Articles related to Ratios
 
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Silver Price Optimist or Pessimist?
DISCLOSURE:  This article was written for Miles Franklin by Gary Christenson. Miles Franklin sells silver and believes that silver is under-valued. Prices will rise in coming years. I share that belief. Regardless, this article presents both optimistic and pessimistic interpretations for future silver prices. SILVER  PRICES  OPTIMIST: DEMAND:  Silver demand increases every year and will push prices higher. Our modern world depends upon electronics, computers, missiles, fighter jets, cruise missi
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Michael Pento - Delta Global Advisors
Four Percent 10-year Note Yield Will Be a Floor No...
The two most important factors in determining the level of sovereign bond yields are the credit and inflation risks extant within a nation. When determining a country’s ability to service its debt investors must analyze not only the absolute debt level, but also the ratios of debt and deficits to GDP. In addition, the current rate of inflation must also be viewed within the context of debt in order to make an accurate assumption as to the level of future inflation. When analyzing historical meas
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Miners’ Rally? What Rally? Watch Out for More Fake Moves!
Remember how mining stocks soared on Valentine’s Day and how we wrote that a rally is not necessarily bullish? Guess what – this rally has been more than erased. Miners not only closed below the February 14th opening price, but also below the February 13th and 12th closing prices. Mining stocks big rally turned out to be nothing more than just a regular 50% retracement during a decline – something that we saw many times in the past and that we described as likely. But, since the rally was rather
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
The End Is Near
The doomsayers have been calling for recession for years. Mainstream economists laughed at them, painting a rosy picture. However, the recent plunge in the stock market strengthened the pessimists’ hand. They interpret the dive as a signal of a coming recession. Is the end of the stock market boom really near? What Lies Ahead? The recent stock market turmoil brought traders to their knees. We, of course, covered the descent for our readers, calling for calm. We urged investors not to panic about
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Macro Update: 1 Week Later Risk Remains 'On' as 2 of 3 Amigos Ride On
Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk ‘on’ backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators we watch, like Junk bond ratios and the Palladium/Gold ratio say the same thing. Junk/Treasury and Junk/Investment Grade are threatening new highs and as we have noted in NFTRH updates all through the recent market volatility, Palladium (cyclical) got hammered vs. Gold (counter-cyclical), but only to test its major uptrend
Monday, February 19, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Strange Link between Inflation and Gold
It was a strange day. Inflation surged yesterday. But gold dropped initially, only to quickly reverse the fall and fly into the air. What happened? And – importantly – will gold soar on the inflation fuel? Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head (or Tries to, at Least) The recent payrolls report showed that wages had jumped 2.9 percent in January on an annual basis. It was the best result since 2009, which awakened fears of inflation. That’s why investors awaited yesterday’s data on consumer prices. On Tu
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Key Change That Nobody Talks About
Last week, everyone focused on the stock market sell-off. Reasonably enough, given the pace of the declines. But the analysts failed to pay enough attention to the very important shift. That change may be more important than Trump’s victory in the presidential election. Will the critical switch make gold shine – or dull? Three Important Legacies of Yellen’s Fed Tenure A crucial change is behind us. Powell is the new boss. Yellen is out. For better or worse, she doesn’t serve as the Fed Chair any
Tuesday, February 13, 2018
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
US Stock Market, Precious Metals and the Macro Backdrop
US Stock MarketWe will update global markets as well as the macro situation in NFTRH 486, but for this article I’d like to focus on the US stock market.Let’s cut to the chase; the markets have finally fallen in line for those of us who manage markets, as opposed to dollar cost average into them through a money manager and then go about life, blissfully unaware. Much like during the 2015-2016 period, when the media were all but demanding investors go one way when the right way was the opposite (f
Sunday, February 11, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Three Truths about Stock Market Sell-Off Gold Investors Should Know
Until recently, the financial press was reporting confidence in the global economy in 2018. Participants at the World Economic Forum in Davos were full of optimism and they outdid each other in upgrading their forecasts. One week later, the global stock market plunged, making analysts stupefied. “As equities tumbled, gold should shine”, almost everyone thought. But that’s not what we saw. What really happened, then? Crash or Correction? – That Is the Question Global equities were a sea of red ov
Thursday, February 8, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Will Hawkish Fed and Strong Payrolls Blow Out Gold Rally?
At the end of last week, gold encountered a couple of headwinds. Will they topple the yellow metal? First Gust of Wind: Fed As we predicted, the last FOMC meeting turned out to be more hawkish than expected. On January 30, we wrote: (…) the Fed has its own meeting this week. We could see a hawkish strike, especially that it will be the last Yellen’s meeting and she has nothing to lose. The changing composition of the policy committee could also point to a more aggressive pace of rate hikes in 20
Tuesday, February 6, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Four Key Trends for Gold Market in 2018
The World Gold Council published its gold market outlook for 2018. Will gold continue its January rally or should we expect declines? Solid Gold’s Performance in 2017 The World Gold Council begins its report with a short summary of 2017. The organization points out that gold performed relatively well, given the fact that the global economy picked up, risk assets rose in value, while the Fed hiked interest rates three times. Against this backdrop, the price of gold in U.S. dollars rose 13.5 perce
Thursday, February 1, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Gold Sits in the Central Banks’ Claws
Central banks remain powerful creatures. Will gold escape from their grip? Bank of Japan It’s a hot period in central banking. On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan kept its monetary policy on hold. Kuroda tried to convince the markets that the BoJ won’t follow the Fed towards an exit from easy monetary policy soon. “We haven’t reached the stage of thinking about how to handle an exit [from monetary easing]”, he said. The BoJ Governor also insisted that the bank is fully committed to easy monetary polic
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Gold Gains a Powerful Friend
Yesterday, gold won an influential supporter in the White House. Who is he? The Enemy of Gold’s Enemy Is Gold’s Friend As the ancient proverb goes, my enemy’s enemy is my friend. Although it is usually employed in foreign policy, this concept also applies to finance. Given the negative correlation between the greenback and gold, the enemies of the U.S. dollar are generally gold’s friends. U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has recently joined this elite club. On Wednesday, he welcomed the we
Thursday, January 25, 2018
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Interest Rates: Going Up Or Down?
The 10 Year T-Note yields only 2.6%. But 18 months ago the rate was under 1.5%. In our current era of supposed central bank printed prosperity the low yield tells us digital currency units have little time value. Current European rates are “negative” for trillions of euros in sovereign debt. Argentina sold 100 year bonds. HOW DID IT GET SO CRAZY? The short version is that central banks intervened in the debt and equity markets so much that the financial system is a bit crazy. What Is Crazy and U
Wednesday, January 24, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
While Everyone Focuses on U.S. Government Shutdown, This Country Faces Crisis
The U.S. government partially closed at midnight on Friday. But the UK deals with a much more serious crisis. Potentially also for gold. Unlike the U.S. Government, the Gold Market Never Closes So it happened again. The most powerful country in the world didn’t manage to renew another short-term government funding extension. It’s quite embarrassing, but we all should already get used to it. Since 1976, there have been almost 20 previous occurrences. But the world never collapsed. Why should it,
Tuesday, January 23, 2018
Chris Martenson
Believing The Impossible 
"Alice laughed: "There's no use trying," she said; "one can't believe impossible things." "I daresay you haven't had much practice," said the Queen. "When I was younger, I always did it for half an hour a day. Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast." ~ Lewis Carroll, Through The Looking Glass To borrow from Lewis Carroll: To have confidence in today's central bank-created bubble markets, we have to believe in six impossible things. Thing 1: Fundamentals D
Tuesday, January 23, 2018
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
The Macro View: Amigos Ride On
As symbolized by the 3 Amigos, the macro backdrop is riding on to its destiny. That forward destiny is a top in stocks vs. gold (Amigo 1), a rise in long-term interest rates to potential if not probable limits (Amigo 2) and an end to the yield curve’s flattening trend (Amigo 3).When our zany friends complete the journey, big changes are likely in the macro markets.Let’s take a checkup on each Amigo and consider some implications as well.Amigo 1: Stocks vs. GoldUsing the S&P 500 as an example, st
Friday, January 19, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Will Surge in Bond Yields Smash Gold?
Yields on U.S. Treasuries have leaped recently. It will wreck the yellow metal. Or maybe not. Yields Reach New Heights. Breakthrough for Gold? Last week, we wrote that concerns emerged that China could stop or slow buying the U.S. Treasuries. The U.S. bond yields reacted strongly. We noted that in theory it should sink gold, but the usual “correlation between bullion and Treasury yields broke down thanks to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, which supported the gold prices”. Due to the importa
Thursday, January 18, 2018
Mickey Fulp - Mercenary Geologist
  The 48-Year Record of Pt:Pd Ratios
A Monday Morning Musing from Mickey the Mercenary GeologistContact@MercenaryGeologist.comJanuary 15, 2018Price ratios determine relative value of the precious metals and are useful parameters in deciding which metal to buy at any given time.In previous musings, I documented the history of gold and silver prices and gold-silver ratios from the United States’ abandonment of the gold standard in August 1971 to present (Mercenary Musing, May 9, 2016) and followed with a similar treatment for platinu
Thursday, January 18, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Does CoT Show Battle over Gold?
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has released the latest CoT report. What can we learn from it about the gold market? Light and Darkness in the Gold Market The epic battle between good and evil. The conflict between light and darkness. We and them. This is how some analysts portray the Commitments of Traders report. Commercials, i.e. bullion banks such as JP Morgan, are of course the bad guys. But wait, what’s all this about? As we explained in our Dictionary, the Commitments of Traders
Wednesday, January 17, 2018
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