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Celtic Reports Financial and Operating Results for the Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2011
Published : November 10, 2011
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CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwire - Nov. 10, 2011) - Celtic Exploration Ltd. (News - Market indicators) ("Celtic" or the "Company") is pleased to report its financial and operating results for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2011. Summary of results for the third quarter are as follows:

  Three months ended September 30 ,
($000's, unless otherwise specified) 2011   2010   Change  
             
Revenue, before royalties and financial instruments 55,298   47,989   15 %
             
Funds from operations 34,626   30,963   12 %
  Basic, $/share 0.35   0.34   3 %
  Diluted, $/share 0.34   0.34   0 %
             
Profit (loss) (1,592 ) (1,897 ) -16 %
  Basic, $/share (0.02 ) (0.02 ) 0 %
  Diluted, $/share (0.02 ) (0.02 ) 0 %
             
Capital expenditures, net of dispositions 96,682   72,762   33 %
             
Weighted average common shares outstanding            
  Basic, thousands 97,650   90,089   8 %
  Diluted, thousands 100,900   92,110   10 %
             
Production            
  Oil (bbls/d) 3,859   3,747   3 %
  Gas (mcf/d) 71,691   76,555   -6 %
  Combined (BOE/d) 15,808   16,506   -4 %
             
Production per million shares (BOE/d) 162   183   -11 %
             
Realized sales prices, after financial instruments            
  Oil ($/bbl) 79.77   62.29   28 %
  Gas ($/mcf) 4.18   4.22   -1 %
             
Drilling activity            
  Total wells 12   18   -33 %
  Working interest wells 7.5   12.7   -41 %
  Success rate on working interest wells 91 % 100 % -9 %

Summary of financial and operating results for the nine months ended September 30, 2011 are as follows:

  Nine months ended September 30 ,
($000's, unless otherwise specified) 2011   2010   Change  
             
Revenue, before royalties and financial instruments 163,723   169,000   -3 %
             
Funds from operations 102,126   100,168   2 %
  Basic, $/share 1.07   1.12   -4 %
  Diluted, $/share 1.04   1.10   -5 %
             
Profit 3,100   27,449   -89 %
  Basic, $/share 0.03   0.31   -90 %
  Diluted, $/share 0.03   0.30   -90 %
             
Capital expenditures, net of dispositions 238,007   110,724   115 %
             
Total assets 932,905   710,764   31 %
Bank debt, net of working capital 219,738   168,017   31 %
Shareholder's equity 547,586   411,704   33 %
             
Common shares outstanding, thousands 97,820   90,184   8 %
Stock options outstanding, thousands 7,337   7,325   0 %
             
Weighted average common shares outstanding            
  Basic, thousands 95,402   89,701   6 %
  Diluted, thousands 98,502   91,139   8 %
             
Production            
  Oil (bbls/) 3,676   4,061   -9 %
  Gas (mcf/d) 71,177   79,294   -10 %
  Combined (BOE/d) 15,539   17,277   -10 %
             
Production per million shares (BOE/d) 163   193   -16 %
             
Realized sales prices, after financial instruments            
  Oil ($/bbl) 79.64   67.53   18 %
  Gas ($/mcf) 4.24   4.52   -6 %
             
Drilling activity            
  Total wells 46   47   -2 %
  Working interest wells 31.0   33.7   -8 %
  Success rate on working interest wells 98 % 94 % 4 %
             
Undeveloped land            
  Gross acres 710,513   494,587   44 %
  Net acres 643,557   432,777   49 %

Message to Shareholders

Celtic Exploration Ltd. ("Celtic" or the "Company") is pleased to report to shareholders the Company's activities in the third quarter of 2011. During the quarter, Celtic drilled 12 (7.5 net) wells with an overall net success rate of 91%. Production during the quarter averaged 15,808 BOE per day, a decrease of 4% from 16,506 BOE per day in the third quarter of 2010. Production during the third quarter did not reflect the start-up of Resthaven production that Celtic had previously expected to commence in September 2011. Initial production from the Company's Resthaven facility, which is tied into the Simonette Gas Plant, was brought on-stream on October 28, 2011. In addition, partial production from Fir was brought on-stream in late September, with little impact to third quarter average production volumes. With the start-up of Resthaven and Fir production, Celtic expects to show significant production growth in the fourth quarter of 2011.

In the third quarter of 2011, Celtic recorded funds from operations of $34.6 million ($0.34 per share, diluted), up 12% from $31.0 million ($0.34 per share, diluted) reported in the same quarter of the previous year. Despite lower production levels during the third quarter, funds from operations increased primarily due to a higher realized average sales price and lower production and transportation expense per BOE.

Net capital expenditures during the quarter were $96.7 million and bank debt, net of working capital, at September 30, 2011 was $219.7 million, up 31% from $168.0 million at September 30, 2010.

Subsequent to the end of the third quarter, Celtic issued 6.9 million common shares by way of short-form prospectus for gross proceeds of $172.5 million. Also, subsequent to the end of the third quarter, the Company announced that it had entered into an agreement to acquire natural gas assets, including production of approximately 2,500 BOE per day, at Grande Cache, Alberta, adjacent to Celtic's core area at Resthaven, for cash consideration of $50.0 million.

Drilling and Operations

At Kaybob, Alberta, the Company drilled two (1.9 net) Triassic Montney horizontal wells and one (0.3 net) Cretaceous Bluesky horizontal well. Also at Kaybob, Celtic participated in the drilling of two (0.2 net) Devonian Beaverhill Lake wells in the Kaybob South BHL Unit # 1, one (0.1 net) of which was unsuccessful.

At Inga, British Columbia, Celtic participated in the drilling of two (0.8 net) Triassic Doig horizontal wells. The first well located at 04-36-087-23W6 (40% WI) was completed and after a five day test, the well was producing oil at a rate of 1,070 barrels per day and natural gas at a rate of 3.5 MMCF per day (1,650 BOE per day combined), at a flowing wellhead pressure of 12,627 kPa (1,830 psi). The second well located at 01-33-087-23W6 (40% WI) will be completed in the fourth quarter.

At Fir, Alberta, the Company drilled one (0.7 net) horizontal well with a measured depth of approximately 4,000 metres. This well, located at 08-27-059-22W5 will be completed in the fourth quarter.

In the Greater Resthaven area of Alberta, Celtic carried out three operations which further delineate this exciting Triassic Montney play. The Company drilled two (2.0 net) horizontal wells and drilled one (1.0 net) re-entry horizontal well during the third quarter of 2011.

The first horizontal well that was drilled during the third quarter is located north of the Simonette River near Jayar at 04-34-061-03W6 (100% WI). The well was drilled to a measured depth of 5,130 metres and was completed with a 16-stage foam fracture technique. After 82 hours of clean-up and flow, at the end of the test, the well was producing natural gas at a rate of 20.4 MMCF per day and condensate at 568 barrels per day, at a flowing wellhead pressure of 12,863 kPa (1,837 psi).

The second horizontal well that was drilled during the third quarter is in the central part of Celtic's Greater Resthaven land block near Wanyandie located at 01-03-060-01W6 (100% WI). The well was drilled to a measured depth of 4,597 metres and was completed with a 13-stage foam fracture technique. During the last 24 hours of the 6 day test, the well was flowing natural gas at a rate of 4.1 MMCF per day and condensate of 48 barrels per day, at a flowing wellhead pressure of 1,052 kPa (150 psi).

The third operation during the third quarter was a re-entry horizontal well located near Simonette at 04-11-062-27W5 (100% WI). This well was intended to test an eight section block near Simonette, away from Celtic's contiguous block of lands in the Greater Resthaven area. The well has been completed and is currently being tested.

Celtic has been active at recent Alberta crown land sales in the Resthaven area. The company has increased it's land holdings with Triassic Montney rights to 461,357 gross acres (720 sections) and 443,254 net acres (692 sections).

At Resthaven, Celtic has completed the Phase I construction of gas gathering pipelines and a central compression and dehydration facility located at 02-10-060-01W6 (the "Resthaven facility"). The Company has started operating the Resthaven facility, with the first compressor running, since October 28, 2011. Natural gas from the Resthaven facility is pipeline (12 inch) connected to the Simonette gas plant operated by Keyera Corp. Two 100% working interest horizontal wells have been tied-in to the Resthaven facility which is currently producing at the first compressor's maximum capacity of 12.7 million cubic feet per day.

A second compressor with a capacity of 15.3 million cubic feet per day is expected to start up next week, at which time, four additional 100% working interest horizontal wells are expected to be tied-in to the Resthaven facility. As a result, Celtic has aggregate capacity of 28.0 million cubic feet per day from Phase I construction.

Phase II construction is currently underway as Celtic extends the gas gathering pipeline system north of the Simonette River. As part of this construction phase, the Company expects to install a third compressor and additional dehydration facilities by late December 2011, expanding the aggregate capacity of the Resthaven facility to 50.0 million cubic feet per day.

Phase III construction will commence in 2012, at which time the Company intends to extend its gas gathering pipelines to the wells located in the southern block of its contiguous land holdings. Celtic currently has four rigs operating in the Resthaven area, drilling horizontal wells and expects to keep these rigs operating throughout 2012 further delineating and de-risking the Company's 692 section Triassic Montney land base.

2011 Guidance

Celtic maintains its exit 2011 production guidance of approximately 24,500 BOE per day. However, due to the K3 Gas Plant outage and pipeline and facility construction delays, certain production at Fir and Resthaven were brought on-stream later than originally forecasted. As a result, average production for 2011 has been reduced to between 16,800 and 17,000 BOE per day (previously between 18,400 and 18,700 BOE per day).

The Company's average commodity price assumptions for 2011 are US$92.50 (previously US$93.50) per barrel for WTI oil, US$4.15 (previously US$4.30) per MMBTU for NYMEX natural gas, $3.50 (previously $3.55) per GJ for AECO natural gas and a US/Canadian dollar exchange rate of US$1.018 (previously US$1.020). These prices compare to average 2010 prices of US$79.43 per barrel for WTI oil, US$4.42 per MMBTU for NYMEX natural gas, $3.95 per GJ for AECO natural gas and a US/Canadian dollar exchange rate of US$0.970.

After giving effect to the aforementioned production and commodity price assumptions, funds from operations for 2011 is forecasted to be approximately $146.5 million or $1.45 per common share, diluted (previous forecast was $158.0 million or $1.59 per common share, diluted) and net loss is forecasted to be approximately $1.8 million or $0.02 per common share, diluted (previous forecast was $3.2 million or $0.03 per common share, diluted).

Bank debt, net of working capital, is estimated to be $82.9 million by the end of 2011 or approximately 0.6 times forecasted 2011 funds from operations.

The Company's announcement whereby it has entered into an agreement to acquire assets at Grande Cache, Alberta is not reflected in the guidance provided herein as that transaction is not expected to close until December 2011.

2012 Guidance

Celtic continues to remain optimistic about its future prospects. Celtic is opportunity driven and is confident that it can continue to grow the Company's production base by building on its current inventory of development prospects and by adding new exploration prospects. Celtic will endeavour to maintain a high quality product stream that on a historical basis receives a superior price with reasonably low production costs. In addition, the Company takes advantage of royalty incentive programs in order to further increase netbacks. Celtic will continue to focus its exploration efforts in areas of multi-zone hydrocarbon potential.

Celtic's Board of Directors has approved the Company's 2012 capital expenditure budget of $375.0 million. The Company expects to spend $295.0 million on drilling and completing wells, $60.0 million on facilities, equipment and pipelines, and $20.0 million on land and seismic.

Celtic expects production in 2012 to average between 27,500 and 28,000 BOE per day. The Company recently added significant production at Resthaven and Fir after installing gas gathering pipelines and compression and dehydration facilities and looks forward to continued growth from both these areas in 2012. Average production in 2012 is expected to be weighted 24% oil and 76% gas; however, operating income in 2012 is expected to be weighted 52% oil and 48% gas. At the low end of the range of 2012's average production forecast, this represents a 64% increase from the forecasted average production of 16,800 BOE per day for 2011. On a production per share basis, the increase would be 53%.

Celtic expects to achieve continued efficiencies in its cost structure in 2012. Production expense is estimated to be $7.57 per BOE and royalties are expected to average 10.9%. General and administrative expense is estimated to be at industry leading low levels of $0.67 per BOE.

The Company's average commodity price assumptions for 2012 are US$82.50 per barrel for WTI oil, US$4.15 per MMBTU for NYMEX natural gas, $3.65 per GJ for AECO natural gas and a US/Canadian dollar exchange rate of US$0.9755. These prices compare to forecasted average 2011 prices of US$92.50 per barrel for WTI oil, US$4.15 per MMBTU for NYMEX natural gas, $3.50 per GJ for AECO natural gas and a US/Canadian dollar exchange rate of US$1.018.

After giving effect to the aforementioned production and commodity price assumptions, funds from operations for 2012 is forecasted to be approximately $243.0 million or $2.22 per common share, diluted and net loss is forecasted to be approximately $10.0 million or $0.10 per common share, diluted.

Changes in forecasted commodity prices and variances in production estimates can have a significant impact on estimated funds from operations and profit. Please refer to the advisory regarding forward-looking statements below.

Sensitivities to changes in commodity prices would affect forecasted 2012 funds from operations and profit as follows:

(i) A change of 10% in the AECO natural gas price of $0.365 per GJ, would affect funds from operations by $17.2 million ($0.15 per common share) and profit by $12.9 million ($0.12 per common share);

(ii) A change of 10% in the WTI oil price of US$8.25 per barrel, would affect funds from operations by $6.9 million ($0.06 per common share) and profit by $5.2 million ($0.05 per common share); and

(iii) A change of 10% in the US/Canadian dollar exchange rate of US$0.0976 per CAD, would affect funds from operations by $34.5 million ($0.31 per common share) and profit by $25.8 million ($0.23 per common share).

Bank debt, net of working capital, is estimated to be $215.0 million by the end of 2012 or approximately 0.9 times forecasted 2012 funds from operations.

Upon closing of the previously announced agreement to acquire assets at Grande Cache, Alberta, the Company will provide revised 2012 guidance to reflect the impact of the acquisition.

Outlook

In spite of continued AECO natural gas prices below $4.00 per GJ, Celtic is able to generate profitable returns on its investments due to the nature of its asset base that is primarily made up of predictable and repeatable resource type development in liquids-rich natural gas formations.

Given the success from recent well completions, Celtic maintains its exit 2011 production guidance of approximately 24,500 BOE per day. However, due to the K3 Gas Plant outage and pipeline and facility construction delays, certain production at Fir and Resthaven were brought on-stream later than originally forecasted. As a result, average production for 2011 has been reduced to 16,800 BOE per day (previously 18,400 BOE per day).

Celtic's Board of Directors has approved the company's 2012 capital expenditure budget of $375.0 million. Oil and gas production for 2012 is forecasted to average between 27,500 and 28,000 BOE per day. Celtic's previous announcement whereby it has entered into an agreement to acquire assets at Grande Cache, Alberta is not reflected in the guidance provided herein as that transaction is not expected to close until December 2011.

The Company is excited about its active exploration program and looks forward to updating shareholders with further results in the near future. Celtic continues to maintain a flexible financial position so that it can pursue opportunities as they arise.

Disclaimers and Advisories

Financial Outlook

The information set out herein under the heading "2011 Guidance" and "2012 Guidance" is "financial outlook" within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The purpose of this financial outlook is to provide readers with disclosure regarding Celtic's reasonable expectations as to the anticipated results of its proposed business activities for 2011 and 2012. Readers are cautioned that this financial outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes.

Forward-looking Statements

This press release contains expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about future events, conditions, results of operations or performance that constitute "forward-looking information" or "forward-looking statements" (collectively, "forward-looking statements") under applicable securities laws. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by the Company and described in the forward-looking statements. We caution that the foregoing list of risks and uncertainties is not exhaustive. Events or circumstances could cause actual dates to differ materially from those estimated or projected and expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are made as of the date hereof and the Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise unless expressly required by applicable securities laws.

Non-IFRS Financial Measurements

This press release contains the terms "funds from operations", "operating netback" and "production per share" which do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore may not be comparable with the calculation of similar measures by other companies. Funds from operations and operating netbacks are used by Celtic as key measures of performance. Funds from operations and operating netbacks are not intended to represent operating profits nor should they be viewed as an alternative to cash provided by operating activities, net earnings or other measures of financial performance calculated in accordance with IFRS. Operating netbacks are determined by deducting royalties, production expenses and transportation expenses from oil and gas revenue. Funds from operations are determined by adding back change in non-cash operating working capital to cash provided by operating activities. The Company calculates funds from operations per share using the same method and shares outstanding which are used in the determination of earnings per share.

Other Measurements

All dollar amounts are referenced in Canadian dollars, except when noted otherwise. Where amounts are expressed on a barrel of oil equivalent ("BOE") basis, natural gas volumes have been converted to oil equivalence at six thousand cubic feet per barrel and sulphur volumes have been converted to oil equivalence at 0.6 long tons per barrel. The term BOE may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. References to oil in this discussion include crude oil and natural gas liquids ("NGLs"). NGLs include condensate, propane, butane and ethane. References to gas in this discussion include natural gas and sulphur.

Critical Accounting Estimates

Management is required to make judgments, assumptions and estimates in the application of IFRS that have a significant impact on the financial results of the Company. These estimates and assumptions are developed based on the best available information and are believed by management to be reasonable under the existing circumstances. New events or additional information may result in the revision of these estimates over time.

Financial Statements

Celtic's unaudited financial statements and related notes for the interim period ended September 30, 2011 will be available to the public on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and will also be posted on the Company's website at www.celticex.com on November 10, 2011.



Celtic Exploration Ltd.
David J. Wilson
President and Chief Executive Officer
(403) 201-5340
or
Celtic Exploration Ltd.
Sadiq H. Lalani
Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer
(403) 215-5310
or
Celtic Exploration Ltd.
Suite 600, 321 - 6th Avenue SW
Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2P 3H3
www.celticex.com
Data and Statistics for these countries : Canada | All
Gold and Silver Prices for these countries : Canada | All

Celtic Exploration Ltd.

CODE : CLT.TO
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Celtic Expl. is a exploration company based in Canada.

Celtic Expl. is listed in Canada. Its market capitalisation is CA$ 2.9 billions as of today (US$ 2.8 billions, € 2.1 billions).

Its stock quote reached its lowest recent point on June 10, 2005 at CA$ 10.00, and its highest recent level on February 28, 2013 at CA$ 27.06.

Celtic Expl. has 105 827 000 shares outstanding.

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Financings of Celtic Exploration Ltd.
3/15/2011Announces $101.5 Million Bought Deal Equity Financing
Financials of Celtic Exploration Ltd.
11/9/2012Reports Financial and Operating Results for the Three and Ni...
8/10/2012Reports Financial and Operating Results for the Three and Si...
5/10/2012Reports Financial and Operating Results for the Three Months...
3/8/2012Reports Financial Results for the Year Ended December 31, 20...
8/12/2011Reports Financial and Operating Results for the Three and Si...
6/7/2011Reports Financial and Operating Results for the Three Months...
Project news of Celtic Exploration Ltd.
2/13/2012More Than Doubles its Oil and Gas Reserves at December 31, 2...
1/10/2012Achieves Record Production as at the End of 2011
5/16/2011Announces Production Disruptions Due to Gas Plant Outages
Corporate news of Celtic Exploration Ltd.
2/21/2013Announces Investment Canada Approval of Proposed Acquisition...
1/31/2013Provides Update on Investment Canada Review With Respect to ...
10/17/2012Exxon Mobil to Acquire Celtic Exploration
9/10/2012Provides Operations Update
9/10/2012- Peters & Co. Limited 2012 Energy Conference Webcast - ...
8/7/2012to Hold Conference Call on Second Quarter 2012 Results on Fr...
7/9/2012Announces Enhanced Natural Gas Liquids Recovery Arrangement ...
5/9/2012to Hold Conference Call on First Quarter 2012 Results on Thu...
4/27/2012Reports an Increase in Its Bank Credit Facility
4/16/2012Closes Over-Allotment Option
4/12/2012Closes $150 Million Convertible Debenture Financing
3/22/2012Announces Increase to Previously Announced Offering of Conve...
3/22/2012Announces C$125 Million Public Offering of Convertible Deben...
3/8/2012Provides an Operations Update
11/30/2011Completes Acquisition Of Assets at Grande Cache
10/25/2011Closes Over-Allotment Option
10/7/2011Closes $150 Million Bought Deal Equity Financing
9/19/2011Increases Bought Deal Equity Financing to $150.0 Million
9/19/2011Announces $125.0 Million Bought Deal Equity Financing and Pr...
9/13/2011Provides Operations Update
4/26/2011Closes Over-Allotment Option
4/11/2011Provides Operations and 2011 Guidance Update
3/31/2011Closes $101.5 Million Bought Deal Equity Financing
3/16/2011Announces Gas Plant Outage at Kaybob
3/7/2011Provides Drilling and Operations Update
3/7/2011Reports Financial Results for the Year Ended December 31, 20...
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