Over the past two months shares of gold (NYSE:GLD) and Apple (NASD:AAPL)
have had a sizable bite taken out of their share price. Active traders along
with the longer term investors have had a wild ride this fall watching these
investments slide to multi month lows. The big question is when will gold and
apple shares bounce?
Here we are again with another election behind us and Barack Obama in the
White House again. Many think this means four years of the same thing...
Printing, Inflation and higher stock prices.
Is this good or bad for Americans or the world for that matter? I doubt
it, but who really knows and who cares because there is nothing anyone can do
about it now. So buckle up your seatbelt and focus on trading and investing
with major trend both within the United States and abroad using exchange
traded funds.
Currently the broad stock market and commodities are in a full blown bull
market so the focus should be to buy the dips until proven wrong. Below are
some charts showing the important breakout levels for Apple, metals, oil and
key indexes like the Russell 2000.
Be aware that during pullbacks which last more than a month which is the
market has done, some of the biggest drops in price happen just before prices
bottom... Scaling into positions is the key to minimal draw downs.
Apple Inc. - AAPL Stock Chart:
Shares of Apple clearly show the down channel which must be broken before
investors start buying again. This stock seems to have big potential for $650
to be reached quickly. If Apple shares rise so will the overall stock
market...
Gold Spot - GLD Exchange Traded Fund:
During August and September investors flooded the gold market in
anticipation of QE3. Since then gold has been drifting lower with profit
taking and because of some slowly strengthening economic numbers in the USA.
Gold looks ready for a run to the $1800 but may stabilize here for a few
weeks first.
Silver Spot - SLV Exchange Traded Fund:
The price of silver moves similar to that of its big yellow sister (Gold).
While the charts look the same silver is highly volatile and can super charge
your portfolio when metals rally.
Crude Oil Spot - USO Fund:
Crude oil has been correcting for a couple months also and still has a lot
of work to do before a new uptrend to be triggered. Currently oil is trading
in the middle of is trading range but once the price breaks above $93 per
barrel a good investment fund would be USO.
Russell 2000 Small Cap Index - IWM
Small cap stocks typically lead the broad market in both directions. They
are the first to rally and the first to rollover and sell off. The major
indexes like the DOW, SP500 and NYSE have not formed clean chart patterns which
is why my focus is on the Russell 2000. Small cap stocks are now showing a
rising relative strength compared to the SP500 large cap stocks and this is
very bullish for stocks in general. The best way to trade this index is
through the exchange traded funds IWM and TNA.
Post-Election Trading Breakout Summary:
In short, history shows that equities tend to rally after an election. For
a detailed outlook of how to trade stocks and indexes during the election
cycles be sure to read my report "The
Election Cycle - What to Expect in Stocks & Bond Prices"
