Articles related to Ratios
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Mystery Markets, Bubbles and Less Risky Gold
Consider graphs of three markets from the past. These are well known and important markets, but the names, prices and time scales are not shown. They are plotted on linear scales. Note: Structure: Each market moved progressively more vertical before crashing. Bubble: Each market bubbled upward to an unsustainable level and collapsed. Timing: Few predicted the dates or prices for these bubble tops, but many observed their bubble characteristics. The Public: The charts show that each market moved
Friday, December 8, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Precious Metals Breaking Down! 3 Amigos to Abort? 4 Horsemen to Ride?
I am not trying to be a wise guy with the first half of the title (it’s a goof on alarmist media), but if you were not bear biased or outright bearish on the gold sector’s daily and weekly technicals, and its macro and sector fundamentals by now all you have left are the alarmist headlines now telling us about H&S breakdowns, HUI/Gold ratio bearishness and whatever else is going on out there in media large and small to scare the lowly gold bug.As noted in an NFTRH update last night…It’s hard to
Thursday, December 7, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Golden Skin In The Game
For the past few weeks I’ve suggested that a modest US dollar rally against the yen (and thus gold) was due…and now it’s here! The dollar’s right shoulder rally fits with the US senate’s decision to finally pass some corporate tax cuts. That’s modestly good news for “risk-on” investors. It’s modest because it comes at a late stage in the business cycle. Many institutional money managers are trimming US stock market holdings. They are investing the proceeds into key Asian markets where corpor
Wednesday, December 6, 2017
Mark O'Byrne -
Bailins Coming In EU – 114 Italian Banks Have NP Loans Exceeding Tangible Assets
– Italy opposes ECB proposal that holds banks to firm deadlines for writing down bad loans – Italy’s banks weighed down under €318bn of bad loans – New ECB rules could ‘derail’ any recovery in Italy’s financial system – Draft proposal requires banks to provision fully for loans that turn sour from 2018 – ECB insists banks have better access to collateral on delinquent debt to solve problem – Investors should secure assets as proposal suggests more bailins on horizon and banks remain at risk Sou
Tuesday, December 5, 2017
Jason Hamlin - Gold Stock Bull
Gold and Silver versus Twilight Zone Bubbles
Every bubble inflates, rises vertically, excites the masses (get rich now – don’t be left behind), appears unstoppable and crashes. The sun rises and sets. Twilight emerges. Empires, markets, and ideas enter their twilight zone where huge changes occur. Those changes may not happen next week or next month, but soon. Expect the bubbles in stocks and bonds to burst, as they inevitably must, and precious metals to rise – finally! Consider the following bubble examples: Amazon, Apple and Bitcoin.
Friday, December 1, 2017
The Gold Report
The Big Picture for Gold
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, explain the "Potent Director Fallacy," and describe what this belief system means for gold and other markets. This is a very frustrating period for gold investors. Global financial and geopolitical risks appear to be very high but gold has not responded. Gold and gold stocks are range-trading and have been since early March of this year. Gold is in a roughly $150 range (about 15%) while the HUI,
Tuesday, November 28, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
114 Italian Banks (Roughly 23) Have NPLs Exceeding Tangible Capital
114 Italian banks have non-performing loans that exceed tangible capital. Ratios above 100% are signs of severe stress.The headline image is from the from The article is dated March 25, 2017. The translated headline reads "Here are the 114 Italian banks at risk for suffering" The image shows 24 banks where non-performing loans total 200% or more of tangible assets. The image title "Texas Highest Rate" refers to a measure of banking stress called the "Texas Ratio". The Texas Rati
Tuesday, November 28, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Taxes, Macro Signals, Seasonality, US Stocks and Gold Miners
While politicians hammer out the details it is generally accepted that corporations and by extension the investor and asset owner classes are targeted for benefits under the coming Republican tax plan. The logical implication of that beneficial treatment is that barring a market meltdown in the interim, people looking to unload stock positions and take profits would tend to wait until January in hopes of gaining the 2018 tax benefit vs. 2017’s tax code.Among the under performing sectors subject
Friday, November 24, 2017
Chris Ciovacco - Ciovacco Capital Management
Did Market Breadth Confirm The New Highs In Stocks?
Bad Breadth Can Foreshadow Bear Markets Market breadth speaks to the number of stocks participating in an advance. Strong market breadth means a high percentage of stocks are making new highs as the major indexes make new highs. Strong breadth also aligns with widespread confidence in stocks and the economy. Bearish Divergence In 2000 The chart below tracks the number of NYSE stocks making new highs minus the number making new lows. A bearish divergence was clearly evident well before the bull
Wednesday, November 22, 2017
Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
TSI’s Principles of Technical Analysis
Although my primary focus is on the fundamentals, I do use Technical Analysis (TA). However, many of my TA-related beliefs deviate from the mainstream. Below is a collection of these beliefs presented in no particular order. The collection is not comprehensive, but it gives an overview of how I think historical price action can and can’t be used. Note that there is significant repetition in the following list, in that a similar meaning is sometimes conveyed in separate points using different wor
Tuesday, November 21, 2017
Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
Gold Miners’ Q3’17 Fundamentals
The gold miners’ stocks have spent months adrift, cast off in the long shadow of the Trumphoria stock-market rally.  This vexing consolidation has left a wasteland of popular bearishness.  But once a quarter earnings season arrives, bright fundamental sunlight dispelling the obscuring sentiment fogs.  The major gold miners’ just-reported Q3’17 results prove this sector remains strong fundamentally, and super-undervalued. Four times a year publicly-traded compan
Friday, November 17, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Stumbling Into the Bubble Zone
Bubbles are a fact of financial life! We know about the Dutch Tulip Bubble and the English South Sea bubble.  Silly – right?  They couldn’t happen in this modern age! Think again! Consider the following examples, a few of many that could be shown. Amazon, Apple and Bitcoin. Amazon, Apple, Bitcoin and other stocks show vertical rises – classic bubble behavior.  They might implode soon or their prices could rise even higher.  There are few limits on crazy price moves and central bank currency p
Tuesday, November 14, 2017
Jan Skoyles - GoldCore
Prepare For Interest Rate Rises And Global Debt Bubble Collapse
– Diversify, rebalance investments and prepare for interest rate rises – UK launches inquiry into household finances as £200bn debt pile looms – Centuries of data forewarn of rapid reversal from ultra low interest rates – 700-year average real interest rate in last 700 years is 4.78% (must see chart) – Massive global debt bubble – over $217 trillion (see table) – Global debt levels are building up to a gigantic tidal wave – Move to safe haven higher ground from coming tidal wave Editor: Mark O’B
Thursday, November 9, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
At the Junction of Risk 'On' and Risk 'Off'
By Gary Tanashian[edit] As I do the actual work of plowing through NFTRH 472 I am noting some non-bond related indicators in line with the fading Junk/Quality ratios and easing Treasury yields noted in this post. If preliminary hints in these indicators intensify and long-term yield breakouts fail, we may get a market reaction of some kind and lurch to risk ‘off’ sooner rather than later. Most market charts remain straight up bullish. But charts are charts and indicators are a whole other animal
Sunday, November 5, 2017
Jesse - Le Cafe Américain
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts -
“Like a snake eating its own tail, the equity market cannot rely on share buybacks indefinitely to nourish the illusion of growth." Chris Cole, Artemis Capital "Of course big bank stocks are 'overvalued' in terms of earnings or revenues, but do such measures really matter in a world without value?   When you have global central banks gunning all asset prices in a desperate effort to avoid a sovereign debt default starting in Japan and then Europe, pedestrian metrics like price/earnings ratios
Monday, October 30, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
The Big Macro Play Ahead
By Gary TanashianAt NFTRH, we are about major macro turning points above all else. Of course, it is often years between these turning points or points of significant change so we are also about the here and now, and managing the trends, Old Turkey style.*Since we are all learning all the time, I have no problem admitting to you that while right and bullish on commodities and stocks in 2009, after becoming bullish on the precious metals in Q4 2008, I completely ignored Old Turkey due to my inner
Saturday, October 28, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
ECB Meeting in October 2017 and Gold
On Thursday, the European Central Bank released its most recent monetary policy statement. What does it say about the ECB’s stance and what does it imply for the gold market? As expected, the ECB kept its monetary policy unchanged at its last meeting, but altered its quantitative easing program. In line with expectations, the bank cut the volume of monthly purchases, but extended the duration of the program until September 2018: “From January 2018 the net asset purchases are intended to continue
Friday, October 27, 2017
Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
Fed/ECB Strangle Stock Bull
This epic central-bank-easing-driven global stock bull is starting to be strangled by the very central banks that fueled it.  This week the European Central Bank made a landmark decision to drastically slash its quantitative easing next year.  That follows the Fed’s new quantitative-tightening campaign just getting underway this month.  With CBs aggressively curtailing easy-money liquidity, this stock bull is in serious trouble. The US flagship S&P 500 broad-ma
Friday, October 27, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
U.S. Economic Data, ECB, and Gold
This week, positive data on the U.S. economy was released, but the markets have seemed to focus on today’s ECB meeting. What does it mean for the gold market? Durable goods orders rose 2.2 percent in September, much more than expected (the Bloomberg consensus was 1 percent). Importantly, core capital goods orders (nondefense ex-aircraft) increased 1.3 percent, also above expectations. Moreover, the IHS Markit Flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index rose from 54.8 in September to 55.7 in October. I
Thursday, October 26, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Gold Comes from Neutron Star Collision
Gold comes from the merger of neutron stars. How cool is that? We always maintained that gold is a unique element and an investment. Its extraordinary features were the very reason why people chose the yellow metal as money. Just think about it: there are more than 100 elements, but it was gold that became a market medium of exchange used by people all over the world. Aurum is neither a gas (try to pay for dinner with helium!), nor radioactive, so it does not kill its users (it’s quite important
Wednesday, October 25, 2017