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With all
the interest these days in physical gold, silver and other commodities
as well as the large/mid-cap companies who mine the metals and the
juniors who are exploring for them, the question is begged: Why is no one
writing about the merits of investing in the long-term warrants associated
with a few of those companies?
Merits?
Absolutely.
The
proprietary Gold and Silver Warrants Index (GSWI) returned 92% and generated
a 60% leverage of dollars deployed in 2010. Now that I have told you why you
should consider investing in warrants and no doubt have your undivided
attention read on as I outline:
- what
warrants actually are,
- which companies have
long-term tradable warrants,
- when the warrants should be
exercised by,
- where these companies have
their various mines and
- how to go about buying and
selling them.
It is
unfortunate that almost all Americans and most Canadians (investors, brokers,
financial advisors/planners and financial writers alike) are either unaware of,
or not very familiar with, warrants. But this article will change all that.
Why Invest
in Warrants?
As I
mentioned above warrants associated with gold and silver mining with a
duration period of 24 or more months were up 92% in 2010 and 140% in 2009 in US
dollar terms (see a recent article here on the subject). That compares very favorably with:
- the GDXJ (a basket of mid-
and small-cap miners) which was up ”only” 55%,
- the GDX and HUI index
(baskets of mid- and large-cap miners) which were each up 33%,
- that “laggard”
gold which was up a “paltry” 30% and
- silver which was up a
whopping 83%
With
returns like that isn’t it about time you became aware of this asset
class and how to go about claiming “the pot of gold” or
“silver spoon” for yourself – or your clients?
Investors’
ignorance (that is such a harsh word but you know what I mean) about warrants
is probably due to the fact that:
- they are listed almost
exclusively on the Canadian stock exchanges;
- the SEC has put some
limitations on trading in them for Americans;
- they seem complicated because
of their differing time durations;
- they require some specific
knowledge as to how to go about buying and selling them and
- they are limited in number.
That being
said, it is “oh so easy” if you know what you are doing and,
again, this article will explain everything in detail.
What are
Warrants?
A warrant
is a security giving the holder the right, but not the obligation to acquire
the underlying security at a predetermined (i.e. exercise) price and for a
specified period of time (i.e. term or duration).
A
Breakdown of the Warrant Asset Class
1. Number
of Warrants by Commodity
a) Only
135 companies have tradable warrants of which 67% are in the
commodity/natural resource sector, i.e. mining or drilling, exploring and/or
developing or purchasing via royalties.
b) Only 33
companies – yes, only 33 – have tradable warrants (37 in total)
with an expiry date of at least 24 months duration, which I consider to be
the absolute minimum duration period, and, as such, are included in my
proprietary Commodity-related Companies Warrant Index (CCWI).
c) Of the
33 companies with long-term warrants:
- 19 companies are involved in
some aspect of precious metals mining (as included in the GSWI);
- eight are involved in base
metal mining including zinc (1), uranium (1), nickel (1), coal (2),
cobalt (1) and iron ore (2);
- five are involved in oil and
gas operations and
- one
is agricultural-related.
2. Number
of Warrants by Company Market Capitalization
Everyone
seems to think that warrants are only associated with penny stocks but
that is simply not the case. Of the 33 companies in question:
- four have market caps in
excess of $2.5B;
- one has between $500M and
$1B;
- two are between $250M and
$500M;
- 10 are between $100M and
$250M while
How to Trade Warrants
Buying and
selling warrants can be very confusing if you are not aware of the unique
information required to do so and understand just how to go about it. Below
you will find all the information you need to know on the subject:
1. Buying
Warrants
a) TSX/TSXV
Symbols
Warrants trade exactly like the underlying common stock and, as such, they
are assigned a symbol. Since most warrants are associated with Canadian
companies it is easy for Canadian investors to execute orders using their
Canadian symbol but less so for Americans.
b) CUSIP
Numbers
For American investors the best and most accurate way to trade in warrants is
to use the security’s CUSIP number which stands for the Committee on
Uniform Security Information Procedures. The American Bankers Association
established this format of unique codes for all North American stocks, bonds,
puts, calls, warrants, etc. as assigned by Standard and Poor’s. The
CUSIP number consists of a combination of nine characters, both letters and
numbers, which act as a sort of DNA for the security uniquely identifying the
company or issuer and the type of security. The first six characters identify
the issuer and are assigned in alphabetical order; the seventh and eighth
characters, which can be alphabetical or numerical, identify the type of
issue; the last digit is used as a check digit.
c) Pink
Sheet Symbols
Stocks and warrants that trade on the Pink Sheets fall into one of two
categories:
- companies that don’t
meet the listing requirements of the New York, American or Nasdaq stock
exchanges or
- companies – usually foreign
– that are unwilling to jump through the regulatory, legal, and
accounting filings that accompany listing on the major exchanges. That
is the case with most of the commodity-related companies with warrants.
They are Canadian based and see no reason to create a duplicitous legal
and accounting department just to be traded on the NYSE. They have
already met all those legal, regulatory, and accounting requirements in
their own country and feel that the burden is on you to read their home
country filings
and consist
of a five-alpha symbol ending in ‘F’ for Foreign for the five
warrants that fall into this category.
2. Selling
Warrants
Some
investors erroneously believe that you have to hold warrants until the expiration
date but that is the worst thing you can do because when warrants expire they
will do so without any monetary value i.e. they are worthless. Instead,
investors must treat warrants as they would stocks and either sell then when the warrants have met their price objective
or well before they expire.
3.
Exercising Warrants
a)
Leverage
The leverage of a warrant – the extent of the advantage or disadvantage
of buying the warrant at its current price relative to the current price of
the associated stock given the exercise price of the warrant – is a
doable calculation but is better left up to those in the business to provide.
Precious Metal Warrants is one such provider calculating the leverage of each
warrant at both random stock price levels and at fixed stock price percentage
increases which is ideal for comparing the leverage advantage of one warrant
versus another. To my knowledge of the three sites that provide warrant
information they are the only one that provides this unique time/price
increase calculation.
It should
also be noted at this juncture that Precious Metals Warrants is the most
comprehensive site on warrants providing:
- a complete list of ALL
commodity related warrants both short- and long-term;
- the Canadian and/or U.S.
stock exchange or Pink Sheet trading listing symbol of every
warrant;
- the CUSIP number of
every warrant;
- the exercise price of every
warrant;
- the conversion terms of every
warrant;
- the duration (i.e. expiry
date) of every warrant;
- an evaluation (under-, over-
or fair-value) of every warrant;
- the product involved with
every company listed
- the location of operation of
every company listed
- a subscription service (see
details here) containing all of the information outlined above and much more
- advice related to buy-back
offers and stock exchange arrangements that present themselves
- a free weekly newsletter
(sign up here) related to warrants and much more
b) When
the Exercise Price is Achieved
It is important to note that if your warrants are “in the money”,
i.e. the common stock is trading above the exercise price of the warrants,
and the warrants are approaching the expiration date, you must take some
action because, unlike call options where the value of the expired option is
placed automatically into your brokerage account, that is not the case with
warrants. When warrants expire they expire worth absolutely nothing.
From an
American perspective you have only one viable option and that is to sell your
position before the expiration date (and to do so 6 to 12 months before the
expiry date is highly recommended because the value of a warrant often drops
drastically during its final months of life) because, according to US law,
Americans cannot exercise a Canadian warrant unless its associated shares
have been registered with the SEC. Should they exercise a warrant, they would
be receiving a newly issued share which would be illegal.
From a
Canadian perspective you have the option of either exercising the warrants
(i.e. converting them into actual stock in the associated company according
to the terms of the warrant) once they are “in the money” or selling
them outright at any time before they expire.
Dudley
Baker of Precious Metals Warrants has this to say on the subject:
“Frequently
I am asked whether warrants should be exercised if they are trading in the
money…and my answer…is always the same – why bother!
For US
investors, to exercise or not to exercise is a non-issue because virtually
all of the warrants trading on the resource shares are associated with
Canadian companies and the warrants are not registered in the US and, as
such, while US investors can buy and sell warrants, they are not allowed to
exercise them.
Canadian
investors could exercise the warrants, but again, why bother doing so? If you
own warrants of a company you like, you will need to have your brokerage firm
send the warrant certificate to the company's transfer agent along with the
exercise price at which point they would send you the common shares of the
company. As I see it why not just sell the warrants in the market and if you
really like the company and want to continue with them, then just purchase
the common shares. Simple, clean and saves a lot of time and paperwork and
you are in the exact same position.”
c) When an
Early Buy-Back Offer is Made
Should a company make an offer for your warrants via an early buy-back offer
you have the choice of either accepting the offer or selling your warrants
outright unless the company had a specific early call feature (which you
should have been aware of at the time of purchase) in which case you would be
legally obliged to sell.
d) When
There Is a Stock Exchange Arrangement
In a stock exchange arrangement, the warrants will continue on as warrants of
the acquiring company with the same expiration date and with the exercise
terms adjusted to reflect the terms of the stock exchange in the merger. The
owner of said warrants will want to assess the prospects of the new owner to
assess the upside potential of their “new” warrants and if the
assessment is not positive to sell out before others come to the same
conclusion.
4.
Interacting With Brokerage Firms
a)
Canadian Brokers
As there
are symbols for all Canadian warrants Canadians will find the placing of
orders very easy to execute and, as such, convenient to use online brokerage
firms if so inclined. Be that as it may, please make note in the last
paragraph in this section how ‘exactly’ to go about placing your
order with a broker.
b)
Non-Canadian Brokers
The
situation is not as straight forward for those individuals using non-Canadian
brokerage houses because many online brokers are not set up with the symbols
for the warrants you might wish to trade. As such, it will be necessary to
deal with a broker directly and have him/her enter the order for you. Because
a broker needs the correct symbol for placing the order the most important thing
you can do is give the broker the actual CUSIP number for the warrant you
wish to purchase and, where possible its Pink Sheet symbol, to avoid any
confusion on the part of your broker.
5.
Communicating with Non-Canadian Brokers
Your
broker may need to be educated on how to exercise an order. As such, never
“ask” your broker if they will execute your order for
warrants but, instead, “tell” them exactly what you want
them to do. If you just “ask” many brokers will say they
don’t trade in Canadian warrants so they can’t execute your
order. However, if you “tell” them exactly what you want them to
do on your behalf most will be more than happy to comply – and below
are exactly what instructions you should give them.
6. Placing
an Order to Buy or Sell
Warrants,
like many small cap stocks, often have very thin markets (i.e. demand) and,
as such, usually have a big spread between the bid (the price at which you
are willing to make a purchase) and ask (the price at which you are willing
to sell) price. As such, it is imperative that you place only “limit
orders” when buying or selling warrants associated with Canadian
commodity-related stocks.
- When American investors go
online and see that a warrant of interest is trading with a US0 symbol
placing an order should be problem free. However, if it has a Pink Sheet
symbol the price for the most recent bid or ask price should not be used
as a basis for establishing a new bid or ask price because that price
will just be the last trade in the US and therefore may be days, weeks
or even months old compared to the bid and ask prices on the more active
Canadian exchanges. In such situations you should visit here for the up-to-the-minute bid and ask prices,
as quoted in Canadian dollars. You can also go here where you can access comparative charting
capabilities for both the warrant and the associated stock, recent news
on the company, its latest financials, 30 day price history and access
to the most recent research on the company. You will also need to go to
a currency conversion site to get the current U.S. dollar to Canadian
dollar exchange rate because you will be buying the warrants priced in
Canadian dollars.
There are
two kinds of orders that can be placed when attempting to buy or sell a
security:
- Market Orders: A market order
does not have a set price and is therefore executed immediately at the
current “market” price. Markets, especially OTC markets, can
be highly volatile, and the price of execution may differ dramatically
from the price at time of order entry. Those who use market orders are
more concerned about the speed of the execution as opposed to the price.
- Limit Orders: A limit
order has a set price and may only be executed at the set price;
however, a limit order may never get executed because the market may
move away from the set price. Those who use limit orders risk not having
an order executed.
a) To place an order to buy, for example, 5,000
warrants of ABC Mining Company with a CUSIP number of 123456789 and you want
to limit the price you pay to $1.43 Canadian then give your broker these
specific instructions:
- “I want to buy
5,000 ABC Mining Company warrants, CUSIP number – 123456789
– at a ‘limit price’ of $1.43 in Canadian
dollars”. Add the words “which will be good until
cancelled” if you are entering a stink bid or if you are trying to
buy a very thinly traded warrant.
- Ask your broker to confirm
the order by reading the order back to you and it’s done. It is as
simple as that!
b) To
place an order to sell 3,500 warrants of ABC Mining Company with a CUSIP
number of 123456789, for example, and you don’t want to part with your
warrants for less than, say, $1.69 Canadian then instruct your broker as
follows:
- “I want to sell 3,500
ABC Mining Company warrants, CUSIP number – 123456789 – at
an ‘ask price’ of ‘no less than’ $1.69 in
Canadian dollars” and again add the words “which will be
good until cancelled” or “until the close of business
today” if you want the opportunity to reassess your ask price at
the end of the day.
- Ask your broker to confirm
the order by reading back your instructions to you and it is done.
Again, it is as simple as that!
Why Bother
Investing in Warrants
- Last year a basket containing
one each of the long-term commodity-related warrants went up 91%
while their associated stocks “only” went up 57%.
- Warrants are priced about 60%
less on average than their associated stocks and, therefore, you
are in an ideal position to leverage your dollars very effectively.
There’s
your answer as to why you should consider investing in warrants as opposed to
their associated stock. Investing in warrants gives you the opportunity to
earn more dollars (in percentage terms) with considerably fewer dollars at
risk.
Conclusion
It
warrants (pun intended) becoming more knowledgeable as to the which, when,
where, why and how aspects of buying/selling warrants – and now you
are.
Lorimer Wilson (follow via FACEBOOK
and/or TWITTER ) is
editor of www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making
Money!) and www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com (A
site for sore eyes and inquisitive minds) and publisher of a daily FREE Financial Intelligence Report which
can be subscribed to here.
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