Close X Cookies are necessary for the proper functioning of 24hGold.com. By continuing your navigation on our website, you are accepting the use of cookies.
To learn more about cookies ...
EnglishFrench
Gold & Silver Prices in
ArticlesNewsFlowGold & Silver PricesMarket Briefing

Recession Signal Getting Louder: 5-Year Yield Inverts With 3-Month Yield

IMG Auteur
Mish
Global Economic Analysis
Published : February 27th, 2019
135 words - Reading time : less than a minute
( 0 vote, 0/5 )
Print article
  Article Comments Comment this article Rating All Articles  
0
Send
0
comment
Our Newsletter...
Disclaimer
Category : Opinions and Analysis

The yield curve is inverted in 11 different spots. The latest is 5-year to 3-month inversion.

The yield curve recession signal is louder and louder. Inversions are persistent and growing.

Let's compare the spreads today to that of December 18, the start of the December 2018 FOMC meeting.

Yield Curve 2019-02-26 vs December and October 2018

​

Yield Cure Spread Analysis

​

Spread Changes

  • Yellow: Spreads Collapsed Since October (1-Month to 5-Years)
  • Pink: Spreads Remained Roughly the Same (7-Year)
  • Blue: Spreads Increased (30-Year and 10-Year)

Something Happening

Something is happening. What is it?

Possibilities

  1. The bond market is staring to worry about trillion dollar deficits as far as the eye can see
  2. The bond market has stagflation worries
  3. The bond bull market is over or approaching

My take is number one and possibly all three.

Source : moneymaven.io
<< Previous article
Rate : Average note :0 (0 vote)
>> Next article
IMG Auteur
Mish 13 abonnés
Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. He writes a global economics blog which has commentary 5-7 times a week. He also writes for the Daily Reckoning, Whiskey & Gunpowder, and has over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com
WebsiteSubscribe to his services
Comments closed
Latest comment posted for this article
Be the first to comment
Add your comment
Top articles
MOST READ
World PM Newsflow
ALL
GOLD
SILVER
PGM & DIAMONDS
OIL & GAS
OTHER METALS
Gold Editorials | Gold Resource News | Gold Fundamental | Gold Discoveries and Drilling Results | Gold Exploration and drilling | Gold In the News and Medias | Gold Most Read Press Releases | List of Copper mining companies | List of Lead mining companies | List of Nickel mining companies | List of Zinc mining companies | List of Gold mining companies | List of Silver mining companies | List of Platinum mining companies | List of Diamonds mining companies | 金銀市價 | सोने_की_कीमत_और_रजत | Precio del oro y plata | أسعار_الذهب_الفضة | ราคาทองคำและเงิน | gold und silberwechselkurs
Contact us Privacy policy Disclaimer About us
copyright 24hGold