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Wolf Richter
So When Will China’s Debt Bubble Finally Blow Up?
The upside is fake stability. The downside is too ugly to contemplate. Corporate debt in China has soared to $18 trillion, or 169% of GDP, the largest pile of corporate debt in the world, according to the worried Bank for International Settlements. The OECD has warned about it earlier this year. The New York Fed warned about this debt boom in February and that it could lead to a “financial crisis,” but that authorities have many tools to control it. The IMF regularly warns about China’s corporat
Friday, August 18, 2017
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
The Stock Market Bubble is So Big Even the Fed's Talking About It
The Fed confirmed yesterday that stocks are in a bubble. Lost amidst the usual Fed-speak about inflation and other items were the following nuggets. 1)   “Equities” (read: stocks) were the primary reason the Fed discussed financial stability risks. 2)   The Fed raised its assessment of financial stability from “notable” to “elevated.” 3)   The Fed discussed “stock valuations.” This is simply incredible. Remember, we're talking about the Fed here... a group of people who go above and beyond to ig
Friday, August 18, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
EIA Weekly Report and Crude Oil
Although the EIA weekly report showed a larger-than-expected decline in crude oil inventories, the price of the commodity declined sharply after news that U.S. crude oil production increased. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude lost 1.62% and closed the day under important support. What does it mean for the black gold? Yesterday, the Energy Information Administration reported that crude oil inventories dropped by over 8.9 million barrels in the week ended Aug 11, easily beating expectatio
Friday, August 18, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Your PM Portfolio Check-UP
When I look at the precious metals markets all I see are the numerous anomalies that are screaming value and opportunity.  The constant machinations of the bullion banks manipulating the markets and holding back Mother Nature has created distortions in the market place that present a real opportunity.  Let me explain. Look at the ratio of platinum to gold and it quickly becomes easy to see a real opportunity in trading gold for platinum. History tells us that it is a true anomaly to see platinum
Friday, August 18, 2017
Sprott Money
Bitcoin Has No Yield, but Gold Does
Last week I said: It is commonly accepted to say the dollar is “printed”, but we can see from this line of thinking it is really borrowed. There is a real borrower on the other side of the transaction, and that borrower has powerful motivations to keep paying to service the debt. Bitcoin has no backing. Bitcoin is created out of thin air, the way people say of the dollar. The quantity of bitcoins created may be strictly limited by Satoshi’s design. We referred to the dollar as being borrowed
Thursday, August 17, 2017
Sprott Money
The LBMA is a ploy of the Central Bank Community
This article is about the way the Central Bank Community manipulates the price of gold and the role of the LBMA within. We describe some of the signs that the Central Bank Community manipulate the price of gold and that they are using the LBMA to reach their goal. Is the manipulation of the gold price a classic case of Diffusion of responsibility because so many organizations are involved and avoid taking responsibility? Manipulation is a joint effort of the Central Bank Community The signs
Wednesday, August 16, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
  Stock Market Correction Hasn’t Begun to Begin! It Will (And North Korea Has Nothing to Do With It)
With the threat of nuclear war with North Korea looming, inquiring minds may be wondering what that threat is currently worth. Indices Currencies Commodities Bonds The above are charts from Investing.Com. What’s the Threat of Nuclear War Worth? If you assign today’s movement to a nuclear war threat here are some possible assignments: Commodities: Gold was up less than one percent, silver up a bit more than a percent, oil fell about 2%. Equities: The Dow dropped less than a percent, the S&P
Monday, August 14, 2017
Sprott Money
“What, Me Worry?” Markets - Gary Christenson
Mad Magazine introduced Alfred E. Neuman (What, Me Worry?) in the 1950s. He did NOT become a central banker. That is “fake news.” Global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, created “What, Me Worry?” markets after the 2008 crash. There has been little worry since the November election, until now. But the market worry level may have increased. Changes between highs and lows in two days – until time of this writing: Date Aug. 8 Aug. 10 DOW
Sunday, August 13, 2017
Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
Gold Stocks Coiled Spring
The gold miners’ stocks have largely ground sideways this year, really lagging gold’s strong rally.  That lack of upside has decimated sentiment, leaving a bearish wasteland bereft of hope.  But this deeply-out-of-favor sector is actually a coiled spring, ready to surge dramatically as psychology shifts.  Sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals all point to much-higher gold-stock prices even at today’s prevailing gold levels. The main appeal of gold-mining stoc
Friday, August 11, 2017
Jason Hamlin - Gold Stock Bull
“What, Me Worry?” Markets
Mad Magazine introduced Alfred E. Neuman (What, Me Worry?) in the 1950s. He did NOT become a central banker. That is “fake news.” Global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, created “What, Me Worry?” markets after the 2008 crash.  There has been little worry since the November election, until now. But the market worry level may have increased.  Changes between highs and lows in two days – until time of this writing: Date                       Aug. 8                   Aug. 10 DOW       
Friday, August 11, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
  Did I Say Yesturday, The Most Precious Metal Bullish Quote Ever? Well, Trump Took Just 24 Hours To Top It!
Man, do I keep crazy hours!  Seriously, I am now averaging four hours per night of sleep; to which I can only say, thank goodness for my 24/7 gym, and a laptop equipped with hundreds of podcasts, and thousands of Amazon Prime TV shows and movies.  As for tonight, while I’m writing at the early hour of 11:00 PM Wednesday, I went to sleep at 9:30 PM.  I wasn’t planning to get up, but after getting kicked in the shins playing soccer this evening, it hurts so much, I can’t get back to sleep.  Thus,
Thursday, August 10, 2017
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
Why We Should Cut The Corporate Tax To 15 Now
(This item originally appeared at Forbes.com on August 8, 2017.) http://www.forbes.com/sites/nathanlewis/2017/08/08/why-we-should-cu…te-tax-to-15-now/ The U.S. government hasn’t really done very much about its tax code since 1987. Mostly it has been like the Battle of the Somme, trench warfare accomplishing nothing, with the top income tax rate wiggling between 35% and 39.6%. During this time, dozens of governments that were actually communist in 1987 not only embraced capitalism, but actually
Thursday, August 10, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Crude Oil - Precious Metals Link in August
Based on the August 8th, 2017 Oil Investment Update In the previous month crude oil gained almost 9% as declines in crude oil, gasoline and distillates inventories continued to support the price of the commodity. In that environment light crude climbed above the psychologically important barrier of $50 and closed July above it. Despite this bullish development, the price of the black gold slipped below it at the beginning of August. Is this just a bigger pullback or the first sign of a longer do
Wednesday, August 9, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
How Much Gold Should the Common Man Own?
Earlier today, I had the pleasure of discussing gold, equity valuations, bond bubbles, and inflation with Greg Hunter at USA Watchdog. In the interview, I mentioned the nearly “everything bubble” and stated a belief that gold was one thing that was not in a bubble. Following the interview, Hunter asked me to put my thoughts on gold and the “nearly” everything bubble in writing. Specifically, Hunter asked: “How Much Gold Should the Common Man Own?” My answer follows. First, please consider my US
Wednesday, August 9, 2017
Keith Weiner - Monetary metals
Bitcoin Forked, and Gold and Silver Report
So bitcoin forked. You did not know this. Well, if you’re saving in gold perhaps not. If you’re betting in the crypto coin casino, you knew it, bet on it, and now we assume happily diving into your greater quantity of dollars after the fork. You don’t have a greater quantity of bitcoins; bitcoin has no yield.
Wednesday, August 9, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Preparing for THE Bottom in Gold: Part 5 – How to Buy
In the first part of the Preparing for THE Bottom series, we emphasized the need to be sure to stay alert and focused in the precious metals market, even though it may not appear all that interesting. We argued that preparing for the big moves in gold that are likely to be seen later this year should prove extremely worth one’s while. In the second part of the series, we discussed when, approximately, one can expect the key bottom in gold to form (reminder: this winter appears a likely target) a
Tuesday, August 8, 2017
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
Much Ado About Nothing
We’ve been talking about The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner. July 23, 2017: The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner July 31, 2017: The Midas Paradox #2: Blame Gold August 3, 2017: The Midas Paradox #3: It’s So Because I Say It Is Today, I promised that we would take a look at some of these “supply and demand for gold” factors that Sumner talks about. Supply is pretty stable during this time, either in terms of mining or aboveground gold, so it is really about demand. I’ve talked about t
Saturday, August 5, 2017
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
It’s So Because I Say It Is
We’ve been talking about The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner. July 23, 2017: The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner July 31, 2017: The Midas Paradox #2: Blame Gold The primary claim of the book is that gold’s value soared higher, in an unprecedented and disastrous fashion, sometime beginning around 1929. Over the years, there have been a number of arguments that gold’s value goes up and down by substantial amounts. Other people have said that gold’s value is basically stable, and doesn’
Friday, August 4, 2017
Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
Gold Stocks’ Autumn Rally 2
The gold miners’ stocks have suffered a lackluster year so far, mostly lagging gold’s solid new upleg.  But that vexing underperformance should soon give way to a big catch-up surge.  The deeply-out-of-favor gold stocks are now entering their strong season, which starts right about now with a powerful autumn rally.  That generates major gains on average in bull-market years, and this year’s upside potential is exceptional. Seasonality is the tendency for prices
Friday, August 4, 2017
Chris Vermeulen - GoldandOilGuy
What Is Widespread Excessive Optimism Indicating?
I implement these “seasonality” charts as they have been a great framework into all of my trading/investing technical analysis.  Seasonality charts are constructed from the past thirty years of historical data. I implement them as “contrarian indicators”.  The “extreme bullishness” is perceived as bearish and the “extreme bearishness” is perceived as bullish!  In the chart below, it displays the spread between the percentage of bulls and percentage of bears rather than just looking at bulls or b
Thursday, August 3, 2017
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