Articles related to Recession
 
Jesse - Le Cafe Américain
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts -
US equities rallied today on the earnings report from WalMart, and an excess of hot money with nowhere productive to go. Today was characterized as a great time to buy the dip, which occurred earlier this week. Stocks are a buy because corporations are enjoying record profits, which they mostly spend on dividends, boondoggles, monopolization,  and tax buybacks. Quick, give those folks a tax break! Tomorrow will be a stock options expiration. The House passed its version of 'tax reform' toda
Friday, November 17, 2017
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
Will macro-economists ever learn?
As we lurch through successive credit crises, central bankers and economists believe they learn valuable lessons every time, and that the ultimate prize, the suppression of business cycles through monetary policy, will be achieved.We saw, over Brexit, how wrong the Bank of England’s and the UK Treasury’s models were, and these errors were also evident in the OECD’s model. Brexiteers smelled conspiracy, but in the absence of evidence, perhaps we should give them the benefit of the doubt and assum
Friday, November 17, 2017
Frank Shostak
There Are Two Types of Credit — One of Them Leads to Booms and Busts
In the slump of a cycle, businesses that were thriving begin to experience difficulties or go under. They do so not because of firm-specific entrepreneurial errors but rather in tandem with whole sectors of the economy. People who were wealthy yesterday have become poor today. Factories that were busy yesterday are shut down today, and workers are out of jobs.Businessmen themselves are confused as to why. They cannot make sense of why certain business practices that were profitable yesterday are
Tuesday, November 14, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Shelter From The Storm
What storm?  The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DOW) reached another all-time high.  Interest rates in the U.S. are yielding multi-decade lows, some say multi-century lows. Trillions of dollars in global sovereign debt have negative yield and European junk bonds yield less than 10 year U.S. treasuries. “Official” unemployment is low. Borrowing is inexpensive. Things are good, so they say! Ho-Hum! Really?  Do you believe the above is a fair and accurate representation of our economic world?  If so
Thursday, November 9, 2017
Jeff Clark - Goldsilver
So You’re a Bitcoin Millionaire! Now Where Do You Invest?
If you’ve made a profit from bitcoin and other cryptos, congratulations! You’re obviously a smart investor who spotted a trend early on and was able to profit. Hats off to you.But now it’s time to take some profits… right? If you were smart enough to buy in early, you’re smart enough to know that it’s not a profit until you take it. And that asset prices don’t rise forever, no matter how revolutionary the technology.Yes, some cryptos will gain widespread acceptance and use, but most won’t. Yes,
Thursday, November 9, 2017
Chris Ciovacco - Ciovacco Capital Management
Stock Ownership Figures Look Nothing Like A Bubble
A Euphoric, All In Bubble? Once a year, Gallup conducts a poll that provides some insight into the sustainability of the bull market in stocks. The concept of an investment bubble implies irrational investor confidence. If skepticism and fear were near all-time, bubble-like lows, we would expect a very high percentage of U.S. households to be in the stock market, as was the case near the euphoric 2007 stock market peak (see graph below). Are We Back To Bubble Territory In 2017? Therefore, it
Monday, November 6, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
At the Junction of Risk 'On' and Risk 'Off'
By Gary Tanashian[edit] As I do the actual work of plowing through NFTRH 472 I am noting some non-bond related indicators in line with the fading Junk/Quality ratios and easing Treasury yields noted in this post. If preliminary hints in these indicators intensify and long-term yield breakouts fail, we may get a market reaction of some kind and lurch to risk ‘off’ sooner rather than later. Most market charts remain straight up bullish. But charts are charts and indicators are a whole other animal
Sunday, November 5, 2017
Mac Slavo - ShtfPlan
Gerald Celente Warns Of 2018 Recession: “We’ve Never Seen One Like This Before”
Trend forecaster Gerald Celente, who warned investors of the collapse of 2008 just weeks before the markets buckled, has issued a new  recession warning for 2018 in his latest interview with Greg Hunter of USA Watchdog. But this time, says Celente, it’s going to be a different kind of scenario: All the investment is at the top… and the top is the one that’s going to fall… and when they fall, the bottom will feel it but more psychologically than in their pocket… be cause it’s the “Bigs” that are
Saturday, November 4, 2017
Jan Skoyles - GoldCore
Gold Price Reacts as Central Banks Start Major Change
– Bank of England raised interest rates for the first time in ten years – President Trump announces Jerome Powell as his choice to lead the U.S. Federal Reserve – Most investors outside the US Dollar and Euro see gold prices climb after busy week of central bank news – Inflation now at five-year high of 3% – Inflation, low-interest rate, debt crises and bail-ins still threaten savers and pensioners This week has been a significant week for central banks. The Bank of England raised interest rate
Friday, November 3, 2017
Deepcaster
Profit, Protection, Despite Cartel Interventions—November 2017 Update
Governments love [the war on cash]. Then they can control you...we are not going to have as many freedoms as we have now ...get prepared because we're going to have the worst economic problems we've had in your lifetime or my lifetime and when that happens a lot of people are going to disappear.“…the next time aro
Wednesday, November 1, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Bullion Sets Lowest Friday Finish Since August as Dollar Gains on US GDP Data
GOLD BULLION headed for its lowest weekly close since the start of August today, losing over 1% against the rising Dollar from last Friday's finish as world stock markets rose yet again. After Thursday's latest data showed the US trade deficit, jobless benefit claims and pending home-sales all worsening, GDP figures for July to September showed economic growth slipping from 3.1% per year to 3.0% annualized, beating analysts' forecasts of 2.5%.
Friday, October 27, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Hit 3-Week Low as UK GDP Makes Rate Rise a 'Done Deal', GOP Back Taylor Rule at US Fed
GOLD PRICES fell to the lowest in 3 weeks against all major currencies in London on Wednesday, falling as world stock markets rose after Wall Street set fresh all-time highs despite growing expectations of tighter central-bank policy in the US, UK and Eurozone. UK government Gilt yields jumped to their highest since February followed stronger-than-expected GDP growth for Q3, while US 10-year Treasury yields rose to fres
Wednesday, October 25, 2017
George F. Smith - Barbarous Relic
An outrageous proposal — or not
A cry could be heard from somewhere in the room. No one was surprised.  This had been an unthinkable outcome for those in attendance, and a sense of quiet shock had overtaken everyone.  This was not a G7 or a G20 summit.  It was a meeting deliberately without a label.  It would never again happen.  It couldn’t. The leaders of the world’s states had gathered to find solutions to the problems they feared were threatening human life on earth.  They were reminded of the incessant wars, the lik
Wednesday, October 25, 2017
Michael Pento - Delta Global Advisors
Lemmings in Full Gallup Towards Cliff
It's official…the stock market has broken above 23,000, and its valuations should now scare even the most mind-numbed carnival barker on Wall Street.  The forward 12-month PE ratio is 18, compared to the 10-year average of just 14. The 12-month trailing PE for Pro-forma earnings, which takes into account non-recurring items that seem to recur ever quarter, is trading at 20 times earnings. But on a reported earnings basis—the number you report to the SEC under penalty of the law and according to
Monday, October 23, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Key Charts: Gold is Cheap and US Recession May Be Closer Than Think
Every year, Ronald-Peter Stoeferle and Mark J Valek of investment and asset management company Incrementum put together the report In Gold We Trust – 160-plus pages of charts and thoughts, mostly gold-related, on the state of the world’s finances. There’s so much to look at and consider. It’s a sort of digital equivalent of a coffee-table book. Yesterday I got an email from them, containing a “best of” – a compendium of some of the best charts from this year’s report. I thought in today’s Money
Saturday, October 21, 2017
Jan Skoyles - GoldCore
Gold Up 74 Since Last Market Peak 10 Years Ago
– 10 year anniversary of pre-Global Financial Crisis market peak in S&P 500 on October 9th – Gold up 74% since the last market peak a decade ago; 11% pa in USD, 9.4% pa in EUR and 12.4% pa in GBP – Precious metal has climbed $736/oz on Oct 9th 2007 to $1278.75 ten-years later – S&P 500’s 102% climb is thanks to asset-pumping policies by central banks, rather than value – Gold’s performance is slowly forcing mainstream to re-consider gold – “Notion of gold as a hedge against serious risk aversion
Saturday, October 21, 2017
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
Happy Black Friday
Amsterdam | As the financial world happily fixates on who will be the next Fed Chairman, I am in Europe celebrating the 30th anniversary of Black Friday, October 19, 1987. Three decades ago, I was on a trading desk at Bear, Stearns & Co in London along with David, Joey, Gregory, Peter and Paul, among others. We had just finished a remarkable four year run, but the party was over. That fateful day, our Treasury/MBS trader Matt got his eyes ripped out early in the day. His big mistake was answe
Friday, October 20, 2017
Jason Hamlin - Gold Stock Bull
What You Know for Sure that Just Ain’t So!
It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so. -Mark Twain We know many things for sure.  Examples are: In 1913 we knew that a European war was unlikely because European countries would not engage in pointless and mutually destructive actions. Later we knew it as “the war to end all wars.” In 1915 we knew that the war would be over in a matter of weeks. In 1929 we knew that the stock market had reached a permanently high price plateau. In
Thursday, October 19, 2017
Jeff Clark - Goldsilver
History Says Global Debt Levels Will Lead to Another Crisis
It may feel like we’ll escape a debt crisis since, well, the world hasn’t ended in spite of runaway debt levels. Some of us hard money people feel like we’re taking crazy pills; how the heck can debt be so out of control, so completely unpayable, and yet the financial system keeps chugging along as if nothing’s wrong?Well, history has a message for us: the current calm won’t last forever, because there is a direct link between government debt levels and the number of financial crises that occur.
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Young Guns of Gold Podcast – ‘The Everything Bubble’
– Precious Metal Roundtable discuss gold in 2017 and outlook – Gold +9.1% year to date; Performing well given Fed raising rates, lack of volatility and surge in stock markets – “People are expecting too much from gold” – Economy: Inflation indicators, recession on the horizon, global debt issues – Global demand: ETF inflows, Russia central bank purchases, Germany investment figures and international coin demand bode well for gold – “First monetary inflation, then asset inflation, next is price i
Thursday, October 12, 2017
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