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WHOLESALE MARKET prices to buy
gold bullion slipped further on Thursday in London, falling to a three-week
low beneath $1709 per ounce as a raft of positive US data buoyed the Dollar,
and fresh rumors broke of a Eurozone exit for
Greece.
Last night's phone-conference of Euro politicians said that Greece must
accept extra budgetary oversight if it is to get the extra bail-out funds to
meet March's critical bond-repayment deadline.
US crude oil prices meanwhile ticked near five-week highs at $101 per barrel.
Silver prices fell 2.4% to hit the lowest level since 25 January around
$32.70 the ounce.
The price to buy gold fell to £1090 per ounce for UK savers, but held
above €42,300 per kilo for Eurozone investors as the single currency
dipped below $1.30.
"Key gold support is in the $1706 area and resistance is at last
week’s high around $1752," reckons the latest technical analysis
from bullion bank Scotia Mocatta.
"Market sentiment towards [buying gold] seems broadly bullish, but some
large stops lurking above $1730 are helping to keep a lid on things,"
says a London dealer.
More broadly, "As a whole gold is adopting a more prominent role in the
financial system," said the World Gold Council's Marcus Grubb to MineWeb this
morning, launching the market-development organization's latest quarterly Gold Demand Trends report.
"Central banks are [now] a key part of this market. They bought 439
tonnes last year, which is a huge move on the demand side, but they also were
leasing more gold into the market...largely [to raise cash for] adding
liquidity to help the European banking system."
Spying "no end currently to the woes of Greece and Italy," the WGC's
new report says that "ongoing
difficulties in the [single Euro currency zone] will further stimulate gold
investment demand."
Gold
Demand Trends also shows China's private demand overtaking world
No.1 India in the fourth quarter of 2011, by holding equal with the last 3
months of 2010 by volume while India's demand fell 42% to the lowest level
since the global recession of early 2009.
France saw positive net gold investment in 2011 for the third year in a row,
after being a consistent "dishoarder" for
almost two decades.
Minting some 80 tonnes of gold coin, Turkey was the world's top bullion mint
once again, according to the WGC's data.
On the economic front Thursday, new US jobless claims fell to a near 4-year
low last week, new figures showed, while housing starts were also better than
analysts forecast.
Excluding fuel and food, factory-gate prices in the US rose 3.0% year-on-year
in January, compared with Wall Street estimates of 2.6%.
In contrast to US gold investment demand, which slipped 29% by value at the
end of 2011, US demand to buy gold jewelry rose 12%
in the last quarter compared with Christmas 2010, says the WGC's report,
reaching $2.3bn.
But "Household debt remains elevated by historical standards," says
a new report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, "and other
determinants of consumer spending remain weak."
Chinese households meantime grew their demand to buy gold jewelry
27% by value year-on-year, spending three times as much as did US consumers.
China's physical gold investment demand rose 20% by value.
"It will probably take some time before investors in Hong Kong fully
warm up to this [gold ETF] product," writes UBS strategist Dr.Edel Tully, noting unimpressive demand for the city's
new exchange-traded gold trust, launched on Monday.
"One of the main appeals of gold in its key markets such as China and
India is that it is a tangible, hard asset and easily accessible to retail
consumers in physical form.
"The shift from gold coins and bars to an exchange-traded product may
take some getting used to."
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