The thing about experience is it lets you see current situations in
context—opportunities are more apparent when you've gone through the
experience before.
Libero
Copper Corp. (LBC:TSX.V:, LBCMF:OTCQB) was established in 2016 for
exactly this reason. A group of geologists and mining executives looked at
the nascent bull market through the lens of their past successes and decided
to start accumulating copper projects.
The team started with two people: Leo Hathaway and Ian Slater. Both
deserve some comment.
Hathaway was Ross Beaty's main geologist in the Lumina Group. He vetted
projects as Lumina built up its copper portfolio in 2004 and 2005, and he
managed exploration on the assets they did acquire.
As the market strengthened, Lumina was "star burst" into six
separate companies, each with one key project. Five got bought out in the
last bull market; the fifth sold in 2014. Together these projects brought in
$1.6 billion, generating a 20-for-1 return on capital for shareholders.
Lumina is the stuff of legend in the mining space. It's incredibly rare
for one company to attract $1.6 billion in buyouts. But the logic was
straightforward:
- Buy copper projects when no one cared about copper;
- Ensure projects were free of fatal flaws, be it
metallurgy or social issues or grade or infrastructure;
- Focus on projects with known mineralization but also
significant exploration potential;
- Grow and de-risk each deposit as the market strengthened
so that they stood out as advanced, clear opportunities when a strong
market put mining companies on the hunt for acquisitions.
Ross Beaty gets most of the attention for Lumina's incredible success but
he certainly didn't do it alone. Beaty certainly had the vision, but he
relied on experts to enact the plan.
Hathaway was central in that expertise. He vetted each project that Lumina
considered and bought. He helped craft each project deal. Once projects were
in the Lumina fold, he ran the exploration programs and directed the
de-risking, which ran from permitting and social license to water and roads.
Success on the Lumina scale is addictive. So I was not at all surprised when
Leo told me that he was started a new Lumina-model company, for the next bull
market.
Lots of people are trying this. Hathaway is way ahead of all of them
because he has done it before.
But Hathaway couldn't set up Lumina 2.0 on his own—he is a geologist, not
a junior mining executive. He needed someone else to fill those shoes, which
is where Ian Slater fits in.
Maven readers might recognize Slater's name. . .and not for the best
reason. Slater was the head of Red Eagle Mining, which stands as the worst
investment I have made in the Maven portfolio. Red Eagle built an underground
gold mine in Colombia, but insufficient engineering based on poor rock-type
understanding meant the mine failed and Red Eagle went bankrupt.
Responsibility for that failure rests with Slater and the Red Eagle board
of directors. Slater is an accountant by training. He knew he lacked the
knowledge to build a mine so he built a team to get the job done. A few key
members of that team overpromised and underdelivered.
Slater didn't have the technical background to realize the errors in time.
When he did, he tried hard to salvage the operation but leverage on the
construction debt took Red Eagle down before he could make it work.
To be honest, when it happened I thought I would never back an Ian Slater
deal again. Complete losses really burn. Yet here I am investing in Libero.
What gives?
Two things. First, Libero is an explorer, not a developer. I would not
back Slater again were he planning to build another mine, but that is not what
he's doing. He's running a gold exploration company, which is a very
different—and much easier—gig. I don't mean to say that running a junior
explore-co is easy, because it is not, but it is easier and far less
technical than building a mine.
Second, I just said that running a junior explore-co is not easy. It takes
a particular kind of person to do it successfully—and even despite the Red
Eagle failure, Ian Slater is that kind of person.
Slater raised over $100 million during the bear market to build Red
Eagle's mine. He convinced investors to have faith in Colombia. He guided a
social outreach program that generated true support for the mine within the
local community. He never shied away from questions, even as bankruptcy drew
near.
He has the tenacity, vision, salesmanship and network to led a junior, and
it's a combination of characteristics that's hard to find. I think the Red
Eagle effect will dog Libero to some extent, but as several friends reminded
me as I thought through this situation, bull markets make investors forget
past mistakes. In fact, most of mining's most famous and successful
executives have at least one failure on their resumes that gets forgotten
amid the successes. So if Libero does hit into something exciting at Big Red,
Slater's failings will fade into the background.
Slater's success raising capital for Libero to date shows that many have
already decided to give him another chance. Libero has quietly raised money
and acquired projects for several years now. The company also attracted some
good people: Rob Pease, the geologist who founded and led Terrane Metals for
years until it was acquired by Thompson Creek Metals Co. Inc., and who
managed the process by which New Gold Inc. (NGD:TSX; NGD:NYSE.MKT) bought the
Blackwater project for $550 million, is on the board. So is Jay Sujir, a
well-known Vancouver mining lawyer.
Speaking of people, I should also note that Bill Bennett is on the board
of directors. Bennett was the minister of mines in British Columbia for 16
years and offers truly unparalleled knowledge of government processes and
First Nations relations.
Back to the story. Slater and Hathaway have been driving the Libero story
forward for the last few years. Together the pair of them own 35% of the
stock. B2Gold Corp. (BTG:NYSE; BTO:TSX; B2G:NSX) owns 15%, stock it acquired
when Libero bought its Mocoa project. High-net-worth individuals from Slater
and Hathaway's networks hold a big chunk of the rest.
And some good new shareholders are coming in with the current financing. I
can't name names but some well-respected geologist executives put money into
this raise because they're excited about the opportunity at Big Red.
Big Red
Big Red is a large land package in BC's Golden Triangle. Importantly, the
project is road accessible: A paved road reaches within 18 kilometers (18 km)
of the property and dirt roads extend onto the claim block.
The Golden Triangle hosts immense copper and gold, from deposits styles
ranging from porphyry copper-gold to epithermal gold-silver and volcanogenic
massive sulphide (VMS).
At Big Red there is evidence of all three kinds of mineralization, which
suggests the presence of a large mineralizing system that has not been
eroded.
Big Red is not a new target area. In fact, prospectors first noted
evidence of gold and copper over 150 years ago. From the 1960s onward the
ground saw scattered exploration but the project, as it stands today, was
divided into a bunch of small properties. The combination of divided
ownership and scattered work programs meant nothing exciting ever emerged.
The work did reveal some interesting results, though—enough that in 2014 a
local geologist started working to consolidate the land. It took him four
years but he eventually succeeded, establishing the Big Red project as we now
know it.
Shortly thereafter Libero optioned the project from him. Libero's first
step was to understand what work had, indeed, already been done. The company
tracked down 35 old assessment reports (files that project owners have to
submit to the government outlining work completed) for each claim within the
project and then digitized everything. They also flew a high-res magnetic and
radiometric survey to add to the data.
Hathaway obviously liked what he saw at Big Red before seeing all the old
data, but even he was impressed when the digitization and compilation effort
wrapped up. Old data plus one airborne survey generated multiple porphyry
copper-gold and epithermal gold-copper targets—in short, 50 years of
exploration outlined a host of strong targets at Big Red but no one had
pulled the data together until now.
I'll take you through the targets briefly. First off, the project is
centered around a clear magnetic high, as shown in warm colors below.
Mag highs can outline intrusions. The best places to find mineralization
associated with such intrusions are around the edges. And that is exactly
where Big Red offers gold- and copper-in-soil anomalies.
Copper Bowl is a large, strong copper anomaly, one where copper in soil
grades better than 500 ppm across more than 3 square kilometers.
Ridge is the standout gold target. If you remember just one thing about
Ridge, remember this: The soil anomaly covers more than a square kilometer
and averages 1 g/t gold in soil. A good number of soil samples returned
better than 5 g/t gold, especially in the southern part of the target area,
and the target offered up dozens of rock samples carrying at least 1 g/t gold
and up to 69 g/t gold.
Below is a zoom-in on the southern part of the soil anomaly. Pay attention
to the legend: Purple denotes soils averaging better than 5 g/t, pink where
they average 3 to 5 g/t, on down. Importantly, 5 g/t in soil is exceptional.
I can recall few soil anomalies that strong; the one that stands out is
the soil anomaly above the high-grade discovery at GT Gold Corp.'s
(GTT:TSX.V) Tatogga project.
Because of the similarity, Libero put its Ridge soil anomaly beside that
from Tatogga, with both on the same scale.
The high-grade discovery at Tatogga sits underneath the lower soil
anomaly; the huge porphyry discovery sits under the upper (northern) anomaly.
The target at Big Red is very comparable, to both.
Ridge is the first target Libero will test at Big Red. Copper Bowl is the
second. The map below shows magnetics and soil sample results. Note that most
soil samples were taken along ridgelines, which means they have to represent
in situ mineralization.
As at Ridge, the soil anomaly here is bigger—bigger, in fact—and strong,
and sits on the margin of that big mag high.
There are never any guarantees with exploration, but these targets look
good. It would be nice to have more soil samples as a way of refining drill
targets, but Hathaway has decided he has enough information to start
drilling.
And start they will: Drills will turn at Ridge in September. Results will
be out within perhaps two months.
Copper Projects
I will not spend a lot of time on Libero's two copper assets because focus
is clearly on Big Red for the next while. That said, Mocoa and Tomichi offer
enough copper and exploration potential to give Libero a valuation backstop.
Mocoa is in southern Colombia, near the Ecuador border. It's a porphyry
system that was initially discovered in 1973.
AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. (AU:NYSE; ANG:JSE; AGG:ASX; AGD:LSE) owned Mocoa
for a time, as did B2 Gold. Historic work outlined 636 million inferred
tonnes grading 0.33% copper and 0.04% molybdenum.
I know 0.33% copper doesn't sound like a lot, but Libero is playing a game
of scale with no fatal flaws. Mocoa already hosts 4.6 billion pounds of
copper and is open for expansion, especially at depth, where grades increase.
And 0.33% is a workable grade for an open pit mine if metallurgy and
infrastructure are straightforward.
Tomichi is in Colorado, 50 km east of Gunnison. Colorado doesn't stand out
to most as a copper region but the state actually hosts several very good
copper porphyries. Tomichi is already large, with 711 tonnes of inferred
resource. The grade is a bit low, at 0.21% copper and 0.04% molybdenum, but
again, we're talking about easy metallurgy, access, and infrastructure, al in
a region majors would be happy to operate.
The Wrap
Libero currently has 72 million shares outstanding. As I said earlier,
Slater, Hathaway and B2 Gold own half of the count, while another quarter sit
in tight friendly hands. So while the count isn't small, it's smaller than it
looks.
The current financing will add another 30 million shares, roughly. These
shares will not be available to trade until the four-month hold expires in
December.
The Ridge target at Big Red is a big, strong soil-and-magnetics target in
the popular and prolific Golden Triangle that has never before been drilled.
Given that financing shares will not be trading and that the pre-financing
count is tightly held, it's likely the price will run in the near term as the
market anticipates results.
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With almost a decade of junior resource-focused journalism under her
belt, Gwen Preston launched Resource Maven. Preston watches the
wires, talks to her network and analyzes economics to identify resource news
that matters and figure out how to profit. She focuses on early-stage
exploration and development stories. Preston has been interviewed on CBC and
in Financial Post.
[NLINSERT]
Disclosure:
1) Gwen Preston: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own
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