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According
to standard wisdom, a strong dollar makes gold less attractive, and vice
versa. But as Peter Degraaf points out, the rising dollar of recent months has failed to dampen
investors' enthusiasm for gold. As he explains:
A powerful source
of energy for gold and silver is the ‘real interest rate’. At the
moment US T-bills are yielding 1.5%. The rate of price inflation according to
Mr. John Williams at Shadowstats.com is about 5.5%. This means inflation is
eating away 4% of a dollar that is invested in a T-bill for a year. That is
‘negative real interest’, and gold historically thrives under
those conditions.
He goes on:
Other bullish
factors for gold and silver include the accelerated increase in national debt
of which Greece is just the tip of the iceberg. Next in line will be Spain,
Portugal, Ireland and Iceland. There will no doubt be others. In the USA a
number of states are technically bankrupt and will be looking for the Federal
Government to come to the rescue (read more money printing). These include
California, New York, Illinois among others.
Finally there is the realization among investors that their paper gold
certificates (including futures and options) have about 1 ounce of gold
backing 100 ounce commitments. This game of ‘musical chairs’ will
have a bad ending, except for those of us who demand ‘stuff’
instead of ‘fluff’.
Inflation has
been the policy of most governments throughout history. It has become the
defining characteristic of the U.S. economy. But there is nothing wise or
necessary about inflation. Like taxation, it is simply another form of theft
that's been given respectability by hacks for the state. Many people still
believe inflation will never be a significant problem because we have the
Federal Reserve. It is precisely because of
the Federal Reserve that inflation threatens the economic foundation of the
world.
George F. Smith
Read his book : The
Flight of the Barbarous Relic
Visit his website
Read his blog
George F. Smith is the author of The Flight of the Barbarous
Relic, a novel about a renegade Fed chairman and the editor of Barbarous
Relic.com.
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