Vanishing Middle: Political Polarization in the US and Europe

IMG Auteur
Published : November 07th, 2018
862 words - Reading time : 2 - 3 minutes
( 1 vote, 5/5 )
Print article
  Article Comments Comment this article Rating All Articles  
0
Send
0
comment
Our Newsletter...
Category : Crisis Watch

Immigration is a hotbed radicalizing issue in Europe and the US. Texas is ground zero here. Italy is ground zero there.

Spotlight Texas

A Record 4.8 Million Texans Voted Early in this years midterm elections.

It's hard to say who that favors, but turnout was heaviest in Collin County where nearly 50% of registered voters have already cast their ballots.

Collin county is heavily Republican.

Politico asks Did Beto Blow It?

Over the past six months, I spoke with a host of Texas Republicans about the U.S. Senate race. Many of them dislike Cruz. Some of them privately hope he loses. And all of them are baffled by the disconnect between the superior branding of O’Rourke’s candidacy and what they see as the tactical malpractice of his campaign.

In their view, Cruz is uniquely vulnerable, having alienated Texans of all ideological stripes with his first-term antics—and especially those affluent, college-educated suburbanites repelled by Trump.

“Despite all of Cruz’s problems—and there are plenty—here’s a guy who’s running around talking about Medicare for all, and impeaching Trump, and abolishing ICE. And it’s killing him,” Karl Rove, the former senior adviser to George W. Bush, told me in Austin this summer. “Even for people who dislike Cruz, impeaching Trump strikes many of them as terrible for the country. I’ve got friends and family members who may not vote for Cruz. They don’t like Cruz. But Beto isn’t contesting them. I mean, it’s just weird.”

Instead of pivoting to the center, as spring gave way to summer, the Democratic nominee hardened his positions. Where he had once hedged on his endorsement of "Medicare for all," O’Rourke began forcefully championing a single-payer system. Where he once avoided impeachment talk, O’Rourke reiterated, on the day he and Hurd received an award for civility in politics, that Trump should be removed from office. Where he once carefully straddled the border-security debate, O’Rourke said he was open to abolishing ICE if its duties could be assumed elsewhere.

James Aldrete, a Texas Democratic strategist who ran the Spanish-language media strategy for both Obama campaigns and for Hillary Clinton in 2016, conceded “He never made a political adjustment to reach out to the middle.”

Beto Platform

  • Medicare for all.
  • Medicaid expansion.
  • Invest in job training and apprenticeship programs.
  • Impeach Trump —a position rejected by Nancy Pelosi, and nearly every other prominent Democrat in America, as futile and counterproductive.
  • Open to abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

It's easy to not like Cruz, but it's a lot easier to like Cruz when the opponent is extreme-left.

Cruz vs O’Rourke

I suspect this one will be close but Cruz will win.

O'Rourke may be the only person Cruz can beat just as Hillary was the only person Trump could beat.

Like Hillary, O'Rourke ran a poor campaign. Despite raising huge amounts of money, Cruz outspent O'Rourke on ads in the past few weeks.

Yet, I would not be hugely surprised if O'Rourke won. It's not impossible.

Abandoning the Middle

Neither Cruz nor O'Rourke reached out to the middle.

Apparently no one wants it.

Fiscal responsibility? No one wants that either. Deficits are out of sight and expanding rapidly.

For eight years Republicans were against Obama's budgets. Trump's projected budgets are worse.

A genuine middle-class tax cut would have gone over big. Instead, the middle class got peanuts.

Military waste is enormous. Entitlements are out of control. Interest on the national debt is soaring.

So how does Medicare for all, more Medicaid, more military spending and absurd makeshift job training programs, fit in?

Easy to Be Angry

It's easy to be angry.

Expect things to get worse when the next recession hits and public union pension plans go bust.

You ain't seen nothing yet.

Midterm Senate Races

Fearless Political Predictions

  1. Democrats easily win the House.
  2. Close but no cigar for Democrats winning the Senate. I give the Democrats 6 or 7 of those tossups.

I suspect the Democrats lose Missouri and win all the rest. Even if they win all 7 they have to flip another seat. The best chance is Texas.

So look for a 50-50 Senate tie or the status quo at 51-49.

2019 US Legislation

If the Democrats win the House, very little legislation will pass in the next two years, except of course more wasteful spending by both sides when the next recession hits.

Spotlight Europe

Meanwhile, the splintering is even more pronounced in Europe.

This is not a good economic or political setup to say the least, both globally and in the US.

Trumps tariffs make matters much worse.

Source : moneymaven.io
<< Previous article
Rate : Average note :5 (1 vote)
>> Next article
IMG Auteur
Mish 13 abonnés
Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. He writes a global economics blog which has commentary 5-7 times a week. He also writes for the Daily Reckoning, Whiskey & Gunpowder, and has over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com
WebsiteSubscribe to his services
Comments closed
Latest comment posted for this article
Be the first to comment
Add your comment
Top articles
Latest Comments
On The Hot Seat
25 MarS W.
Good questions ! Butler has never been right and I am going back years. Silver has been in massive downtrend for 8 years and will likely be...
On The Hot Seat
22 MarRobert L.
It is now close on two years ago that Ted Butler said "I am convinced that silver will soon explode in price................the price of silver wil...
Coercion Meets Its Match
24 MarS W.
When I wet to Uni I received a TEAS payment (tertiary education assistance scheme ). It was not a lot of money but it helped. I also worked shifts...
Deadly Serious
22 MarJ.0
Conservatives generally treat others with gentleness and compassion. This is often mistaken for weakness by the Left. Big Mistake. Don’t poke...
The Blind Leading the Deaf and Dumb
19 MarJ.2
The economic depression looming ahead will be violent, but it could also be very short. All that is required is for the government to get out of t...
Ides and Tides
17 MarThemis
The Federal Reserve chairpeople bring to mind Chamberlain's return from Germany prior to WW II, reassuring the British people of "peace in our time".
The Domino Effect – Romania joins Gold Repatriation exodus
17 MarThemis1
The Bank of England, through its arbitrary refusal to repatriate Venezuela's remaining gold, has lost the trust of smaller nations. It has bowed t...
Sunset Boulevard with Chimp
16 MarGypsy0
Thank you James, for Speaking of Complete Reversals to come. Those on the LEFT, defenders of ObamaCare, are now reversing direction and adopting “R...
Most commented articlesFavoritesMore...
World PM Newsflow
ALL
GOLD
SILVER
PGM & DIAMONDS
OIL & GAS
OTHER METALS