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1.The first four months of 2015 have seen many gold
stocks stage tremendous rallies.In many cases, but not all, the gains
appear to be "here to stay".
2.When some individual gold stocks rise by 100% - 400% in
just four months, investors can begin to feel it's a stock picker's
market.While the best stocks will always produce bigger returns than the
worst ones in any sector, I think what is occurring in the precious metal
stocks is something very much "bigger".
3.Simply put, if you put a bag of popcorn in the
microwave oven, some kernels initially begin to pop.As time passes, most of
the popcorn pops together, with a thunderous sound!
4.There are three powerful forces coming together that
could soon create "upside thunder" across the entire gold
stocks sector.When I say "soon", I'm referring to the late
2015 timeframe.
5.First, there is the coming Chinese gold price
fix.Please click here now. The difference between
a China gold fix and a London gold fix is that the Chinese fix is oriented
around the love trade, while the London fix is oriented around the fear
trade.
6.Love traders don't view good jobs reports in China as
gold sell signals, like the fear traders do in London and New York.They view
very good jobs reports as gold buy signals.Why?
Well, when Chinese citizens are doing well, gold is bought to celebrate their
good fortune, and rightly so!
7.Very bad jobs reports also result in gold buying by
Chinese traders, because a weak economy leads the central bank and the
government to engage in financial stimulus and money printing.That's the same
view held by Western fear traders.
8.As the "love trade fix" comes into
existence later this year, gold should trade with even less volatility
than it has in the early part of this year.The current sideways trend
should morph into a mild uptrend later in 2015.
9.Gold stocks garner serious institutional interest when
gold is in a mild but long term uptrend with a strong foundation, and that's
exactly what the Chinese fix brings to the global gold price discovery table.
10.The second powerful force in price discovery play is
the ten per cent gold import duty in India.Please click here now.India's GDP growth rate
of about 8% leads the world, and the current account deficit, as a percentage
of GDP, is falling fast.
11.Top bank economists have predicted that deficit, which
is the scapegoat for the gold duties, could soon become a surplus.The
Indian mafia has profited immensely from the duties, but the removal of the
80-20 rule in late 2014 has squeezed their profit margins.As India becomes a
bigger player on the world stage, the duties are becoming an eyesore that
must be removed.HSBC, which is considering relocating to Hong Kong (think
gold), predicts the duties will be chopped later this year.I agree, and in
the right circumstances, it could happen this summer.
12.Removing the duties will get the mafia off the back of
India's top jewellers.That will allow demand to grow in sync with the
economy's growth, without mafia or government interference.
13.A huge surge in the price of India's mangled jewellery
stocks will almost be certainly followed by an equally huge surge in the
price of Western mining stocks.
14.The third big driver for gold stocks is inflation
in the West.I've argued vehemently that the main reason Janet Yellen
wants to hike interest rates is to increase bank profits.She wants to
hike rates not because the economy is so strong, but to make it strong.
15.Rate hikes are bullish for gold.They give the
banks tremendous incentive to begin loaning out the huge reserves they built
up under the Fed's QE program.Those loans will be a game changer for M2V
(money velocity).Money velocity, not money supply, is the key to unleashing
the Western inflationary genie from her golden bottle!
16.In late 2013 I was very sure Janet would unveil a
stunning taper of QE to zero in 2014, and she did.She did it because
QE was killing M2V.Simply put, the M2V collapse had to be stopped before it
created a complete deflationary meltdown.
17.I'm even more certain about Janet's plan for rate
hikes and the increase in M2V they will create, than I was about her plan to
taper QE to zero.Regardless, like a fine wine, the three main drivers of
the gold bull era take time to gel, and create everything investors
want to see.My suggestion to all gold stock enthusiasts is to relax, and
enjoy the process.
18.Love trade events in Chindia and Janet's apparent plan
to drive M2V higher, are creating a very bullish foundation for most gold and
silver stocks.
19.Please click here now.That's the daily gold
chart.Gold is postured to move modestly "bull era higher",
from a nice drifting rectangle pattern.Gold will continue to shock both the
fear trade bulls, and the fear trade bears.That's because of the love trade's
growing dominance of price discovery, and because the kind of inflation Janet
Yellen is looking to develop with rate hikes, is going to create a mindset of
"stable but rising" amongst institutional gold stock
investors.
20.Please click here now. That's the GDX daily
chart.The action of numerous individual gold stocks suggest to me that GDX
will easily penetrate the green downtrend line, and grind its way towards
$23.The upwards grind will generate more institutional interest in gold
stocks from a technical standpoint, as the three key fundamental price
drivers I highlight above, grow exponentially more powerful.
21.Please click here now. That's the daily chart
for Barrick Gold.When Barrick was trading near the recent lows around $10.29,
I suggested a move to $13.70 would usher in a huge wave higher, for the whole
gold stocks sector.Barrick did touch that key number, but couldn't close
above it.All gold stock enthusiasts should have their eagle eyes on the
lookout now, for a two day close above $13.70.
22.Please click here now. That's the monthly
Newmont chart.The technical signs are in place for a rally to the $40
area.Note the buy signal being generated by the important 5,15 moving average
series.Accumulators can use my unique pyramid generator to buy the stock
professionally.
23.Please click here now. That's a shorter term
look at Newmont, on the daily chart.With Newmont, I'm watching for a two day
close above $28, to send the stock surging towards my $40 target zone.
24.There is positive price action in many individual gold
and silver stocks now. Big rallies are occurring, even on days when gold and
silver bullion are trading lower. Of course, these surging stocks are still a
minority, but that's because the fundamental drivers of the "bull era
stove", are only beginning to turn up the heat. Once M2V turns
higher, Indian duties get chopped, and the China gold fix is launched, I
expect the Western gold stocks community to be smiling, for a very long time!
Special Offer For Website Readers:Please send me an Email to freereports4@gracelandupdates.com and I'll send you my free "Silver Stocks Launchpad!"
report.As Newmont and Barrick lead the gold stocks rally, I'll show you which
eight silver stocks are set to outshine the golds!
Thanks!
Cheers
st
Stewart Thomson
Graceland Updates
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Stewart Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The
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