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A Brief History of Global "Inflation," 1949-2013

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Nathan Lewis
New World Economics
Published : October 25th, 2014
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We're following up our brief history of world currencies in the postwar period:

October 19, 2014: A Brief History of World Currencies, 1949-2014

This week, we look at similar data from the IMF, namely, the IMF's official CPI info for the same time period. Here it is:

Click here for global CPI "inflation" data, 1949-2013

Here we see the change in the official CPI for each country, compared to a year earlier. Increases in the CPI of less than 10% are rendered in white. The range of 10%-30% is on a graded scale, from light orange to dark orange. Over 30% is in red. We saw earlier that the IASB definition of "hyperinflation" includes a rise in the CPI of 100% or more over a three-year period, which works out to about 26% per year, or 2% per month. It probably doesn't seem very "hyper" to most people, but in actual practice, a lot of things start to break around this level.

October ... 13, 2013: What Is "Hyperinflation"?

Not surprisingly, things are pretty calm during the Bretton Woods gold standard era, until 1971, and become rather problematic afterwards.

Here's another look at the same data. This uses the cumulative rise of the CPI over the previous three years. The range of 30% (over three years) to 100% is in a sliding orange scale. Over 100% ("hyperinflation") is in red.

target="_blank" Three year CPI data, 1949-2013

As before, it is a story of chaos and struggle. It is so much better to run a capitalist economy without this kind of madness.
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Nathan Lewis was formerly the chief international economist of a firm that provided investment research for institutions. He now works for an asset management company based in New York. Lewis has written for the Financial Times, Asian Wall Street Journal, Japan Times, Pravda, and other publications. He has appeared on financial television in the United States, Japan, and the Middle East.
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