Timmins Gold Corp.

Published : January 14th, 2011

d Mine Plan and Increased Production Schedule for the San Francisco Mine, Sonora, Mexico

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Updated Mine Plan and Increased Production Schedule for the San Francisco Mine, Sonora, Mexico

TSX-V:TMM

View News Release in PDF Format


Timmins Gold Corp. ("Timmins" or the "Company") announces the completion and filing of the technical report titled NI 43-101 F1 updated resources and reserves and mine plan for the San Francisco Gold Mine, Sonora, Mexico, dated November 30, 2010, prepared by Micon International Limited of Toronto (Micon). The Technical Report was prepared to update the previous technical report dated March 31, 2008 (as amended on January 13, 2009), and to provide a base case scenario for increased production at the San Francisco Mine as a result of rising gold prices and a 28 % increase in the estimated mineral reserves at the mine.

Highlights

  1. Total gold production of 539,699 ounces from 2011 to 2016
  2. Average annual production of approximately 100,000 ounces of gold
  3. Base case life of mine cash costs of USD489 per ounce
  4. Strip ratio of 1.73
  5. Increase of crushing capacity to 18,000 tonnes per day

Commenting on the Technical Report results, Timmins Gold President Arturo Bonillas said: "The Technical Report confirms the robust economics of the San Francisco Mine. The increase in the mineral reserves at the San Francisco Mine has been obtained from the successful drilling undertaken up to June 30, 2010 and higher gold prices. The decision to increase the capacity of the crushing system to 18,000 tonnes per day by adding one more module has been derived from a number of factors including the successful startup of the mine, rising gold prices and the commensurate decrease in cutoff grade, and management's conviction that additional reserves will be established in and around the pit as a result of the extensive drilling program planned for 2011. We are confident that the base case scenario is conservative and that we will be able to achieve lower cash costs in actual operations."

RESOURCE AND RESERVE ESTIMATES

Mineral Resource

The updated mineral resource estimate was initially published on November 16, 2010. Figures have been rounded to reflect that they are estimations. Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not, however, have demonstrated economic viability.

Mineral Resource Estimate (Inclusive of Mineral Reserves)
(Cut-off Grade 0.131 g/t Gold, USD 1,100 Gold Price)

 

Resource Classification

Tonnes (x 1,000)

Gold Grade (g/t)

Contained Gold (oz)

Measured

19,089

0.797

489,000

Indicated

23,442

0.658

495,000

Total Measured and Indicated

42,531

0.720

984,000

Inferred

10,308

0.628

208,000


For open pit resources, Timmins utilized Lerchs Grossman pit shell geometry at reasonable long term prices, costs and recovery assumptions. The resource is based on a pit shell constructed at a gold price of USD 1,100 per ounce. Pit optimization was based on Measured, Indicated and Inferred resources which includes undiluted mineral reserve material based on data available as at August 31, 2010.

Mineral Reserve

Proven and Probable Reserves derived from the Measured and Indicated mineral resources including mine recovery and a dilution factor of 12% have been estimated within the ultimate pit outline commensurate with a gold price of USD 900 per ounce. Figures have been rounded to reflect that they are estimations.

Mineral Reserves after Mining Recovery and Dilution
(Cut-off Grade 0.16 g/t Gold at USD 900/oz)

 

In Pit Reserves

In Pit Waste

Classification

Tonnes (x 1,000)

Grade (g/t)

Contained Ounces

Waste Tonnes (x 1,000)

Total Tonnes (x 1,000)

Stripping Ratio

Proven

17,194

0.756

418,000

 

 

 

Probable

17,738

0.635

362,000

 

 

 

Total

34,932

0.695

780,000

60,417

95,349

1.73


The strip ratio is estimated to be 1.73.

ECONOMIC EVALUATION

Metal Price Forecast


Revenue projections are based on a constant gold price of USD 1,000/oz in real terms, closely approximating the 3-year trailing average price but significantly lower than current spot prices. Accordingly, the sensitivity of the project to a gold price in a range of up to USD 1,400/oz has also been evaluated. For minor silver content, a price of USD 17/oz has been used.

The undiscounted base case cash flow evaluates to approximately USD 273.6 million before tax and USD 207.1 million after tax. The base case Net Present Value (NPV) at a discount rate of 8%/y (NPV) evaluates to approximately USD 216.8 million before tax and USD 163.1 million after tax. As pre-2011 capital costs have been treated as sunk, no internal rate of return has been calculated. The average cash cost of production equates to USD 489 per ounce of gold, or USD 7.88 per tonne treated.

Base Case

The base case evaluation has been made for a nominal through put rate of 18,000 tonnes per day, which is expected to be achieved by July, 2011. A summary of the base case life-of-mine statistics and annual cash flows are summarized in the table below.

Project Base Case Annual Cash Flows at USD 1,000 Per Ounce of Gold

 

 

USD 000

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

LOM total

Revenue

Gross Sales

94,272

103,502

103,042

103,913

86,217

48,744

539,689

 

Bullion delivery

274

305

278

280

236

124

1,497

 

Bullion refining

112

123

120

121

101

52

629

 

Net Sales Revenue

93,885

103,074

102,644

103,513

85,880

48,567

537,564

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash Op. Costs

Mining costs

35,528

33,279

29,418

24,260

23,722

13,572

159,779

 

Crushing costs

8,525

9,455

9,454

9,454

9,439

2,709

49,036

 

Leach costs

5,666

6,340

6,340

6,340

6,337

1,380

32,405

 

ADR costs

1,442

1,576

1,576

1,576

1,570

428

8,168

 

Metallurgy & Lab costs

441

451

451

451

446

193

2,434

 

G&A costs

1,923

1,997

1,997

1,997

1,977

781

10,672

 

Total Cash Operating Costs

53,526

53,098

49,236

44,077

43,491

19,065

262,494

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash Operating Margin (EBITDA)

40,359

49,975

53,408

59,435

42,389

29,502

275,070

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital

Initial/expansion capital

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

 

Sustaining capital

6,143

690

2,729

393

302

302

10,559

 

Changes in working capital

5,915

1,013

-375

-321

-2,247

-13,090

-9,107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net cash flow before tax

28,302

48,273

51,055

59,363

44,335

42,291

273,618

Taxation payable

9,082

12,706

13,195

14,370

9,512

7,658

66,523

Net cash flow after tax

19,220

35,567

37,859

44,993

34,823

34,633

207,095

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discounted Cash Flow (8 %/y) Pre-Tax

27,234

43,010

42,119

45,345

31,357

27,696

216,760

Cumulative DCF (8 %/y) Pre-tax

27,234

70,243

112,362

157,707

189,064

216,760

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discounted Cash Flow (8 %/y) After tax

18,494

31,689

31,233

34,369

24,630

22,681

163,096

Cumulative DCF (8 %/y) After tax

18,494

50,183

81,416

115,785

140,415

163,096

 


Sensitivity Study

Sensitivity of the NPV to changes in gold price, operating and capital costs has been analyzed. Revenues are directly proportional to gold price, recovery and grade. With an adverse change of 30% (i.e., a reduction in gold price to USD 700 per ounce), NPV remains strongly positive; economic break-even occurs with a gold price of around USD 510 per ounce. At USD 1,300 per ounce, NPV before tax is estimated at approximately USD 349 million.

Sensitivity of the project NPV has also been determined for a specified range of gold prices.

Sensitivity of NPV to Gold Price

 

Gold Price
US$/oz

NPV before tax
(US$ 000)

NPV after tax
(US$ 000)

600

40,309

39,764

700

84,422

75,151

800

128,535

104,487

900

172,648

132,981

1,000

216,760

163,096

1,100

260,873

193,292

1,200

304,986

224,666

1,300

349,099

256,040

1,400

393,211

287,415


The project is moderately sensitive to operating costs. As the bulk of project capital costs are already sunk, sensitivity to capital expenditures is negligible.

CONCLUSIONS

The following is a summary of Micon's conclusions:

"Micon has reviewed Timmins' operational plans for the San Francisco mine and believes that the mine plan and operational parameters have been well thought out. It is Micon's opinion that the San Francisco mine is a well-run operation. Micon supports the further economic studies to determine the impact of increasing the crusher throughput to 18,000 tonnes per day.

Micon has reviewed the proposed exploration program for San Francisco. It is Micon's opinion that Timmins' proposed exploration plans are properly conceived and justified for the San Francisco Mine and property.

Given the known extent of mineralization on the property, compared to the amount of mining activity, the San Francisco Mine and property has the potential to host further deposits or lenses of gold mineralization, similar in character and grade to those exploited in the past, outside the present resource base."

Qualified Person

This press release was reviewed and prepared by Lawrence A. Dick, Ph.D., P.Geo, a director of the Company, who is recognized as a Qualified Person under the guidelines of National Instrument 43-101 and by Miguel Soto, P. Geo., a director and the COO of the Company. Pursuant to National Instrument 43-101, Mr. William Lewis, B.Sc., P.Geo., Mr. Mani Verma, M.Eng., P.Eng., Ing. Alan J. San Martin, MAusIMM., from Micon International Ltd, (Micon), of Toronto, Ontario are the independent Qualified Persons responsible for the Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resource Estimate. Mr. Christopher A. Jacobs, CEng, MIMMM and Mr. Richard M. Gowans, B.Sc., P.Eng. of Micon International Ltd, (Micon), of Toronto, Ontario are the independent Qualified Persons responsible for the economic assessment and metallurgy. Each of Mr. Lewis, Mr. Verma, Mr. San Martin, Mr. Jacobs, Mr. Gowans, Mr. Dick and Mr. Soto have read and approved the contents of this news release. For further information please contact at 604-682-4002, or go to the website at
www.timminsgold.com or contact our President Arturo Bonillas at arturo@timminsgold.com or 011-52-662-252-1132.

On behalf of the Board:
Bruce Bragagnolo, LLB
Chief Executive Officer
604-638-8980
bruce@timminsgold.com

Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

This News Release contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements which relate to future events. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as "may", "should", "expects", "plans, "anticipates", believes", "estimates", "predicts", "potential", or "continue" or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. These statements are only predictions and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our or our industry's actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, levels of activity, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.

While these forward-looking statements, and any assumptions upon which they are based, are made in good faith and reflect our current judgment regarding the direction of our business, actual results will almost always vary, sometimes materially, from any estimates, predictions, projections, assumptions or other future performance suggestions herein. Except as required by applicable law, Timmins Gold does not intend to update any forward-looking statements to conform these statements to actual results.

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Timmins Gold Corp.

PRODUCER
CODE : TMM.TO
ISIN : CA88741P1036
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Timmins Gold is a gold producing company based in Canada.

Timmins Gold holds various exploration projects in Mexico.

Its main asset in production is SAN FRANCISCO in Mexico and its main exploration properties are QUILA, COCULA, EL PICACHO, TEQUILA, EL CAPOMO, TRINCHERAS & PATRICIA, TIM CLAIMS, NORMA SONORA, LA CHICHARRA and TEQUILA in Mexico.

Timmins Gold is listed in Canada and in United States of America. Its market capitalisation is CA$ 231.2 millions as of today (€ 210.4 millions).

Its stock quote reached its highest recent level on November 16, 2012 at CA$ 3.48, and its lowest recent point on January 22, 2016 at CA$ 0.11.

Timmins Gold has 355 630 016 shares outstanding.

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