Hillgrove Resources

Published : January 22nd, 2015

Wilson HTM - Hedging Expands Hedge Book

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Keywords :   Copper | Lead | Mark To Market | Market |

Wilson HTM - Hedging Expands Hedge Book

12m Target Price


Phillip Chippindale, CFA [email protected] | Tel. +61 2 8247 3149 22 January 2015
Liam Schofield, CFA [email protected] | Tel. +61 2 8247 3173

HILLGROVE RESOURCES LIMITED (HGO)

Hedging program expands; current hedge book worth $11.9m

ANNOUNCEMENT HIGHLIGHTS

HGO has announced additional copper hedging which was entered into in Dec-14. The company hedged an additional 2,887mt at A$7,749/mt (A$3.52/lb).

As a result of this additional hedging HGO now has hedged 78% of payable copper production to Mar-2016, at an avg price of A$7,726/mt (A$3.50/lb). This compares favourably with the current copper price of A$3.17/lb.

HGO value this hedge book alone at A$11.9m (mark to market). Compare this to a current EV for the company of

~$60m (WHTMe).

CHART: HGO'S HEDGE BOOK FOR COPPER PRODUCTION

Source: Company data

WHTM VIEW Initial analysis

This is a great strategic move by the company, and the price achieved for the additional hedging is a pleasant surprise.

The statement from the company that they are now hedged for 78% of payable copper production between now and the end of Mar-16 qtr (~18.5kt) implies payable production for CY15 of ~19-20kt, inline with our forecast.

Wilson HTM Equities Research - Preliminary Signals - Hillgrove Resources Limited

Issued by W ilson HTM Ltd ABN 68 010 529 665 - Australian Financial Services Licence No 238375. Important disclosures regarding companies that are subject of this report and an explanation of recommendations can be found at the end of this document. W ilson HTM Co rporate Finance Ltd acted as Lead Manager for the placement in Hillgrove Resources Limited in September 2013 and as Lead Manager for the placement in Hillgrove Resources Limited in July 2012 and earned fees for acting.


22 January 2015
Preliminary Signals
Hillgrove Resources Limited

Earnings implications

We expect slight consensus CY15 earnings upgrades on the back of today's announcement.

Investment view

We have a BUY rating and a target price of A$0.90ps.

Wilson HTM Equities Research - Preliminary Signals - Hillgrove Resources Limited 2


22 January 2015
Preliminary Signals
Hillgrove Resources Limited

Traffic light key: The traffic lights are a prioritisation tool, and are designed to assist the reader in prioritising work-flow.

 Red light: Announcement substantially different to WHTM expectations - STOP

Orange light: Announcement largely as per W HTM expectations, but some factors need closer examination - SLOW DOWN

Green light: Announcement in line with or better than W HTM expectations - GO

O White light: Due to compliance reasons coverage or investment view is restricted at this time

Return Reinvestment Matrix and Risk Measures

For definitions at http://www.wilsonhtm.com.au/Disclosures

Recommendation Structure and Other Definitions

For definitions at http://www.wilsonhtm.com.au/Disclosures

Disclaimer

Whilst Wilson HTM Ltd believes the information contained in this communication is based on reliable information, no warranty is given as to its accuracy and persons relying on this information do so at their own risk. To the extent permitted by law Wilson HTM Ltd disclaims all liability to any person relying on the information contained in this communication in respect of any loss or damage (including consequential loss or damage) however caused, which may be suffered or arise directly or indirectly in respect of such information. Any projections contained in this communication are estimates only. Such projections are subject to market influences and contingent upon matters outside the control of Wilson HTM Ltd and therefore may not be realised in the future.
The advice contained in this document is general advice. It has been prepared without taking account of any person's objectives, financial situation or needs and because of that, any person should, before acting on the advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the client's objectives, financial situation and needs. Those acting upon such information without first consulting one of Wilson HTM Ltd investment advisors do so entirely at their own risk. This report does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase any securities and should not be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. If the advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product - the client should obtain a Product Disclosure Statement relating to the product and consider the Statement before making any decision about whether to acquire t he product. This communication is not to be disclosed in whole or part or used by any other party without Wilson HTM Ltd's prior written consent.

Disclosure of Interest. Hillgrove Resources Limited

The Directors of Wilson HTM Ltd advise that at the date of this report they and their associates have relevant interests in Hillgrove Resources Limited. They also advise that Wilson HTM Ltd and Wilson HTM Corporate Finance Ltd A.B.N. 65 057 547 323 and their associates have received and may receive commissions or fees from Hillgrove Resources Limited in relation to advice or dealings in securities. Some or all of Wilson HTM Ltd authorised representatives may be remunerated wholly or partly by way of commission.
In producing research reports, members of Wilson HTM Ltd Research may attend site visits and other meetings hosted by the issuers the subject of its research reports. In some instances the costs of such site visits or meetings may be met in part o r in whole by the issuers concerned if Wilson HTM Ltd considers it is appropriate and reasonable in the specific circumstances relating to the site visit or meeting.
Please see disclosures at http://www.wilsonhtm.com.au/Disclosures. Disclosures applicable to companies included in this report can be found in the latest relevant published research.

Regulatory Disclosures

Wilson HTM Corporate Finance Ltd acted as Lead Manager for the placement announced by Hillgrove Resources Limited in September 2013 and earned fees for acting in this capacity. Wilson HTM Corporate Finance Ltd acted as Lead Manager for the placement announced by Hillgrove Resources Limited in July 2012 and earned fees for acting in this capacity. Wilson HTM Investment Group Ltd and its related bodies corporate trades or may trade as principal in the securities that are subject of the research report. Wilson HTM Corporate Finance Ltd has received compensation for corporate advisory services from this company, its subsidiaries or affiliates during the previous 12 months

Wilson HTM Equities Research - Preliminary Signals - Hillgrove Resources Limited 3

Read the rest of the article at www.noodls.com

Hillgrove Resources

CODE : HGO.AX
ISIN : AU000000HGO6
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Hillgrove Res. is a zinc development stage company based in Australia.

Hillgrove Res. holds various exploration projects in Australia and in Indonesia.

Its main exploration properties are WHEAL ELLEN in Australia and SUMBA and BIRD'S HEAD in Indonesia.

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Nominations of Hillgrove Resources
5/31/2007Appointment of John Gooding as an Independent Non-Executive ...
Financials of Hillgrove Resources
9/9/2009Half Year Financial Results
Project news of Hillgrove Resources
1/29/2009(Bird's Head)Alpha Prospect Shapes up as Major Gold Target
8/15/2007(Wheal Ellen)Drilling recommences at Wheal Ellen project, Sth Aust
7/25/2007(Wheal Ellen)High Grade Lead Zinc Drill Hits at Wheal Ellen, Sth Aust
6/27/2007(Wheal Ellen)Drilling commences at Wheal Ellen Zinc Project, Sth Aust
6/25/2007More significant high grade copper-gold zones encountered at...
4/23/2007More High Grade Copper-Gold Zones drilled at Kanmantoo Proje...
Corporate news of Hillgrove Resources
7/27/2016Activity Report for Quarter Ended 30 June 2016
7/14/2016Lapse of Performance Rights
7/4/2016Balance Sheet Restructure Update
6/29/2016Succesful Balance Sheet Restructure
5/27/2016Hillgrove Resources Results of AGM
5/26/2016MD's Presentation to AGM
5/26/20162016 Mineral Resource Statement
5/26/2016Chairman's Address to AGM
4/18/2016Change to Mine Plan Update
3/31/2016Hillgrove Resources 2015 Annual Report
3/31/2016Change to Mine Plan
3/29/2016Trading Halt Request
1/29/2016Activity Report for Quarter Ended 31 Dec 2015
12/15/2015Change of Registered Office Address
9/11/2015Results for Half Year Ended 30 June 2015
8/20/2015SACOME Breakfast Presentation
7/29/2015Activity Report for Quarter Ended 30 June 2015
7/3/2015Hillgrove Announces Change of CFO
7/3/2015Despatch of Rights Issue Statements
7/3/2015Results of Non Renounceable Entitlement Offer
4/27/2015Hillgrove Executes Additional Waiver
4/26/2015Notice of Annual General Meeting
3/31/2015Annual Report to 31 December 2014
3/31/2015Hillgrove Audited Annual Report Released
2/26/2015Annual Company Update Presentation
2/26/2015Preliminary Final Results - CY14
2/26/2015Hillgrove Reports Profits
2/2/2015Activity Report for Quarter Ended 31 December 2014
2/2/2015Fourth Quarter Presentation
1/22/2015Wilson HTM - Hedging Expands Hedge Book
1/22/2015Market Update on Strong Copper Hedge Position
12/11/2014New Exploration Underway on SA Tenements
12/11/2014Unmarketable Parcel Sale Facility Concluded
10/20/2014Activity Report for Quarter Ended 30 Sep 2014
3/3/2014Fourth Quarter FY14 Presentation
3/3/2014Quarterly Production Report - Record Production
3/3/2014Activity Report for Quarter Ended 31 January 2014
11/25/2013Activity Report for Quarter Ended 31 October 2013
3/17/2010Indonesia Announcement
3/1/2010Kanmantoo Announcement
2/26/2010Quarterly Report to 31/01/10
2/11/2010Indonesia Announcement
1/18/2010Placement and SPP Annoucement
12/18/2009Kanmantoo Announcement
12/3/2009Kanmantoo Announcement
11/30/2009Quarterly Report to 31/10/09
10/1/2009Annoucement
9/7/2009Indonesia Announcement
8/31/2009Quarterly Report to 31/07/09
8/10/2009Kanmantoo Announcement
7/15/2009Completion of Sale of Eastern Star Gas Investment
7/2/2009Eastern Star Gas Annoucement
5/21/2009Indonesia
2/27/2009Quarterly Report to 31/01/09
2/18/2009Eastern Star Gas Annoucement
2/9/2009Raises $4.1M from SPP and Placement
7/16/2007Minerals Partnership in Madagascar
6/12/2007 Molybdenum, Cobalt, Uranium hits at Alford
5/23/2007Significant New Geophysical Anomalies Discovered at Wheal El...
5/22/2007Potential Olympic Dam Style Mineralisation at Alford
5/14/2007Dale Ferguson appointed to the Board as Executive Director -...
4/30/2007Significant resource upgrade at Kanmantoo Copper Gold Mine, ...
4/19/2007Drilling starts at Alford Project, Hillgrove investing $4m i...
4/18/2007 Kanmantoo targetting early 2009 for first copper gold produ...
4/4/2007posts maiden $10.8 million NPAT for 2006/ Cashed up to progr...
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