Speculators Sour On Gold & Silver, Which Means The Bottom Is Near - John Rubino

IMG Auteur
 
 
Published : July 15th, 2017
527 words - Reading time : 1 - 2 minutes
( 0 vote, 0/5 )
Print article
  Article Comments Comment this article Rating All Articles  
[titre article pour referencement]
0
Send
0
comment
Our Newsletter...

The stars — in the form of smart and dumb money futures contract positions — have once again lined up favorably for precious metals. Here are those positions for gold and silver as of Tuesday the 4th. Notice that speculators (the dumb money) got a lot less optimistic — that is, less long and more short — while the commercials (the smart money) got much less pessimistic. The closer each group gets to neutral, where their longs and shorts are about equal, the greater the likelihood that metals prices will rise in the subsequent six or so months.

And here’s the same data for silver presented in graphical form. The top bars are speculator longs and the bottom are commercial shorts. When they approach the zero line that’s bullish.

So here we are once again, at the tail end of a grindingly-protracted precious metals correction that has led a lot of people to give up altogether and sell their mining stocks. The next few months should be much better, especially for holders of the junior miners that were caught in the GDXJ downdraft.

Playing this indicator — known as the Commitment of Traders Report, or COT — is of course just a way to pass the time while the real underlying forces affecting precious metals work themselves out. Those forces — rapidly accumulating debts which leave central banks no choice but to inflate away their currencies — are still accelerating in most places, and the inevitability of mass-devaluation will become clear when the central banks now talking about “interest rate normalization” and “balance sheet reduction” are forced to admit that those things are impossible, and all that’s left is debt monetization as far as the eye can see.

On that day it won’t matter what futures traders — or junior miner ETFs — are doing. The physical precious metals bid will go infinite — that is, big players holding useless cash will buy up all the gold and silver that’s available, at pretty much any price that’s demanded.



John Rubino runs the popular financial website DollarCollapse.com. He is co-author, with GoldMoney’s James Turk, of The Money Bubble (DollarCollapse Press, 2014) and The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit From It (Doubleday, 2007), and author of Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green-Tech Boom (Wiley, 2008), How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust (Rodale, 2003) and Main Street, Not Wall Street(Morrow, 1998). After earning a Finance MBA from New York University, he spent the 1980s on Wall Street, as a Eurodollar trader, equity analyst and junk bond analyst. During the 1990s he was a featured columnist with TheStreet.com and a frequent contributor to Individual Investor, Online Investor, and Consumers Digest, among many other publications. He currently writes for CFA Magazine.


The author is not affiliated with, endorsed or sponsored by Sprott Money Ltd. The views and opinions expressed in this material are those of the author or guest speaker, are subject to change and may not necessarily reflect the opinions of Sprott Money Ltd. Sprott Money does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness and reliability of the information or any results from its use.

Data and Statistics for these countries : Georgia | All
Gold and Silver Prices for these countries : Georgia | All
<< Previous article
Rate : Average note :0 (0 vote)
>> Next article
Comments closed
Latest comment posted for this article
Be the first to comment
Add your comment
Top articles
Latest Comments
Pushback
18 Sepdennyc1
If a university professor has been on the job for more than five years without venturing out into the world there's usually nothing to learn here. ...
Rude Awakening for the US in January? No, Just More Alarmist BS Fro...
18 SepDRGEORGE
The world & the US $ have been on the brink for 10 years (or more). In 2008 it nearly happened but giving the 1% a stack of money saved the day. It...
'No evidence' of gold market manipulation, CPM Group's Christian in...
15 Sepneville
Despite being a so-called GOLD website ,I have read more anti GOLD articles on kitco than on any other site. Yes chris you are absolutely corre...
Rude Awakening for the US in January? No, Just More Alarmist BS Fro...
13 Sepgoldsacs1
USA born out of genocide, built by slavery, mantained by continuos wars, profited on fake money, which ultimately will be the cause of its demise. ...
Rude Awakening for the US in January? No, Just More Alarmist BS Fro...
15 SepSilverthumb2
I used to enjoy listening to Rickards. He sold out when he signed on with Agora Financial. Now he's just another ranting alarmist trying to get ri...
What's Killing the Jobs Market?
13 SepJ.0
It is hard to know where to begin to respond to your comment Recusant. You do not seem to understand how markets work. So, I'll throw out some po...
Rude Awakening for the US in January? No, Just More Alarmist BS Fro...
12 SepThe Recusant3
Oh, pish, Mish! Rickards has been spouting alarms for years. It's China and Russia that we must worry about sinking the dollar as the international...
What's Killing the Jobs Market?
09 SepThe Recusant-1
"Businesses thrive in an environment of freedom." Yes, to a certain extent. But when left to their own devices without any regulatory limits we ge...
Most commented articlesFavoritesMore...
World PM Newsflow
ALL
GOLD
SILVER
PGM & DIAMONDS
OIL & GAS
OTHER METALS