Articles related to Change
 
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Silver Price Optimist or Pessimist?
DISCLOSURE:  This article was written for Miles Franklin by Gary Christenson. Miles Franklin sells silver and believes that silver is under-valued. Prices will rise in coming years. I share that belief. Regardless, this article presents both optimistic and pessimistic interpretations for future silver prices. SILVER  PRICES  OPTIMIST: DEMAND:  Silver demand increases every year and will push prices higher. Our modern world depends upon electronics, computers, missiles, fighter jets, cruise missi
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Frank Shostak
Is Money Creation Fueling the Stock Market Surge?
Is it true that changes in money supply are an important driving force behind changes in the stock price indexes?Intuitively it makes sense to argue that an increase in the growth rate of money supply should strengthen the growth rate in stock prices.Conversely, a fall in the growth rate of money supply should slow down the growth momentum of stock prices. Some economists who follow the footsteps of the post-Keynesian (PK) school of economics have questioned the importance of money in driving st
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Miners’ Rally? What Rally? Watch Out for More Fake Moves!
Remember how mining stocks soared on Valentine’s Day and how we wrote that a rally is not necessarily bullish? Guess what – this rally has been more than erased. Miners not only closed below the February 14th opening price, but also below the February 13th and 12th closing prices. Mining stocks big rally turned out to be nothing more than just a regular 50% retracement during a decline – something that we saw many times in the past and that we described as likely. But, since the rally was rather
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Bitcoin or British Pound ‘Pretty Much Failed’ As Currency?
– Bitcoin has ‘pretty much failed’ as a currency says Bank of England Carney– Bitcoin is neither a store of value nor a useful way to buy things – BOE’s Carney– Project fear against crypto-currencies or an out of control investing bubble?– Bitcoin will likely recover in value but is speculative and not for widows and orphans– British pound has been a terrible store of value – unlike gold– Pound collapsed 30% in 2016 and down 11.5% per annum versus gold in last 15 years– Fiat currency experiment
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
The End Is Near
The doomsayers have been calling for recession for years. Mainstream economists laughed at them, painting a rosy picture. However, the recent plunge in the stock market strengthened the pessimists’ hand. They interpret the dive as a signal of a coming recession. Is the end of the stock market boom really near? What Lies Ahead? The recent stock market turmoil brought traders to their knees. We, of course, covered the descent for our readers, calling for calm. We urged investors not to panic about
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Irredeemable Currency De-tooths Savers
Arbitrary Interest Rates In the past few weeks, we have argued that interest rates will not rise. We have made our arguments based on observable cases of soft credit demand that falls with rising rates, and analysis of the incentives on creditors and debtors. Ours is a case that rates can’t go up much, for long, because demand for credit won’t chase rates up. In the postwar period up to 1981, borrowers chased rates all the way up the moon. But not since then. Now, we want to make a theoretical a
Monday, February 19, 2018
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Macro Update: 1 Week Later Risk Remains 'On' as 2 of 3 Amigos Ride On
Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk ‘on’ backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators we watch, like Junk bond ratios and the Palladium/Gold ratio say the same thing. Junk/Treasury and Junk/Investment Grade are threatening new highs and as we have noted in NFTRH updates all through the recent market volatility, Palladium (cyclical) got hammered vs. Gold (counter-cyclical), but only to test its major uptrend
Monday, February 19, 2018
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
The Floating Pound and Dollar, 1790-1830
Here is a bit of new data, regarding the floating pound during the Napoleonic Wars 1793-1821, and also the floating dollar during the War of 1812, 1812-1819. The source of the data is here: http://www.centerforfinancialstability.org/hfs.ph The data here is somewhat intermittent, so I plotted it as points rather than as lines. It is the gold price in London, in pounds. Convertibility was officially suspended in 1793, but as we can see there was not much change in the value of the pound vs. gold,
Saturday, February 17, 2018
Peter McKenzie-Brown - Language Instinct
Village of Widows
Canada has become a leader in the movement against the racism practiced against indigenous peoples that has so long been common practice in much of the world. Is it possible that Ottawa will really follow the lead of Alberta and other provinces by recognizing the rights given to aboriginal people in the Constitution without hassle? Such an act would shift cases out of courts into nation-on-nation negotiations. It’s taken 36 years since repatriation of our constitut
Friday, February 16, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
U.S. Dollar Bull and Bear Markets
The idea of endlessly repeated cycles is a very old one. This is how the ancients perceived time: not as linear sequence of events, but as replaying patterns of dark and golden ages. Although the Judeo-Christian culture changed the way we view time, we like to see the market as an area of constant struggle between bulls and bears, and the resulting upward and downward trends. Since the end of the Bretton Woods system back in the early 1970s, the U.S. dollar has also moved in trends and cycles. D
Friday, February 16, 2018
James Howard Kunstler
Agitprop Is Not News 
Forget about sharks. In their Valentine’s Day editorial: Why Does Trump Ignore Top Officials’ Warnings on Russia?, The New York Times jumped several blue whales (all the ones left on earth), a cruise ship, a subtropical archipelago, a giant vortex of plastic bottles, and the Sport’s Illustrated swimsuit shoot. The lede said: The phalanx of intelligence chiefs who testified on Capitol Hill delivered a chilling message: Not only did Russia interfere in the 2016 election, it is already meddling in
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors
10-Year Yields Move into Overbought Territory
The rise in Treasury Bond yields that started following our signal in July 2016 has come in two waves. The first produced overbought readings into December 2016 and was followed by a drift lower through September. Since then they have moved higher, gaining momentum in the last five weeks as 10-Year yields reached 2.8%. This has produced overbought Exhaustion Alerts and Sequential 9 Sell Setups in the daily and weekly charts. Such 'Signs of Strength' coming out of a consolidation pattern are gene
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors
Signs of the Times
Perspective We have been watching for credit conditions to deteriorate - enough to prompt the establishment to claim that there are no problems. It took a jump in long-dated rates and a hit to the stock markets to prompt some such defensive claims. The advice to ignore the break and focus on the economy seems naïve. In ordinary conditions the top of the stock market leads the peak in the economy by some 12 months. That is why the S&P is included in the formal list of "Leading Indicators" (number
Friday, February 16, 2018
Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
WTF? Bonds Sink, Gold Price Jumps
Valentine's Day leap in yields and interest rates sees gold price rise... OKAY, this is weird, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. "Increase in US inflation sparks bond sell-off," as the Financial Times reports. "Treasury yields hit 4-year highs," the FT goes on, referring to the interest rate no
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Strange Link between Inflation and Gold
It was a strange day. Inflation surged yesterday. But gold dropped initially, only to quickly reverse the fall and fly into the air. What happened? And – importantly – will gold soar on the inflation fuel? Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head (or Tries to, at Least) The recent payrolls report showed that wages had jumped 2.9 percent in January on an annual basis. It was the best result since 2009, which awakened fears of inflation. That’s why investors awaited yesterday’s data on consumer prices. On Tu
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Global Debt Crisis II Cometh
– Global debt ‘area of weakness’ and could ‘induce financial panic’ – King warns– Global debt to GDP now 40 per cent higher than it was a decade ago – BIS warn – Global non-financial corporate debt grew by 15% to 96% of GDP in the past six years – US mortgage rates hit highest level since May 2014– US student loans near $1.4 trillion, 40% expected to default in next 5 years– UK consumer debt hit £200b, highest level in 30 years, 25% of households behind on repayments The ducks are beginning to
Wednesday, February 14, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Things Only a True Friend Would Say About Gold
We live in very specific times. Getting a “like” on a post or picture becomes a necessary daily activity and means of self-validation. Not “liking” something that others posted or that is massively “liked” like may be frowned upon or even viewed as being disrespectful. Plus, it seems that no matter what you do, everyone gets offended very easily. When did honesty, independence and common-sense stop being virtues? When it comes to gold investments and gold investment analysis, it’s surprisingly s
Wednesday, February 14, 2018
George F. Smith - Barbarous Relic
  Better than the alternative? 
As people age we sometimes hear them say it beats the alternative, which is usually left unsaid.It’s an old joke technology aims to eliminate by treating aging as a disease and curing it. But there’s another sense in which the alternative is assumed to be far worse than the present condition.  I’m referring to the type of government almost all people live under, which is the nation state.  As bad as states might be — we’ve all been taught — it certainly beats the alternative, anarchy.   R
Wednesday, February 14, 2018
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold Stocks: “V” Bottom Blast-off
Gold has staged a superb rebound from the $1310 support zone, but that was overshadowed by the truly spectacular reversals taking place in most of the Western world’s gold stocks! This is the gold chart. I like the technical action being displayed right now. Here’s why: First, $1370 is massive resistance. It’s understandable that gold would build a modest head and shoulders top pattern after arriving at this key price zone. What’s especially positive is that gold has only modestly declined
Tuesday, February 13, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Key Change That Nobody Talks About
Last week, everyone focused on the stock market sell-off. Reasonably enough, given the pace of the declines. But the analysts failed to pay enough attention to the very important shift. That change may be more important than Trump’s victory in the presidential election. Will the critical switch make gold shine – or dull? Three Important Legacies of Yellen’s Fed Tenure A crucial change is behind us. Powell is the new boss. Yellen is out. For better or worse, she doesn’t serve as the Fed Chair any
Tuesday, February 13, 2018
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