin before but plan
on using the digital currency. Just 5% of respondents said they have used
bitcoin but do not intend to use it again.
The data forms part of a broader look at the financial inclinations of
millennials, including how the demographic chooses financial services and how
they manage money.
Among a group of payment options that included credit cards, Apple Pay and
Square, bitcoin wallets scored relatively low in terms of trust. Less than 5%
of respondents indicated they trust using wallet services, with Coinbase and
BitPay being named directly in the survey data.
This shows that there’s still a lot to be done to make Bitcoin a more
viable payment option. The survey shows that more people than not don’t
really know Bitcoin or feel the need to use the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin might
be becoming more popular in the sense that more people are using it and more
companies are looking into the Bitcoin technology but this is still a far cry
from the kind of popularity credit cards enjoy.
Of course, there might also be another angle to this sort of data. Bitcoin
might create a need for cryptocurrency payments. Think “smartphones.” Did
cell phone users complain about the lack of smartphones or did they even know
about smartphones? For the most part, they didn’t. Yet now we can hardly
imagine cell networks without smartphones. Similar outcomes might happen with
Bitcoin – the advantages of cryptocurrencies might help customers turn to
them. This is far from certain, but there is a possibility, particularly
given the fact that Bitcoin is already interesting for a bunch of relatively
large companies.
For now, we focus on the charts.
On BitStamp, we saw a day of slight appreciation yesterday. The action was
not strong and the volume was lower than on the day before yesterday. Bitcoin
was still below $250 (green line in the chart). We wrote:
Today, we’ve seen appreciation but one of a very weak nature, at least so
far (…). We haven’t seen a move to $225 or even to $230 and the volume has
not been very significant. The situation remains largely unchanged from
yesterday.
If we look at the action today, we see that there’s been a move down (this
is written just after 10:00 a.m. ET). The action hasn’t been strong so far,
actually it is similar to what we wrote yesterday in terms of the strength of
the move. This means that there hasn’t really been a confirmation of a move
down. The situation is still unclear, with a bearish tilt but not clear
enough to suggest hypothetical short positions.
On the long-term
BTC-e chart, we see that Bitcoin is now very close to a possible rising trend
line and not far from a declining one. This means that the situation is not
at all boring. The action yesterday was without a resolution. In our previous
alert, we wrote:
The situation became more bearish yesterday at the close but Bitcoin has
been moving up today. The currency remains in a tense territory. Declines in
the following days could trigger a more pronounced downswing but currently
Bitcoin is still above two possible trend lines making the possibility of a
further upswing too significant to simply ignore. As such, waiting for a
confirmation seems to be the best approach.
This is still the case today. If anything, the situation is tenser than it
was yesterday but we haven’t really seen any kind of a signal just now. The
wait-and-see approach, albeit not the most exciting way to go, seems the
right mode as far as the short-term outlook is concerned.
Summing up, we don’t support any speculative positions at
the moment.
Trading position (short-term, our opinion): no positions.
Thank you.
Regards,
Mike McAra
Bitcoin Trading Strategist
Bitcoin
Trading Alerts
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