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By basing the whole “recovery” argument on fraudulent data, the Fed and
Federal Government have backed themselves into a corner.
After all, anyone with a functioning brain knows that the unemployment
data, and, GDP growth data are massaged at best and totally bogus at worst.
The Fed printed $4 trillion and the US Government spent another $11+ trillion
over the last six years. And we've still got the weakest recovery in 80+
years, assuming it's a recovery. At all.
All this does is confirm one of two things:
1) None of the people in charge of steering the economy have a
clue what they’re doing …
Or…
2) The whole thing was in fact a giant lie used to cover up
the fact that none of the money was spent to try and generate economic
growth.
How do we know the US is not in recovery? It’s really quite simple. If it
were, the Fed wouldn’t have any issue with raising rates. Take a look at the
below chart. Every other recession going back to 1954 saw rates begin to rise
a few years into the recovery.
 
Here’s our latest “recovery.” We are now five to six years into it and
rates are effectively at zero. The old adage says “actions speak louder than
words.” You could literally skip all of the Fed FOMC minutes, speeches, and
Q&A sessions. The below chart is exponentially louder than anything
Yellen or the other Fed leaders could say.
The Fed and Feds can talk about recovery all they want. But it’s just
talk. If the US was truly in recovery, interest rates would be rising.
So… if the money wasn’t spent on creating growth, why was it spent?
To stop the bond bubble from blowing up.
The bond bubble was $80 trillion going into 2008. Today it’s over $100
trillion. The US had $5 trillion in public debt going into 2008. Today it has
over $18 trillion.
Part of this money went towards expanding the already bloated government
with endless programs and social spending. But a significant portion of it
went towards rolling over old debt. The US never had an extra $5 trillion
lying around to pay off its old debts to begin with. And so it has been
issuing new debt to cover for old debt that was coming due.
Indeed, between October and November of last year, the Federal Government
issued $1 trillion in new debt… because it didn’t have the money to pay back
old debt that was coming due. That’s just $1 trillion. Total US debt is above
$18 trillion.
There is no recovery. There is only the bond bubble. And everything has
been done to prop it up because when it bursts (as all bubbles do), entire
countries (including the US) will go bust.
Then and only then we will have a true recovery.
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