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Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation

Publié le 06 avril 2015

Alcoa (AA) Buckles Up for Q1: Will its Earnings Beat Again? - Analyst Blog

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Mots clés associés :   Europe | Nickel | Report |

Alcoa (AA) Buckles Up for Q1: Will its Earnings Beat Again? - Analyst Blog

Alcoa AA is set to release its first-quarter 2015 results after the close on Apr 8. In the last quarter, the New York-based aluminum giant notched up a 26.92% positive earnings surprise on strength across aerospace and automotive markets, higher metals pricing and productivity gains. Alcoa has logged positive surprises in the trailing four quarters, with an average beat of 48.25%.
 
While many no longer see Alcoa as a major earnings season bellwether following its exclusion from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2013, there is no denying that its results still matter as it provides a spotlight on demand trends for aluminum across a wide gamut of industries, which is closely linked to levels of economic activity.

Investors will look particularly for the company’s commentary on global aluminum demand trends and expectations for key end-use markets, especially aerospace and automotive.
 
Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.
 
Factors to Watch For
 
Strong demand for aluminum across aerospace and automotive markets should continue to drive Alcoa’s results in the March quarter. Aggressive cost-cutting and productivity improvement actions should also support its earnings in the quarter.

Alcoa is witnessing healthy airline fundamentals and expects the aerospace market to grow 9%-10% in 2015 on the back of strong demand for large commercial aircraft, regional jets and jet engines.

Alcoa is increasingly looking for expansion opportunities beyond its legacy primary aluminum business and diversify into other materials such as those (nickel and titanium-based) used to make aircraft parts.

The $2.85 billion acquisition of U.K.-based leading jet engine components maker – Firth Rixson – has allowed Alcoa to penetrate into a highly specialized segment of jet engine forgings and has further strengthened its robust aerospace portfolio. Moreover, the takeover of Germany-based titanium and aluminum structural castings supplier – Tital – reinforces Alcoa’s position to leverage strong growth in the commercial aerospace sector and capture rising demand for advanced jet engine components made of titanium.
 
Alcoa has also agreed to buy titanium and specialty metal products supplier – RTI International Metals, Inc. RTI – in a stock-for-stock deal worth $1.5 billion. The buyout is expected to broaden Alcoa’s titanium offerings and add advanced technologies and materials to its portfolio.

Alcoa is also ramping up production to address healthy automotive demand. Strong auto demand for sheet products is expected to favorably impact the company’s global rolled products business in the March quarter.

Moreover, Alcoa remains on track to move down the cost curve and is actively repositioning its portfolio, including closure of high-cost smelters. The company, in March, said that it will review 500,000 metric tons of smelting capacity over the next 12 months for probable curtailment or sale, which would impact 14% of its global smelting capacity.

However, softness across building and construction and commercial transportation markets is expected to persist in Europe in the first quarter. The packaging market in North America is also expected to remain weak.
 
While improved pricing aided Alcoa’s results in the fourth quarter, it is still faced with a volatile aluminum pricing environment given the oversupply of the metal in the market. The company is also expected to witness currency headwinds and pricing pressure in the packaging and European industrial markets. Its primary metals business is also expected to be impacted, in the first quarter, by reduced production due to the sale of Mt. Holly smelter, lower energy sales in Brazil and higher costs.

Earnings Whispers
 
Our proven model shows that Alcoa has the right combination of two key ingredients to beat earnings.
 
Positive Zacks ESP: The Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) for Alcoa is +8.00% - the difference between the Most Accurate estimate of 27 cents and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 25 cents. This indicates a likely positive earnings surprise.
 
Zacks Rank #3 (Hold): Alcoa’s Zacks Rank #3 increases the predictive power of its ESP.
 
Note that stocks with Zacks Rank of #1, 2 and 3 have a significantly higher chance of beating earnings. The Sell rated stocks (#4 and 5) should never be considered going into an earnings announcement.  
 
Stocks That Warrant a Look
 
Here are some other mining companies you may want to consider as our model shows they have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter:
 
Golden Star Resources, Ltd. GSS has earnings ESP of +100% and carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Coeur Mining, Inc. CDE has earnings ESP of +33.33% and carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).


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COEUR MINING (CDE): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
GOLDEN STAR RES (GSS): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation

PRODUCTEUR
CODE : CDE
ISIN : US1921085049
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Coeur d'Alène est une société de production minière d'argent et d'or basée aux Etats-Unis D'Amerique.

Coeur d'Alène est productrice d'argent, d'or, de cuivre, de plomb et de zinc en USA, au Mexique, en Australie, en Argentine et en Bolivie, en développement de projets d'argent et d'or en Argentine et en Bolivie, et détient divers projets d'exploration au Mexique.

Ses principaux projets en production sont ROCHESTER MINE - NEVADA PACKARD en USA, ENDEAVOR et BROKEN HILL en Australie, PALMAREJO au Mexique, MARTHA MINE en Argentine et SAN BARTOLOME en Bolivie, ses principaux projets en développement sont ROCHESTER et KENSINGTON en Bolivie et JOAQUIN en Argentine et ses principaux projets en exploration sont KENSINGTON/JUALIN en Argentine, LAKE VICTORIA GOLD BELT en Tanzanie et EL REALITO, GUADALUPE et LA PATRIA au Mexique.

Coeur d'Alène est cotée au Canada, aux Etats-Unis D'Amerique et en Allemagne. Sa capitalisation boursière aujourd'hui est 903,1 millions US$ (807,6 millions €).

La valeur de son action a atteint son plus haut niveau récent le 21 novembre 1997 à 99,38 US$, et son plus bas niveau récent le 22 janvier 2016 à 1,62 US$.

Coeur d'Alène possède 185 442 526 actions en circulation.

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Présentations des Compagnies de Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation
15/09/2016Coeur to Present at Upcoming Conferences
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Rapports annuels de Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation
An annual report to security holders.
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2005 Annual Report
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11/03/2008 Appoints Bibiana Betancourt as Director of Corporate Social...
04/03/2008 ANNOUNCES APPOINTMENT OF MITCHELL J. KREBS TO CHIEF FINANCI...
Rapports Financiers de Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation
09/05/2011Silver and Gold Production Combine to Deliver Record First Q...
22/02/2011Results of operations and financial condition
29/02/2008 REPORTS FOURTH QUARTER AND YEAR-END 2007 RESULTS
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05/06/2008(Rochester) RETAIN OWNERSHIP OF ROCHESTER MINE
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03/07/2012Announces Withdrawal of Proposed Offering of Senior Notes
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12/08/2008Report of unscheduled material events or corporate changes
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30/05/2008CFO TO SPEAK AT JPMORGAN 3RD ANNUAL BASICS & INDUSTRIALS CON...
20/05/2008RECEIVES FIVE MAJOR SAFETY AWARDS FOR THE COMPANY'S NATIONAL...
14/05/2008 Report of unscheduled material events or corporate changes
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28/04/2008 Reports Favorable Exploration Results From Expanded Program...
24/04/2008Present at 7th International Mining Conference
21/04/2008Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities
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18/04/2008FAQ Regarding Convertible Notes
02/04/2008Official notification to shareholders of matters to be broug...
25/03/2008Statement of changes in bebeficial ownership of securities
18/03/2008ANNOUNCES EXERCISE OF OVER-ALLOTMENT OPTION FOR CONVERTIBLE ...
14/03/2008 Form of prospectus disclosing information, facts, events co...
13/03/2008Free Writting Prospectus
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13/03/2008PRICES UPSIZED OFFERING OF $200 MILLION OF CONVERTIBLE SENIO...
12/03/2008 ANNOUNCES PROPOSED OFFERING OF $150 MILLION OF CONVERTIBLE ...
12/03/2008 Initial statement of benefiacial ownership of securities
11/03/2008Report of unscheduled material or corporate changes
28/02/2008REPORTS SIGNIFICANT RESULTS FROM ITS 2007 EXPLORATION PROGRA...
21/01/2008 Initial statement of beneficial ownership of securities
15/01/2008 ADDS KEY MANAGEMENT DEPTH IN MEXICO, BOLIVIA AND ALASKA
07/01/2008Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities
28/12/2007Completion of Acquisition
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08/12/2007 SHAREHOLDERS APPROVE $1.1 BILLION MERGER WITH BOLNISI GOLD ...
05/12/2007Additional proxy soliciting materials - definitive
04/12/2007 ADJOURNS SPECIAL MEETING OF SHAREHOLDERS TO FRIDAY, DECEMBE...
10/10/2005Seguimiento N° 5
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12/05/2005Peter Zihlman special report
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NYSE (CDE)FRANKFURT (CDM.F)
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