Last week, the beginning of April 18th, 2016, silver was on fire, rising sharply
and forcing 'Wall Street' to take note of its move though, many investors believe
that gold and silver are one and the same, one can hold either in your portfolio
and earn the same returns? the truth is far from that!
In reality, though both silver and gold are considered precious metals and
over the long-term, they have a high degree of 'correlation' in their movements,
but in the short-term, for the active investor, both offer opportunities at
different times.
From the chart below, it is clear that once the bull market starts in precious
metals, silver beats gold hands down. From 2005 to the highs in 2011, gold
returned an impressive 350% returns, whereas for the same period, silver recorded
an astounding 700% return.
My subscribers are aware that we are extremely bullish on the precious metals
over the next few years, when the global economies enter 'The Great Financial
Reset'. Gold will be in a sustained bull market for years to come and will
reach levels which now seem unbelievable.
History suggests that if gold witnesses a resounding bull market, silver will
outperform it.
However, occasionally, investors will benefit if they trade in and out of
both these markets. At times, holding silver is more profitable than gold and
at other times, it is the other way around.
Consider this, if one would have bought gold, during the start of this year
of 2016, one would have made an impressive 16% returns in the first two months'
as shown in the chart below. However, silver would have returned a 12% return
for the same two-month period.
Since then, I raised a 'red flag' regarding a short-term top developing in
gold and gold prices have been range bound with a downward bias.
On the other hand, silver has taken off, on April 18th, 2016, netting an investor
a 16% gain in this month, which beats most other asset classes, including gold.
Today, 'Commercial Traders', as determined by their large position, which we
have not been this bearish on silver since 2008. This is when silver traded
from $21 per ounce all the way down to $8 just before silver had a multi-year
rally topping in 2011. They set a new record short position last week!
Concluding Thoughts:
In a couple days I will be posting the second half of this article here on
this website to show you what exactly is likely to happen and when for both
gold and silver. Trading and investing is not as simple a many think. Just
because you or someone you follow is bullish on an investment does not mean
it is a good buy or should be bought. Timing is everything in the markets and
knowing when and where to buy and sell is the key to long term success.
The big question you should be asking your self is if precious metals are
headed lower? This I will share with you in a couple days, stay tuned.
