Recevez notre Marketbriefing
Member since May 2012
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>Forecast 2020 — Whirlin’ and Swirlin’  - James Howard Kunstler - 
One thing you overlook in your 'Long Emergency' and the end of cheap oil, is food. Food prices are tightly coupled to energy prices. If energy becomes scarce, food will become scarce.

A major driver of the Arab Spring uprisings was a spike in food prices, it was preceded by a spike in oil prices to over $100 /bbl.

If you are correct about the energy industry collapsing in 2020, then there will be global starvation and upheaval the following year after crops fail, and food cannot be delivered across the globe.
We won't be worrying about the battle for hearts and minds or Wokester crap, there will be bigger fish to fry. People will be on the move.

269 days ago
Beginning of the headline :The Meta The big question for the year 2020 is simple: can America get its mind right? If the answer is no, we may not have much chance of continuing as a peaceful, functioning country. The era of the long emergency, as I call it, is of a piece with Strauss and Howe’s figurative winter in their Fourth Turning view of history playing out in generational cycles analogous to seasons of the year. Whatever you call it, the current disposition of things has had a harsh effect on our collective psycho... Read More
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