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4th-Quarter GDP Forecasts Off To Weak Start

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Mish

Global Economic Analysis

Published : November 17th, 2019

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Category : Opinions and Analysis


	GDPNow and Nowcast Forecasts for 4th-quarter GDP are 1% and 0.7% respectively. The 4th-quarter GDPNow and Nowcast forecasts start off on a weak footing, 1% or less. The saving grace for GDPNow is its estimate of Real Final Sales, the true bottom-line measure of the economy. The rest is inventory adjustment which nets to zero over time. Thus, GDPNow sees Change in Private Inventories (CIPI) as subtracting 0.5 percentage points from GDP. The Nowcast report does not break out CIPI.

Source : moneymaven.io

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Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. He writes a global economics blog which has commentary 5-7 times a week. He also writes for the Daily Reckoning, Whiskey & Gunpowder, and has over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com

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