|
|
Gold Today - After a
weekend of critical European elections the gold price started the week in
Asia lower at $1,638 lower in the dollar [-$3] but higher in the euro at just
below €1: $1.30 then recovered. In the euro the gold price stood at
€1,260 up €20 just ahead of London’s opening. There is no
Fixing in London today as it is a public holiday. Ahead
of New York’s opening it stood at $1,641.25 and in the euro
€1,258.53 while the euro was at €1: $1.3041.
Silver Today - Silver
was$30.14 before Lo0ndon’e opening. Ahead of New York’s opening
it stood at $30.30.
Gold (very
short-term)
Gold will prove
volatile, with an upside bias, today in New York.
Silver (very
short-term)
Silver will
prove volatile, with an upside bias, in New York today.
Price Drivers
A tidal change in the path of European politics took
place over the weekend under the guise of focusing on growth instead of
austerity. With the Socialists winning in France and the anti-austerity
parties taking a grip in Greece, the Eurozone is suddenly back in deep crisis
mode. With the euro opening the week below €1: $1.3 the markets are
very unhappy at the prospects for the Eurozone debt crisis. If the far left
or far right in Greece take power, they will want to renegotiate the bailout
package. [Please note, the dollar is weakening against other hard currencies,
too]
The discussion should not be linked with the state
of Eurozone economies but with the State of national debt management. The
dangers lie solely in the area of financial management and debt management. A
softening of the current austerity path to easier conditions will undermine
the stability and value of the euro. The euro is therefore more than likely
to weaken against the gold price as we are seeing now.
Already the weaker nations of the Eurozone have seen
a massive flight of capital from their banks and in the growing trade
deficits there. Add to that the national debt situation and their crises have
morphed into a total Eurozone crisis as politics and finances are moving to a
confrontation of far greater proportions than we have seen before. It is in
this environment that investors run to cover to safer places with their
wealth. Silver alongside of gold will be among the choices made by a far
wider type and more numerous investor base. [To
follow our weekly commentary, please subscribe to our newsletters at www.GoldForecaster.com and at www.SilverForecaster.com.]
In short, over the
weekend, we have seen a gear change in the Eurozone debt crisis, but a move
away from austerity to growth, but at what cost? This has not been a good
weekend for the euro, but a good one for gold and silver.
Regards,
Julian D.W. Phillips
for the Gold & Silver Forecasters
|
Global Gold Price (1 ounce)
|
|
Today
|
1 day ago
|
|
Franc
|
Sf1,503.05
|
Sf1,503.65
|
|
US
|
$1,655.25
|
$1,653.00
|
|
EU
|
1,250.76
|
€1,251.32
|
|
India
|
Rs.87,045.46
|
Rs.86,799.03
|
|
|