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Precious metals made strong
gains on Friday, largely as a result of weak volume at the Comex futures market in New York. Thanksgiving last
Thursday meant fewer participants in US futures trading on Friday, with
traders taking the opportunity for a long weekend. Lack of liquidity in a
market exacerbates any up or downside move; in this instance, it was the
bulls’ lucky day.
Gold needs to hang above $1,740
and silver above $34 if this move is to have any lasting significance. Bulls
will be encouraged by trading this morning though, with the metals holding
above these levels despite more uncertainty about whether or not European
finance ministers (meeting today) will agree to dispense more aid to Greece.
The EURUSD, copper, the FTSE All-World equity index and US Treasury yields
are down, yet gold and silver are still hanging in there – with silver
in particular showing impressive resilience considering the pressure on
growth assets.
Day-to-day price moves come and
go, and there is often little logic to them. Last Friday was a case in point:
bad news about EU budget talks coincided with a surge in the euro against the
dollar, which is the opposite of what we’d normally expect. Long-term
trends are however more identifiable, and one particularly interesting
longer-term trend to look at right now is the Japanese yen’s
performance against gold, as done in a chart courtesy of the GotGoldReport.
Gold has clearly broken out of a
period of consolidation versus the yen, with
Japanese politicians seemingly at last convincing the markets that they mean
what they say when they state they want a much weaker yen. Priced in yen gold
is now within a whisker of its all time high around
¥146,000 per ounce.
Another event that Western
analysts may pay too little attention to is confirmation that Turkey has been
using gold to pay for
Iranian natural gas – thus neatly sidestepping US-led sanctions against Tehran. The
idea of “gold as money” may be an alien concept in the modern
West, but not in Asia. The new podcast interview we are releasing today with
Amphora Commodities’ John Butler – author of The Golden
Revolution: How to Prepare for the Coming Global Gold Standard – may be worth listening to in
this regard.
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