Close X Cookies are necessary for the proper functioning of 24hGold.com. By continuing your navigation on our website, you are accepting the use of cookies.
To learn more about cookies ...
EnglishFrench
Gold & Silver Prices in

Market at Risk of One More Leg Down in November

IMG Auteur
Published : November 27th, 2012
321 words - Reading time : 0 - 1 minutes
( 0 vote, 0/5 )
Print article
  Article Comments Comment this article Rating All Articles  
0
Send
0
comment
Our Newsletter...
Category : Market Analysis

 

 

 

 

The SP 500 declined a perfect 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the summer rally from the 1267 lows to the 1474 highs. In our work we examine human behavioral patterns, sentiment, and Elliott Wave patterns to help with clues on market direction. To be sure, there is no such thing as a perfect technical analysis methodology, so we do our best to mix up a home cooked recipe for assistance in getting as close as we can to calling the pivots up and down.


In the near term, we notice the market has rallied out about 45 points off the 1344 pivot lows last week to around 1390 today. This retracement marks a normal 38.2% Fibonacci recovery of the most recent wave 3 decline to 1344. Typically, this is a wave 4 mini-bullish pattern as washout lows get bought and then shorts cover fueling the rally a bit higher. However, this is often when another sledgehammer comes out of left field and knocks the market down in what we would call a “Wave 5” decline to new lows on the downtrend.


Investors should watch both the 20 day moving average which is declining and around 1392 or so, and the 1388-1392 38% Fibonacci retracement areas for resistance. Only a strong close over 1392 can eliminate the potential for one more leg down to the 1316 areas on the SP 500 before the month of November comes to a close. With that said, we expect a rally in December for the markets and hope to see this barrier taken out soon, but would advise traders to tread with caution until such time.




Consider joining us at www.MarketTrendForecast.com for occasional free reports and or a 33% discount to join and get regularly daily forecast updates on the markets and precious metals that are outside the box.


David Banister

The Market Trend Forecast


If you’d like to receive free weekly reports, please check at www.markettrendforecast.com 

 

 

<< Previous article
Rate : Average note :0 (0 vote)
>> Next article
Comments closed
Latest comment posted for this article
Be the first to comment
Add your comment
Top articles
Latest Comments
Republicans Craft the Next Great Healthcare Failure
28 JunJ.-1
Peter Schiff's new nick name, The Nail Gun, 'cause he nailed it over and over again. Blam, blam, blam.... Every point, spot on. The last two...
Leaked Police Report: There Are 23 Muslim-Controlled “No Go Zones” ...
25 Junkevthorne1
I do not know how anyone could take an article like this seriously. It is garbage of the worst kind. 'Anonymous sources' 'unidentified leaks' - not...
Bitcoin in Perspective: Bill Gates Worth More, Gold 200 Times More
22 JunDavid C.2
Yes Mish, but bitcoin and the wealth and debt burdens of the world are fully backed by electrons which are very light. Unlike that 68 ft glob of m...
Bitcoin in Perspective: Bill Gates Worth More, Gold 200 Times More
23 JunDynoman0
Valuable potential is what's currently offered by digital currencies. It makes absolute sense to have a global digital economy based upon borderles...
Absent Without Leave
21 JunS W.
Bail ins for sure. It was agreed at the G20 in Brisbane. You are not really a share holder. You are an unsecured creditor to the bank a...
Absent Without Leave
19 JunJ.3
Perhaps all the international shenanigans are the smoke and mirrors intended to obfuscate the view of the looming financial catastrophe. When the ...
Gold Price Cuts Post-UK Election Loss, ETF Investors Sell, Nasdaq D...
16 JunSam Maher
"the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD) – saw its sharpest liquidation since March in the week-ending Thursday, with shareholders cutting the fund's si...
Things To Come
13 Junkevthorne3
If voting for 'parties' actually made a difference they would have not legalised it. Since 1914, it's been the supply of currency that has governed...
Most commented articlesFavoritesMore...
World PM Newsflow
ALL
GOLD
SILVER
PGM & DIAMONDS
OIL & GAS
OTHER METALS