BP plc

Published : June 09th, 2010

Recession Drove 2009 Energy Consumption Lower

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bp.com | Press | Statistical Review of World Energy 2010
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  Global newsletter 09 June 2010
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spacer spacer spacer spacer spacer Recession Drove 2009 Energy Consumption Lower

BP today launched its 2010 BP Statistical Review of World Energy, in which it announced that the global recession drove energy consumption lower in 2009 than the previous year, the first such decline since 1982, as the world economy contracted for the first time since the Second World War.

BP Chief Economist Christof Ruehl said, ''Energy consumption reflected the pattern of recession and recovery. For the world as a whole, primary energy consumption fell by 1.1 per cent in 2009, the first decline since 1982. Consumption in the industrialized countries of the OECD fell by 5 per cent - more than their decline in GDP; those countries consumed less energy last year than ten years ago. Energy consumption outside the OECD increased by 2.7 per cent - more than their increase in GDP and driven by growth in China. The shift toward the developing world continues.''

Commenting on the data highlights in the review, Iain Conn, Group Managing Director and Chief Executive of Refining & Marketing said: ''Last year's decline in global energy consumption was rare; and where we have data so far in 2010 energy consumption is again on the rise. The world needs to invest today to be able to deliver the energy supplies that will be needed in the future. Events in the Gulf of Mexico, however, demonstrate that access to some energy resources will almost certainly require enhanced measures to ensure safe operations and capabilities to safeguard the environment.''

Globally, consumption of oil, natural gas and nuclear power declined, while coal consumption was essentially flat; only hydroelectric output and other renewable forms of energy increased in 2009. The data on energy consumption suggests that global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from energy use fell for the first time since 1998.

For the year as a whole, prices for all forms of traded energy fell, with the sharpest declines seen for traded natural gas and coal in North America and Western Europe - though Asian coal prices fell less sharply in face of strong Chinese import growth. Oil prices declined for the first time since 2001. During 2009, prices for oil and coal in competitive markets hit their low points early in the year, with oil prices recovering first, while spot natural gas prices in North America and Western Europe continued to decline well into 2009.

In addition to varying demand stories by fuel and region, the different price paths were also driven by supply-side stories. In the oil market, sustained OPEC cuts led production to fall even more rapidly than consumption did. For natural gas, sharp production declines in Russia, Turkmenistan, and Canada were partly offset by growth in LNG and the US. In turn, robust US gas production growth (the strongest in the world for three consecutive years) was driven by unconventional supply, especially shale gas.

The Review reports proved oil reserves of 1,333.1 billion barrels at the end of 2009, including Canadian oil sands under active development and an upward revision in official Venezuelan reserves. Global reserves are sufficient to meet 2009 production for 45.7 years. On the same basis, reserves of gas are sufficient for 62.8 years and coal for 119 years.

Oil

Dated Brent averaged $61.67 per barrel in 2009, a decline of 37 per cent - the largest decline (in percentage terms) since 1986. Prices began the year below $40 and rose steadily throughout the year, reaching a peak of more than $78 in mid-November. Sustained OPEC production cuts and improving economic prospects as the year progressed supported prices.

Global oil consumption declined by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd), or 1.7 per cent, the largest decline since 1982. OECD consumption fell by 4.8 per cent (2 million bpd), a fourth consecutive decline. Outside the OECD, consumption growth slowed to 860,000bpd, or 2.1 per cent, the weakest percentage growth since 2001. China, India, and Middle Eastern countries accounted for all of the non-OECD growth.

Global oil production dropped even more rapidly than consumption, falling by 2 million bpd, or 2.6 per cent, the largest drop, again, since 1982. OPEC production cuts implemented late in 2008 were maintained throughout 2009, resulting in a decline of 2.5 million bpd, or 7.3 per cent. Every OPEC member participating in the production-cutting agreement reduced output in 2009. OPEC's Middle Eastern members accounted for nearly 75 per cent of the overall reductions.

Oil production outside OPEC grew by 0.9 per cent or 450,000bpd. US production increased by 460,000bpd, or 7 per cent, the largest increase in the world last year and largest US percentage increase in our data set. Elsewhere, production growth in Russia, Brazil, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan was offset by continued production declines in China and mature OECD provinces of Mexico, Norway, and the UK. Russia surpassed Saudi Arabia as the world's leading oil producer in 2009.

Global refining capacity in 2009 grew by 2.2 per cent, or 2 million bpd, the largest increase since 1999. Non-OECD capacity surpassed OECD capacity for the first time. Higher refining capacity and declining consumption pushed global refinery utilization to 81.1 per cent, the lowest rate since 1994.

Natural gas

Globally, natural gas was the fuel that experienced the most rapid decline in consumption, falling by 2.1 per cent, the largest decline on record. Consumption declined in all regions except the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. Russia had the world's largest decline (in volumetric terms), with consumption falling by 6.1 per cent. OECD consumption fell by 3.1 per cent, the largest decline since 1982.

Global gas production declined for the first time on record. Production fell sharply in Russia (-12.1 per cent) and Turkmenistan (-44.8 per cent), driven by declining consumption - in Russia and much of the rest of Europe - and the availability in Europe of competitively-priced LNG. Continued expansion of unconventional supplies allowed the US to record the world's largest increase in production for the third consecutive year, surpassing Russia as the world's largest producer.

Other fuels

Global coal consumption was flat in 2009, the weakest annual change since 1999. The OECD (-10.4 per cent) and the FSU (-13.3 per cent) experienced the steepest consumption declines on record, due to the combination of recession and competitively-priced natural gas. Elsewhere, consumption grew by 7.4 per cent, near the historical average, with China accounting for 95 per cent of the increase.

Global nuclear output dropped by 1.3 per cent, a third consecutive global decline. Hydroelectric generation grew by a below-average 1.5 per cent, which was nonetheless sufficient to make hydro the world's fastest-growing major fuel in 2009.

While other forms of renewable energy remain a small share of the global energy mix, they have continued to grow rapidly. Continued government support, including targeted fiscal stimulus in many countries, helped to boost global wind and solar generation capacity by 31 per cent and 47 per cent, respectively. Ethanol production rose by 8 per cent, just over half the historical average.


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Statistical Review of World Energy 2010
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BP plc is a producing company based in United kingdom.

BP plc is listed in Canada and in United States of America. Its market capitalisation is US$ 129.4 billions as of today (€ 121.0 billions).

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2/8/2010Receives Offer for its Retail Fuels and Convenience Business...
2/2/2010Delivers on Promises in "Very Good" 2009 as 4Q Profits Jump ...
1/29/2010Paul Anderson to Join the BP Board
11/19/2009Maxim Barsky Selected to Become Next TNK-BP CEO
11/3/2009and CNPC to Develop Iraq's Super-Giant Rumaila Field
11/3/2009Quarterly Financial and Operating Information
10/28/2009TT Begins Gas Production From Savonette
10/26/2009to Farm into Risha Concession in Jordan
10/20/2009Meeting the Energy Challenge
10/9/2009Gas: the natural choice
10/1/2009Makes Nineteenth Oil Discovery in Ultra-Deepwater Block 31 A...
9/24/2009A Road Map for America's Energy Future
9/16/2009Continues to Focus Wind Business on USA, Divests Indian Wind...
9/2/2009Announces Giant Oil Discovery In The Gulf Of Mexico
8/11/2009and Martek Biosciences enter a joint development agreement t...
8/4/2009Quarterly Financial and Operating Information
7/28/2009Output Rises as CEO Hayward Sees Costs Falling $1 Billion Mo...
7/24/2009Irving Oil and BP will not proceed with proposed second refi...
7/17/2009Announces Successful Results of Mad Dog South Well
7/13/2009and SOCAR Sign MOU To Explore New Caspian Acreage
7/6/2009First Cargo From Indonesia's Tangguh LNG Project
6/10/2009Statistical Review of World Energy 2009
6/10/2009In Turbulent Year Developing World Leapfrogs Sluggish OECD i...
5/29/2009Solar and RGE Energy AG Announce One of the World's Largest ...
5/28/2009TNK-BP Shareholders Agree on CEO Succession Plan
5/27/2009Makes Eighteenth Oil Discovery in Ultra-Deep Water Block 31 ...
3/5/2009Annual Review 2008
3/3/2009Replaces 2008 Production by 121 Per Cent and Aims to Grow An...
3/3/2009Makes Seventeenth Oil Discovery in the Ultra-deep Water Bloc...
3/2/2009Reminder - BP's strategy update - March 2009
2/19/2009and Verenium Form Leading Cellulosic Ethanol Venture to Deli...
2/18/2009Robert Dudley to Join BP Board
2/17/2009strategy update - March 2009
2/11/200928th CERA Executive Conference - Opening speech to the Cambr...
2/11/2009Quarterly Financial and Operating Information
2/3/2009Hayward Pledges to Keep BP on Course, with Output Rise and E...
1/15/2009Former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder Agrees To Join TN...
1/9/2009Sign Deal To Align Interests and Boost Value of Russian Join...
1/6/2009Lamar Mckay To Lead BP America
12/3/2008Asset Exchange Strengthens BP Position In Southern North Sea
11/26/2008Energy Trends and Climate Change: A Road ahead for Governmen...
9/4/2008and AAR Move to Resolve Joint-Venture Dispute
9/2/2008Chesapeake Energy Corporation and BP America Announce Fayett...
8/6/2008and Verenium announce significant partnership to accelerate ...
7/28/2008Series of Oil Developments Gets Go Ahead in Angola Block 31
7/25/2008Pledges Continued Robust Support for TNK-BP CEO Robert Dudle...
7/18/2008Global newsletter
7/3/2008Signs as London 2012 Partner
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NYSE (BP)
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