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Century Aluminum Company

Publié le 27 mars 2015

3 Deep Value Stocks That Could Mount A Turnaround

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Mots clés associés :   Dollar | K Street | Merrill Lynch | Wall Street |

3 Deep Value Stocks That Could Mount A Turnaround

Although the market action was a bit choppy in the first quarter of 2015, one fact is inescapable: the major indices are all within a few percentage points of their all-time highs.

Yet, for hundreds of stocks in those indices, there is little reason for good cheer. Share prices are far from the 52-week high and aren't  on many investor's "buy list" right now.

For contrarian investors, an unloved status can spell opportunity. Today's out-of-favor stocks often become tomorrow's in-favor stocks. They just need headwinds to morph into tailwinds.

With that in mind, I've spent the past week analyzing the market's laggards. Many of them toil in the beleaguered energy sector, and even though oil prices have staged an impressive recent mini-rally, I remain concerned about what will happen when our nation's oil storage tanks finally hit capacity in coming months. So, I focused my research on companies outside this sector. Here are three stocks that appear to have hit bottom and have catalysts for a rebound.

Rayonier Advanced Materials, Inc. (NYSE: RYAM)
Investors love to hear about spin-offs. Shares of the parent company typically post nice gains after spin-off plans are announced, and shares of the spun-out entity are typically priced at a level that ensures solid demand.

This company is the rare exception. Its shares have been in freefall since the spin-off from the parent company Rayonier, Inc. (NYSE: RYN). This must be especially disheartening to Paul Boynton, who resigned his position as president of the parent company to run the spin-off.

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This beaten down stock is not the result of bad management execution but is instead a case of awful timing. RYAM, along with two other firms, controls the market for cellulose fibers. You'll find the material in the filter of a cigarette. That product accounts for 70% of RYAM's revenue. So when China announced plans last summer to implement smoking reduction initiatives, demand for cigarettes in China (the world's largest tobacco market) slumped. This resulted in mountain of unsold cigarettes, which needed to be worked through. Orders for RYAM nearly dried up.

But China didn't ban smoking, which is still quite popular in the country. And demand for RYAM's cigarette filter product, known as acetate tow, will eventually resume. Analysts at DA Davidson now see major upside to shares: "We retain our BUY rating due to our conviction that this is a nasty down cycle (not a dead industry) and because we believe the replacement value of RYAM's assets approaches $3 billion, nearly twice the current enterprise value."

Century Aluminum Co. (Nasdaq: CENX)
One clear sign of when a stock in freefall has likely hit bottom is when management announces a share buyback program. Presumably, any further waves of selling are met by the countering force of shares being pulled from circulation. The company just added another $50 million to an existing $80 million share buyback program, which could reduce the share count by nearly 10% this year.

Such a move might seem risky in light of the fact that aluminum industry fundamentals aren't looking sharp right now. But analysts at Merrill Lynch, who now have the lowest earnings per share forecasts for CENX, still think the company will be generating roughly $100 million in free cash flow in each of the next three years. For shareholders that witnessed this stock plunge by more than half over the past six months, the buyback expansion comes as welcome news.

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Avon Products, Inc. (NYSE: AVP)
Although Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway is famous for buying healthy companies with wide moats, other well-funded investment firms like to hunt weakened prey. They typically aim to acquire broken businesses, take them private and bring them public a few years later when operations have been rebuilt.

That's the thinking about recent takeover chatter for this deeply-distressed consumer products firm. Avon went through a multi-year restructuring, only to find that the surging dollar was wreaking havoc on its international sales efforts.  Shares have been weak and getting weaker.

Shares may have found a floor at current levels, thanks to buyout rumors that emerged in late January. B. Riley's Linda Weiser told the Wall Street Journal that Avon would likely fetch $11-to-$14 a share in a buyout offer. The company currently trades around $8 a share. Regardless, Avon's decision to walk away from a $24.75 a share offer back in 2012 now seems quite foolish.

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Risks To Consider: These companies are all in the midst of a challenging year, and there is no assurance that current business trends won't worsen before they get better.  

Action To Take --> As we've noted many times in the past, you want to hate stocks when they are loved and love them when they are hated. These three stocks have few fans right now, but could quickly regain traction once business trends appear to turn the corner.

Want to avoid the hassle of digging into a company's financials and decoding corporate lingo? StreetAuthority's Stock Of The Month delivers full analysis of one premier investment to your inbox each month. To learn more about this service, click here.

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Century Aluminum est une société de production minière basée aux Etats-Unis D'Amerique.

Century Aluminum est cotée aux Etats-Unis D'Amerique. Sa capitalisation boursière aujourd'hui est 1,5 milliards US$ (1,4 milliards €).

La valeur de son action a atteint son plus bas niveau récent le 06 mars 2009 à 1,06 US$, et son plus haut niveau récent le 16 mai 2024 à 17,47 US$.

Century Aluminum possède 87 260 000 actions en circulation.

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Communiqués de Presse de
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21/12/2015Why Are Alumina Prices a Key Driver for Aluminum Companies?
18/12/2015Century Reaches Power Agreement for Mt. Holly Smelter
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04/11/2015Century Aluminum Posts Wider-than-Expected Loss in Q3
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03/11/2015What Analysts Expect from Century Aluminum’s 3Q15 Earnings
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02/11/2015The Road Ahead - Research on Ekso Bionics Holdings, Marilynj...
30/10/2015Century announces third aluminum smelter curtailment in 2 mo...
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30/10/20154:01 pm Century Aluminum's Sebree subsidiary announces its i...
30/10/2015Edited Transcript of CENX earnings conference call or presen...
29/10/2015Century reports 3Q loss
28/10/2015Century Aluminum (CENX): A Look at This Earnings Season
28/10/2015Will Century Aluminum Post a Larger-Than-Expected Loss in 3Q...
22/10/2015Century Issues WARN Notice at Mt. Holly, SC Smelter
22/10/2015Aluminum company says it may close South Carolina plant
20/10/2015What Factors Are Driving Alcoa’s Performance?
09/10/2015How Aluminum Companies Are Managing Their Leverage Ratios
08/10/2015Century Aluminum Sets Date for Third Quarter 2015 Earnings A...
07/10/2015Rio Tinto’s Aluminum Production: Is There an Upside?
30/09/2015Century Aluminum will keep 2 potlines at Hawesville smelter ...
30/09/2015Century Announces Continued Operation of Two Potlines at Haw...
30/09/20158:03 am Century Aluminum expects to continue to operate its ...
28/09/2015Aluminum Companies’ Valuation: Key Investor Takeaways
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23/09/2015Why Profit Margins Vary across Primary Aluminum Producers
17/09/2015Aluminum industry body asks U.S. authorities to probe China ...
14/09/2015Century Aluminum Curtails Potline at Hawesville Smelter
09/09/2015Century Announces the Curtailment of One Potline at Hawesvil...
26/08/2015Century Aluminum to Idle Hawesville, Kentucky Plant
26/08/2015Mid-Afternoon Market Update: Dow Surges Over 400 Points; Cam...
26/08/2015Mid-Day Market Update: Express Jumps On Upbeat Results; Cent...
26/08/2015Mid-Morning Market Update: Markets Open Higher; Abercrombie ...
26/08/2015Aluminum Prices Continue to Head Southward amid Global Carna...
25/08/2015Century Issues WARN Notice at Hawesville, KY Smelter
25/08/2015Century Aluminum Issues Warning
18/08/2015Are Century Aluminum’s Valuations Looking More Attractive?
17/08/2015Falling Earnings Estimates Signal Weakness Ahead for Century...
16/08/2015Century Aluminum Looks to Control Costs as Aluminum Prices C...
11/08/2015Century Aluminum Posts a 2Q15 Loss on Restructuring Charges
11/08/2015Analyzing Century Aluminum’s 2Q15 Earnings after All Adjustm...
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10/08/2015Century Aluminum’s 2Q15 Earnings: Is the Market Overreacting...
10/08/201510-Q for Century Aluminum Co.
07/08/2015Edited Transcript of CENX earnings conference call or presen...
06/08/2015Century Reports Second Quarter 2015 Financial Results
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16/07/2015Century Aluminum Sets Date for Second Quarter 2015 Earnings ...
06/07/2015How Will Alcoa’s Downstream Business Play Out?
16/04/2015US Midwest Aluminum Premiums Fall to One-Year Low in April
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15/04/2015Aluminum Prices Are Trading Sideways in April
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14/04/2015Cost Pressures and Lower Premiums Hit Alcoa’s 1Q 2015 Earnin...
09/04/2015Century Aluminum Sets Date for First Quarter 2015 Earnings A...
03/04/2015Why it’s Important to Understand Alcoa’s 4Q Earnings This Qu...
31/03/2015Century Aluminum Appoints Stephen Heyroth as Chief Accountin...
31/03/20154:05 pm Century Aluminum has hired Stephen K. Heyroth as Vic...
31/03/2015Century Aluminum Commends Passage of Resolution Recognizing ...
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19/03/2015Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) in Focus: Stock Jumps 5.4% - Tal...
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10/03/2015Analyzing Century Aluminum’s Power Supply Agreements
10/03/2015Why Did Century Aluminum’s Energy Costs Come Down?
09/03/2015Century Aluminum’s Working Capital Could Come Down In 2015
06/03/2015Key Facts: Century Aluminum’s Working Capital Management
04/03/2015Why Merrill Lynch Threw In the Towel on Aluminum
03/03/2015Understanding Century Aluminum’s Major Operations
03/03/2015Century Aluminum Crashed After Its 4Q Earnings Release
26/02/2015Century Aluminum Expands Share Repurchase Program
26/02/2015Century Aluminum Expands Share Repurchase Program
26/02/2015Weakness Seen in Century Aluminum (CENX): Stock Tanks 12.9% ...
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Nasdaq (CENX)
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