This, the second part of our Silver research article suggesting Silver may be forming a massive price base in preparation for an explosive upside move, will continue from Part I of this research series.
Our research team believes Silver is setting up in a price pattern that may already be “ripe” for an explosive upside move. Our researchers have poured over the data and believe the disparity between Gold and Silver is already at excessive levels.
Historically, anytime the disparity between Gold prices and Silver prices (rationalized into comparative Gold price levels) breaches 30% to 60% and Gold begins an upside price advance, Silver typically begins to move higher with 4 to 8+ months. This setup pushes the Gold to Silver ratio back below 50 or 60 as Silver rallies substantially higher, and faster than the price of Gold.
Comparatively, Silver continues to trade within a sideways price range after basing in early 2016. This price range has been fairly consistent between $14.50 and $21.0. With Gold recently starting to move higher because of the US/Iran military conflict, this raises an early warning flag for our research team because Silver has continued to trade below $18 – and well below recent highs near $20.
The price disparity between Gold and Silver is currently greater than 200% based on our proprietary modeling system. Remember, anytime this disparity level is greater than 30% to 60% and Gold breaks out in a rally, Silver will break to the upside within just a few months.
The second stage rally in Silver, the real
money-maker, will come when investors pile into Silver and Silver Miners as the
breakout in Silver becomes explosive.
The time to get into this trade is/was now or 4 months ago. Still, there is plenty of opportunity for
skilled traders right now because the breakout move in Silver and Silver Miners
has not really begun yet.
The first big upside move in Silver and Miners will be to attempt to move higher and target recent resistance. Resistance in Silver is currently near $19.70 and $21.00. This means any move above $19.75 (or higher) where the price of Silver fails to move above $22 or $23 would constitute a “Stage 1 Base Advancement”.
After this move is complete, a “Breakout
Stage” price move will take place. This
may be where Silver prices advance from the $21 to $23 level up towards the $28
to $32 price level. This upside price
advance breaches the Stage 1 resistance and attempts to establish new support
for a continued Stage 2 advance.
Remember, the current disparity level is
just over 200% between Gold and Silver.
If Gold continues to rally higher and Silver attempts to break higher,
attempting to narrow the disparity level, then Silver will (at some point)
enter a near parabolic upside price move above $36 to $40. Our researchers believe this may happen
before June or July 2020.
This incredible opportunity is currently setting up for skilled traders. Believe it or not, while Silver continues to trade below $18 per ounce and global investors are focusing on US stocks, Emerging Markets, and Gold, Palladium and others, this setup in Silver may become the biggest investment opportunity of 2020. Sure, Gold may rally 80% to 140% over the next 12 to 24 months. Palladium may rally even higher. If Silver does what we expect it to do once this setup/trigger really breaks open, Silver could rally 500%+ over 12 to 24+ months on an incredible upside disparity reversion move.
This last chart highlights why we believe
this setup in Silver should not be ignored.
In 2005, the rally in Silver as a result of this Disparity trigger
resulted in Silver reaching a 38% higher peak than Gold. In 2009, the same Disparity trigger prompted
Silver to rally to levels nearly 300% higher than the peak in Gold prices. If Gold rallies to levels above $2800 to
$3100, which is our expectation, and this Disparity trigger prompts an upside
move in Silver, we believe Silver could rally to levels 200% to 400% (or more)
higher than Gold prices. By our
estimates, that would put Silver prices above $90 to $95 per ounce – possibly
much higher.
Take advantage of any opportunity you have
to position your portfolio for this setup and be patient. The upside breakout in Silver happens like a
train leaving the station. Slow and
steady at first, then building momentum, then finally running at top speed. Each time this Disparity trigger sets up and
executes, Silver starts a moderate move higher at first, then explodes to the
upside as Gold continues to rally higher.
That last explosive move is why Silver reaches peaks that are
substantially higher (in percentage terms) than the peaks in Gold.
Please pay attention to our research team’s efforts to help you create greater success and find great trades. Take a minute to visit Technical Traders Ltd. to learn how we can assist you in 2020 and help you build wealth, attain greater success and stay ahead of these bigger market moves.
As a technical analysis and trader since 1997 I have been
through a few bull/bear market cycles, I have a good pulse on the market and
timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term
investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled
properly.
Join my Wealth Building Newsletter if you like what you read here and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own.
Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com
NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation, or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research. It is provided for educational purposes only. Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed. Visit our web site (www.thetechnicaltraders.com) to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.
