Close X Cookies are necessary for the proper functioning of 24hGold.com. By continuing your navigation on our website, you are accepting the use of cookies.
To learn more about cookies ...
EnglishFrench
Gold & Silver Prices in

Silver market update

IMG Auteur
 
Published : November 13th, 2012
493 words - Reading time : 1 - 1 minutes
( 0 vote, 0/5 )
Print article
  Article Comments Comment this article Rating All Articles  
0
Send
0
comment
Our Newsletter...
FOLLOW : B-wave, Cot, Gold, Silver

 

 

 

 

We exited our short positions in silver for a modest but useful profit when it broke out of its downtrend towards the end of October. It then broke sharply lower on heavy turnover in a move that looks capitulative, but afterwards turned and rose quite sharply over the past week. So the question now is “has it bottomed?” Although the answer to this question is “Yes, it looks like it has”, it also looks like it may back and fill for a little while to complete a base pattern before a sustained advance can get underway. The latest silver COT continues to give grounds for caution and warns that the current turn may be the B-wave trap of a 3-wave A-B-C correction. We are aware of this danger and place stops accordingly to protect us from it.


Silver hit the downside target given in the Marketwatch article posted on the site on October 16th , and is showing signs of basing, as we can see on its 6-month chart below. Whereas October is seasonally negative for gold and silver, November is seasonally positive, especially for gold, which is probably why gold has been performing better than silver in the recent past. Thus while gold has been trying to push out of its small base pattern in recent days, it is believed prematurely, silver has not attempted this feat, and looks like it is in the process of marking out a more proportional small Head-and-Shoulders bottom. Action in both metals looked short-term toppy on Friday after the week’s sharp rise, so it is reasonable to expect silver to drop back and mark out the Right Shoulder low of the potential Head-and-Shoulders bottom shown on the chart. This pattern could abort of course, if the current turn is the B-wave trap of a 3-wave A-B-C correction, and we will now see why this could be so on silver’s latest COT chart.




Given how far silver has dropped back in recent weeks, the Commercial short and Large Spec long positions have not dropped back as much as they should for bulls to be comfortably confident. This is why we have some suspicion that the current turn may be a sucker rally, although one other outcome is a modest rally that doesn’t manage to get above the September – October highs. This is the scenario that the current pattern suggests is the most likely.




On the 3-year chart for silver we can see that overall it remains stuck in a large trading range bounded by the nearest support and resistance shown, although the way it has reversed near its 200-day moving average looks positive. This chart makes clear the importance of the resistance in the $35 - $37.50 zone, as this level has turned the price back 3 times already over the past year. If it can succeed in breaking above this resistance level it will be the most bullish technical development since the April 2011 highs.



 

 

Companies Mentionned : Metals X |
<< Previous article
Rate :Average :0 (0 vote)
>> Next article
Latest comment posted for this article
Be the first to comment
Add your comment
Top articles
Latest Comments
41 Facts about Central Banks no ...
19 Decsamking73
I'm not sure that much was taught about the central banking system back when I was in school...25 + years ago. At least not the important parts.
Gold & Silver Market Morning
19 Decend
If you trade XAU/RUB and have bought XAU using RUB, you should have closed your position as he advised. Then you should have switched, buying gold ...
Muslim terrorism, the left and t...
19 DecFirebear1
All please understand this person was a Muslim,that was his believe! His character was that of a criminal as was shown by his action on the day and...
Napoleon vs. Cheney: "Interrogat...
18 Decwalmarde
Torture just put the moral line lower. Lets think about American exceptionalism. What we want ? we want to spread and defend that exceptio...
Napoleon vs. Cheney: "Interrogat...
18 Decwalmarde
Utilitarianism is bad philosphy. I'm also very disgust about torture. It will backfire in our face. We are now no better than ou...
Napoleon vs. Cheney: "Interrogat...
18 DecJosu O.5
I cannot overstate how important is that every american read this article. It's absolutely wonderful how you have summarized every aspect around to...
Muslim terrorism, the left and t...
18 Decend0
Does anyone still wonder why is Australia hotbed for second generation Muslim migrant radicalization? Does anyone still need an explanation on why ...
Gold & Silver Market Morning
17 Decsamking731
Gypsie, my take on what he's saying is on paper gold, not actual gold that you are holding in your hand. In that way, gold is gold, though Pandas ...
Most commented articlesFavoritesMore...
World PM Newsflow
ALL
GOLD
SILVER
PGM & DIAMONDS
OIL & GAS
OTHER METALS
Comments closed
Subscribe to 24hGold’s daily market briefing
  • Prices and data of precious metals in 119 currencies and world mining companies
  • Daily analysis of the economy, markets and more
  • Free, daily and indispensable
Stay informed, subscribe now !
* Your email will never be shared.