Articles related to Inflation
 
Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
Gold, the stock market and the yield curve
The yield curve is a remarkably useful leading indicator of major economic and financial-market events. For example, its long-term trend can be relied on to shift from flattening to steepening ahead of economic recessions and equity bear markets. Also, usually it will remain in a flattening trend while a monetary-inflation-fueled boom is in progress. That’s why I consider the yield curve’s trend to be one of the true fundamental drivers of both the stock market and the gold market. Not surprisin
Monday, October 16, 2017
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
  The Silliness of the Bretton Woods Years
We’re continuing our look into One Nation Under Gold (2017), by James Ledbetter. October 2, 2017: One Nation Under Gold (2017), by James Ledbetter Ledbetter glided quickly over the period from 1914 to 1931, taking up the story again in earnest with the British devaluation of 1931 and, especially, the U.S. devaluation of 1933. This was treated with some interesting detail. However, Ledbetter made almost no mention of the fact that the U.S. returned to gold at the beginning of 1934 at $35/oz., and
Monday, October 16, 2017
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
Zimbabwe Inflates, Again…
In November 2008, Zimbabwe experienced the second highest recorded inflation rate in history, and with that, it entered the Hanke-Krus World Hyperinflation Table. That’s when the annual inflation rate reached a peak of 89.7 sextillion (10^21) percent (see table below). At this point, prices were doubling every 24.7 hours. During Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation episode (2007-2008), the Reserve Bank of Zim
Sunday, October 15, 2017
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
Oil for gold – the real story
Following an article in the Nikkei Asia Review, which reported China will shortly introduce an oil futures contract priced in yuan, there has been some confusion about what it means. The article pointed out that in combination with existing gold futures priced in yuan, an oil exporter to China contracting to accept yuan could use these two futures contracts to take delivery of physical gold in payment for oil.I was quoted in that article as follows:"It is a mechanism which is likely to appeal to
Sunday, October 15, 2017
John Butler - Goldmoney
Common commodity misconceptions 
Commodities are the most basic economic goods, providing essential inputs into progressively more complex goods at advanced stages of production. Yet the economic mainstream generally fails to understand commodities, treating them as distinct from the processes whereby they are created and the processes they subsequently enable, when in fact they are an integral part of a dynamic, complex, adaptive economic system. A correct understanding of commodities is essential if we are to understand what
Saturday, October 14, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
FOMC Minutes from September 2017 Meeting and Gold
Yesterday, the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting were released. What do they say about the Fed’s stance and what do they mean for the gold market? How can we summarize the recent FOMC minutes? As earlier this year, the FOMC members agreed that “the labor market had continued to strengthen and that economic activity had been rising moderately so far this year”. The U.S. central bankers also noted that the economic impact of recent hurricanes would only be short-lived. But the mos
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold's Technical Line Of Concern
The traditional post jobs report rally for gold is in full swing. This is the daily gold chart. Gold arrived at a key Fibonacci line at about $1268 as the US jobs report was released. The dollar has stalled against the yen, and that’s also good news for gold. Gold tends to stage great rallies in the days following the jobs report, and this rally is a particularly interesting one. Here’s why: First, Trump has ratcheted up his “hawk talk” in regards to North Korea and Iran. He’s scheduled to
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Young Guns of Gold Podcast – ‘The Everything Bubble’
– Precious Metal Roundtable discuss gold in 2017 and outlook – Gold +9.1% year to date; Performing well given Fed raising rates, lack of volatility and surge in stock markets – “People are expecting too much from gold” – Economy: Inflation indicators, recession on the horizon, global debt issues – Global demand: ETF inflows, Russia central bank purchases, Germany investment figures and international coin demand bode well for gold – “First monetary inflation, then asset inflation, next is price i
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
The Best Predictor of Future Inflation is Flashing "WARNING!"
The Fed is dramatically understating real inflation. As you know, I’ve been very critical of the Fed’s inflation measures for years. The official inflation measure (Consumer Price Index or CPI) does a horrible job of measuring the actual cost of living for Americans. I have long stated that this is intentional as the purpose of CPI is to hide the true rate of inflation so the Fed can paper over the decline in living standards that has plagued the US for the last few decades. The Fed isn’t doing
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Jan Skoyles - GoldCore
London House Prices Are Falling – Time to Buckle Up
– London house prices fall in September: first time in eight years – High-end London property fell by 3.2% in year – House sales down by over a very large one-third – Global Real Estate Bubble Index – see table – Brexit, rising inflation and political uncertainty causing many buyers to back away from market – U.K. housing stock worth record £6.8 trillion, almost 1.5 times value of LSE and more than the value of all the gold in world – Homeowners and property investors should diversify and invest
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
The Energy Report
Oil Breaking Out, But the Money Is Elsewhere
Tom Beck, founder of Portfolio Wealth Global, discusses the energy sector and highlights one commodity that he says appreciates when oil becomes overpriced. One resource industry dwarfs the rest of them put together: energy. The mega-shift of the 21st century is urbanization. For the first time in human history, more people live in cities than in rural areas. The consequences of this pivotal moment are attracting billionaire moguls across the globe, and
Tuesday, October 10, 2017
Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
¡Viva Gold! LBMA 2017 Goes to Barcelona
Independence a big issue as LBMA conference hits the Catalan capital... THIS WEEKEND kicks off the precious metals chit-chat and all-round fun-fest of the bullion market's key industry event, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault – the annual LBMA conference... ...cleverly timed this year to take place in Barcelona. You'll f
Tuesday, October 10, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Bullion 'In Demand' as Dollar Slips, Fed Minutes Due, Madrid Faces Down Catalan Leader
GOLD BULLION held flat against a falling US Dollar on Wednesday, trading at $1290 per ounce as Madrid delayed taking control of breakaway Spanish region Catalonia after the governor in Barcelona delayed a formal proclamation of independence. New Japanese data showed strong growth in orders for both machinery and machine tools. Major government bond prices edged down with global stock markets, nu
Tuesday, October 10, 2017
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Stocks Up and Yields Down, Gold and Silver Report 8 Oct 2017
Many gold bugs make an implicit assumption. Gold is good, therefore it will go up. This is tempting but wrong (ignoring that gold does not go anywhere, it’s the dollar that goes down). One error is in thinking that now you have discovered a truth, everyone else will see it quickly. And there is a subtler error. The error is to think good things must go up. Sometimes they do, but why? First, we think it’s a cop-out to say, “well it’s all subjective.” If it were all subjective, then there would be
Monday, October 9, 2017
Egon von Greyerz - Matterhorn AM
10 FACTORS TO PROPEL GOLD 10 FOLD
Inflation is coming and it will have a major effect on the world economy and financial markets. This is one of the factors that will drive gold to levels which few can imagine today. Later in this piece, I am discussing 10 Factors which will make gold surge. No fear Markets are expressing no fear and seem very comfortable at or near all-time tops. There is no concern that stocks are massively overvalued or that bond rates are at historical lows and only have one way to go. Nor is anyone worried
Monday, October 9, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Bars +2.6 for Week So Far as US Fed Dents Dollar, T-Bond Correlation Grows Ever-Stronger
GOLD BARS traded in London's wholesale market rose sharply early Thursday as the Dollar fell on the currency market following 'dovish' comments in the US Federal Reserve's latest policy-meeting notes. The greenback then rallied and gold slipped to $1292 per ounce after new data showed US producer price inflation beating analyst forecasts for September with a 2.6% annual rate. Minutes from the Fe
Monday, October 9, 2017
Chris Martenson
  Betrayal!
Let me apologize in advance for what may be an upsetting piece of writing for some of you. If you're in a state of shock or exhaustion from recent events, perhaps you should skip this one. I don't offer this analysis in order to further distress anyone -- but until you understand what is happening and how that influences your psychological state, you'll remain the emotional equivalent of a rag doll shaken to-and-fro by events. Such understanding may not bring you to a place of calm acceptance. B
Monday, October 9, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Gold in Q3 2017
The third quarter of 2017 was positive for the gold market. The yellow metal has gained more than 3 percent between July and the end of September. As one can see in the chart below, the price of gold jumped above $1,300 for a while and even approached the 2016 highs. Chart 1: Gold prices (London P.M. Fix) from January to September 2017. What were the reasons behind that impressive upward move? The popular story says that worries about North Korea triggered a rally in gold prices. However, as
Monday, October 9, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Global Outlook – Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD World: News in Charts
by  Alarm bells are ringing for economic fundamentalists such as Fathom Consulting. Asset prices look increasingly out of step with fundamentals, and in some cases they look downright bubbly. And other geopolitical developments are similarly alarming. One might even describe them as… Mad: Equity prices in developed economies, and specifically in the US, are more than one standard deviation higher than their long-run average in relation to nominal GDP. Mad: The Nasdaq has again played its part,
Sunday, October 8, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Price Sinks, Platinum -11 in 4 Weeks as Stocks Up, Vix Down to Record, US Fed 'Pencils In' Rate Hike
GOLD PRICES sank to 8-week lows against a rising Dollar on Friday as yesterday's fresh all-time highs in global equities were followed by US data showing joblessness in the world's largest economy falling to a fresh 16-year low. "I have penciled in a third rate hike in December," said Federal Reserve voting member Patrick Harker to CNBC on Thursday, "[although] we have to see how the inflation dynamics play out."
Friday, October 6, 2017
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