Mobius Says Gold Will Gain in 2017 as Fed Goes Slow on Hikes

24-Oct (Bloomberg) — Gold is set to advance by as much as 15 percent before the end of next year as the Federal Reserve goes slow on increasing interest rates and the dollar remains subdued, buoying bullion demand, according to Templeton Emerging Markets Group.

“The Fed is going to increase the rates by a little bit but not excessively and there is no guarantee that a rise in interest rates will put people off,” Executive Chairman Mark Mobius said in an interview at a Bloomberg event in Mumbai. “A lot will depend on the real rates.”

Bullion has rallied 19 percent in 2016 as concern over the health of the global economy, loose monetary policies and the U.K.’s vote to leave the European Union fanned demand. After raising rates last December for the first time in almost a decade, Fed policy makers have stood pat on borrowing costs in the six meetings since. While the dollar gained to the highest since March on Monday on speculation that rates may soon climb, it remains lower this year.

“The U.S. dollar is not that strong and may even decline,” said Mobius, who also highlighted prospects for increased central bank buying of bullion. “So if that happens, gold gets more expensive.”