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masoro
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The 'Real Stuff' Economy Is Falling Apart

- John Rubino - Dollar Collapse

An independent measure of the decline in manufacturing can be seen in the chart for Capacity Utilization at https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CAPUTLB00004SQ .
The regression line (trend line) of the tops of the cycle and the lows for the cycles from 1965 to 2015 have a strong negative slope. US is currently at the top the cycle (at 76.3%). The historical shape of the cycles implies the next downturn is likely to occur soon.

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Début de l'article :Each month one or two high-profile government reports show the US is growing, adding jobs and generally recovering from the Great Recession. But it's not clear how that can be, when the part of the economy that makes and moves real things keeps shrinking. Here's a chart, published recently by Zero Hedge, showing that US manufacturing has been contracting for the past year: Meanwhile, the companies that move physical things around are falling hard: Railroad stocks drop af... Lire la suite

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