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Mariana Resources Ltd

Published : January 09th, 2013

Anglo Asian Mining - SP Angel BUY research follwoing positive FY 2012 gold production

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Good Morning,

SP Angel Research Update on Anglo Asian Mining following a positive update on gold production having produced circa 50,000 ounces for FY 2012 from its flagship Gedabek mining operation in western Azerbaijan.  A new Agitation leaching plant is expected to begin commissioning in April 2013 which is set to improve gold recoveries at Gedabek of oxides and sulphides by 85% and 69% respectively.

Kindest regards

Felicity

 

Anglo Asian Mining PLC (AAZ LN) 47p, mkt cap �53m � Q4 production gold sales and IBA loan updates

BUY (Target price and earnings under review)

         Anglo Asian reported Q4 operating results at the Gedabek gold mine and updated the market on the financing for the new processing plant.

         Gold production from heap leach operations grew 3.5%qoq (-5%yoy) to 14,530oz.

         The company mined and crushed 209kt of ore (+2%qoq , +10%yoy) for placement onto the leach pads at an average grade of 3.04g/t (+3%qoq, -6%yoy).

         We estimated quarterly output at 15,415oz assuming higher throughput. Grades were better than expected.

         FY2012 gold production was in line with management�s estimates (49,000-51,000oz) and totalled 50,215oz (-12%yoy) on weaker throughput (-11%yoy) and lower grades (-8%yoy).

         Q4 gold sales (ex. government share of 12.75%) totalled US$19.5m (-10%qoq, -14%yoy) using an average price of US$1,694/oz (+2%qoq, unch. yoy).

         FY2012 gold sales were US$71.0m (-9%yoy) at an average price of US$1,660/oz (+6%yoy).

         Silver production from heap leaching came in at 4,790oz in the last quarter and 20,133oz in during FY2012, below company�s expectations for 26,000oz.

         The SART plant produced 116t of copper (-12%qoq, -32%yoy), 14,242oz of silver (-39%qoq, -63%yoy) and 14oz of gold in Q4. FY2012 production totalled 502t of copper (-18%yoy), 98,158oz of silver (-27%yoy) and 86oz of gold. This compares to a revised company�s target of 600t for annual production and our estimates for 580t.

         In December the Company signed a contract with Glencore for the sale of 2,500wmt and 550dmt (equivalent to 1,100wmt assuming 50% water content) of copper concentrate. Anglo Asian is estimated to have accumulated 2,900wmt of concentrate worth some US$7.9m.

         SART sales amounted to US$2.1m during FY2012.

         Glencore will be buying 250wmt/month under the current agreement and we expect Anglo Asian to sell out its stockpiles through FY2013.

         IBA loan update announced yesterday said the International Bank of Azerbaijan released further US$25.5m for construction of the new processing plant. In addition to previously committed US$18m this brings total available funds to US$43.5m. The Company drew down US$29.6m as of Dec 31. The agitated plant is estimated to cost US$52m and the IBA confirmed it is ready to provide a total of US$60m subject to internal considerations and approval. Our calculations assume US$60m capex, allowing for potential contingencies.

         Agitated leaching plant construction is progressing well and is on schedule to be commissioned in H1 2013.

         Cash in the bank as of 31 December was US$2.4m with outstanding debt of US$31.4m.

Conclusion:  Gedabek gold production performed in line with revised targets. The mine suffered a 12% fall in production yoy due to a poor start early last year in tough winter conditions. This year should be easier and H2 2012 production was little changed from the previous year as the mine better performed to expectations.

We estimate H2 cash costs (including 12.75% share of the Government share of production) to average US$540/oz, down from US$767/oz recorded in H1, on higher gold production and sales of copper concentrate. Annual cash costs are forecast to average US$654/oz.

Completion of the construction and commissioning of the agitated leaching plant should be a turning point for the Company and should increase recoveries of oxide ore to 85% from current 70s% and to 65% for sulphides.

The IBA continue to support the company through ongoing and new funding for the construction of the agitated leach plant.

 

Analysts

Sergey Raevskiy � 0203 470 0474

John Meyer � 0203 470 0470

Carole Ferguson � 0203 470 0473

 

Sales

Richard Parlons � 0203 470 0472

Jody Downes � 0203 470 0471

 

SP Angel

Prince Frederick House

35-37 Maddox Street

London

W1S 2PP

 

 

+SP Angel employees may have previously held, or currently hold, shares in the companies mentioned in this note.

 

DISCLAIMER

This note has been issued by SP Angel Corporate Finance LLP (�SP Angel�) in order to promote its investment services.

This information is a marketing communication for the purpose of the European Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) and FSA�s Rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence or objectivity of investment research.

This document is not based upon detailed analysis by SP Angel of any market; issuer or security named herein and does not constitute a formal research recommendation, either expressly or otherwise.

The value of investments contained herein may go up or down. Where investment is made in currencies other than the base currency of the investment, movements in exchange rates will have an effect on the value, either favourable or unfavourable. Securities issued in emerging markets are typically subject to greater volatility and risk of loss.

This note is confidential and is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published in whole or in part, for any purpose.

Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitutes, or is to be construed as, an offer or invitation or other solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell investments. This information is for the sole use of Eligible Counterparties and Professional Customers only and is not intended for Retail Clients, as defined by the rules of the Financial Services Authority (�FSA�) and  subject to SP Angel�s Terms of Business as published or communicated to clients from time to time.

It is not investment advice and does not take into account the investment objectives and policies, financial position or portfolio composition of any recipient. This document should not to be relied upon as authoritative or taken in substitution for the exercise of you own commercial judgment. SP Angel is not responsible for any errors, omissions or for the results obtained from the use of the information in this document.

This document has been prepared on the basis of economic data, trading patterns, actual market news and events, and is only valid on the date of publication. SP Angel does not make any guarantee, representation or warranty, (either expressly or implied), as to the factual accuracy, completeness, or sufficiency of information contained herein. This document has been prepared by the author based upon information sources believed to be reliable and prepared in good faith.

SP Angel, its partners, officers and or employees may own or have positions in any investment(s) mentioned herein or related thereto and may, from time to time add to, or dispose of, any such investment(s).

SP Angel Corporate Finance LLP is a company registered in England and Wales with company number OC317049 and whose registered office address is 35-37 Maddox Street, London W1S 2PP.  SP Angel Corporate Finance LLP  is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority whose address is 25, The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS and is a Member of the London Stock Exchange plc.

 

 

Data and Statistics for these countries : Azerbaijan | All
Gold and Silver Prices for these countries : Azerbaijan | All

Mariana Resources Ltd

EXPLORATION STAGE
CODE : MARL.L
ISIN : GB00B12GJ720
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Mariana Res. is a silver and gold exploration company based in Australia.

Its main exploration properties are BUENAVENTURA and PERRO CHICO in Chile and LA BORITA, CAÑADON LARGO, LOS CALANDRIAS, LOS AMIGOS (ARGENTINA) and SIERRA BLANCA in Argentina.

Mariana Res. is listed in United Kingdom. Its market capitalisation is GBX 18.3 billions as of today (US$ 20.6 billions, € 18.1 billions).

Its stock quote reached its lowest recent point on June 10, 2016 at GBX 0.34, and its highest recent level on July 10, 2017 at GBX 100.00.

Mariana Res. has 182 602 930 shares outstanding.

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AIM (MARL.L)
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