Articles related to Recession
Chris Ciovacco - Ciovacco Capital Management
Want To Reduce Missteps Become A Two-Faced Investor
Improving Your Perspective On Markets. We all want: To become better investors. To improve our ability to probabilistically forecast future market outcomes. To reduce daily investment stress. To sleep better at night. If any of the points above apply to our current investment circumstances, it is highly unlikely these issues will be addressed unless we are willing to take an honest inventory of our current approach to the financial markets. Topic Is Timely Stocks have been holdi
Wednesday, May 16, 2018
Ronan Manly - Bullion Star
New Gold Pool at the BIS Basle, Switzerland: Part 1
“In the Governor’s absence I attended the meeting in Zijlstra’s room in the BIS on the afternoon of Monday, 10th December to continue discussions about a possible gold pool. Emminger, de la Geniere, de Strycker, Leutwiler, Larre and Pohl were present.”      13 December 1979 – Kit McMahon to Gordon Richardson, Bank of England Introduction A central bank Gold Pool which many people will be familiar with operated in the gold market between November 1961 and March 1968. That Gold Pool was known as t
Wednesday, May 2, 2018
Mike Hewitt - Dollar Daze
  Hyperinflation around the Globe 
Angola (1991-1999) Angola went through the worst inflation from 1991 to 1995. In early 1991, the highest denomination was 50,000 kwanzas. By 1994, it was 500,000 kwanzas. In the 1995 currency reform, 1 kwanza reajustado was exchanged for 1,000 kwanzas. The highest denomination in 1995 was 5,000,000 kwanzas reajustados. In the 1999 currency reform, 1 new kwanza was exchanged for 1,000,000 kwanzas reajustados. The overall impact of hyperinflation: 1 new kwanza = 1,000,000,000 pre-1991 kwanzas.
Monday, April 23, 2018
Mickey Fulp - Mercenary Geologist
Gold, Silver, and the US Dollar: 1792-1971
In today's musing, I review the history of gold, silver, and fiat currency as money in the United States of America. I document how various wars, panics and depressions, Congressional acts, and executive orders have affected the US dollar prices of precious metals and resulting gold-silver ratios.This musing covers the period from 1792 when the United States government first established a national currency backed by gold and silver until
Thursday, April 19, 2018
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
Japan: the Yen 1914-1941
For some reason, I've been spending a lot of time recently talking about the "interwar" period, 1920-1940. During World War I, Japan, following the example of most all governments in the world, suspended redeemability and floated the yen in 1914. It looks like the yen was nevertheless kept essentially linked to the dollar, however. The dollar, like the pound, was also effectively floated, and sank in value. March
Saturday, April 7, 2018
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
Is Aggregate Debt Excessive
Sunday, March 18, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Is the Economic Summer Coming
Cycles, cycles everywhere. We’ve already discussed the current state of the U.S. business cycle, arguing that the expansion should last for a while, although it is more advanced than in Europe. However, business cycles aren’t the only creatures living in an economic zoo. They are simply the most popular within the modern macroeconomics. The post-war business cycles lasted, on average, almost 6 years. But economists distinguished also shorter cycles, called Kitchin inventory cycles, which are bel
Saturday, March 17, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Are We Going to $1,120 or $1,510 No Matter What, Own Some Gold!
Who will win: bulls or bears? The LBMA published its annual forecast survey for precious metals prices in 2018. Gold prices range from $1,120 to $1,510. Where is the price of the yellow metal headed? Summary of the Survey The views of about 30 analysts in the 2018 forecasts are strongly divergent. The average price of gold is projected to be $1,318, so it is expected to be around the current level, but almost 5 percent higher than the last year’s average of $1,257.12. However, the average gold p
Friday, March 16, 2018
Gerard Jackson
The "wealth effect" an Austrian view
It is being said that if the fed could just get the ‘wealth effect’ into motion the US economy would fully recover from the recession. But the ‘wealth effect’ is a phantom, the sort of economic fallacy that only a Keynesian could conjure up.  Those who support this fiction argue that a stock market’s performance is driven by a net inflow of funds which in turn is driven by economic growth. They go further by saying that growth in turn is driven by investment, innovation and productivity, all of
Tuesday, March 13, 2018
George F. Smith - Barbarous Relic
Gary North on central banking, gold, federal debt, and Keynesianism
I have never met Gary North and probably never will.Yet, through his writings he has had a far-reaching influence on my thinking, especially with regard to government and economics.He runs a membership website, $14.95 a month you get access to everything on the site, including four daily articles that he writes six days a week and posts while most people are still asleep.Members can ask questions in the forums to which he and other members will post replies. North wrote what
Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Mark O'Byrne -
Stock Market Selloff Showed Gold Can Reduce Portfolio Risk
– Recent stock market selloff showed gold can deliver returns and reduce portfolio risk– Gold’s performance during stock market selloff was consistent with historical behaviour– Gold up nearly 10% in last year but performance during recent selloff was short-lived– The stronger the market pullback, the stronger gold’s rally– WGC: ‘a good time for investors to consider including or adding gold as a strategic component to their portfolios.’– Gold remains one of the best assets outperforming treasur
Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Goldilocks vs the Bears: Is She in the Room or Out of the Room
Let's investigate belief in Goldilocks vs belief in Bears. John Rubino at DollarCollapse says A Bull Market For The History Books — Bear Market To Follow Shortly. Why the current expansion/bull market has so long is open to debate. What’s undeniable, though, is the vast amount of malinvestment that has accumulated. The biggest example might be corporations borrowing hundreds of billions of dollars to buy back their stock at record high prices. See Record Buybacks at Worst Possible Time. If thos
Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
“Should We Restore The Gold Standard”
I thought I would add a little commentary to this item from Bullionstar: Should We Restore the Gold Standard? It consists of a sort of virtual discussion between Larry White and David Glasner, who we looked at recently regarding his views of the Great Depression: I say “virtual” because it appears that the two did not have an actual discussion, but rather, the author compares some of their public statements. The article is a nice summary of what a discussion today on this topic might look like.
Monday, March 12, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Are We in Late Cycle Implications for Gold
In the previous edition of the Market Overview, we explored the fascinating history of bull and bear cycles in both the U.S. dollar and gold. Since then, the idea of cyclicity doesn’t lead me to drop off, disrupting my sleep cycles. Let’s then dig into the topic. We start with the business cycles, as in the recent Gold News Monitor we wrote that “we are in the late stages of the economic cycle – as the cycle matures, volatility increases and investors start to buy more gold as a hedge.” Why do w
Saturday, March 10, 2018
Impending Mega-Moves and re #1 Asset for Profiting and Protecting
DEEPCASTER LLCFORTRESS ASSETS PORTFOLIO | LETTERS, ALERTS & ARTICLESHIGH POTENTIAL SPECULATOR | HIGH YIELD PORTFOLIOPreserve & Enhance WealthInvestment & Geopolitical IntelligenceMarkets were triggered and shocked a few days ago when the yield on the Bellwether U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note shot up over 2.9% which resulted mainly from Fed Chair Powell’s hinting at the possibility of 4 rate hikes this year. Other soon-to-be-detonated Triggers will have Mega-Consequences for Key Market Sectors but wi
Friday, March 9, 2018
Jeff Clark - Goldsilver
Gold vs. Silver: The 5 Differences That Matter Most to Investors
You’d like to buy some precious metals, but do you buy silver or gold? Is there really much difference between them other than the price?Both are “precious” metals, meaning their occurrence in the earth’s crust is rare. But when it comes to investing in gold vs. silver, there are 5 important distinctions to be aware of. These differences can supercharge your portfolio—or make it a victim.This article outlines the five differences to know about gold vs. silver, with special emphasis on investment
Thursday, March 8, 2018
Mark O'Byrne -
Gold Does Not Fear Interest Rate Hikes
– Gold no longer fears or pays attention to Fed announcements regarding interest rates – Renewed interest in gold due to inflation fears and concern Fed won’t do enough to control it – Higher interest rates on horizon will make debt levels unsustainable – New Fed Chair warns “the US is not on a sustainable fiscal path” and could lead to an “unsustainable” debt load – Higher interest rates are good for gold as seen in the 1970s and 2000s – Gold markets aware that central banks are running out of
Thursday, March 8, 2018
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Debt and Delusions – Part One
This article was written for Miles Franklin by Gary Christenson. Quick summary:  U.S. debt, spending and deficits are out of control. Thinking otherwise is delusional. The “runaway train” of debt creation will end tragically. Protect your assets from a mathematically assured disaster while you can. Buy and hold silver, gold and platinum. The national debt of western nations plus Japan is a travesty that threatens national insolvency, a crashing financial system, and social stability! WHY? Gover
Thursday, March 8, 2018
George F. Smith - Barbarous Relic
“Close the public schools forever” 
From everything I read you would think we were incapable of solving social problems. In truth, we find matters only getting worse because the proposed solutions always involve the culprit, the state, taking more control over our lives. The state is a box we desperately need to think outside of if we’re ever going to establish civil relations among people. We would do well to remember that the state is absolutely not in the business of making our lives better. It is an institution appended
Wednesday, March 7, 2018
Peter Schiff - Euro Pacific Capital
Trump Plays with Fire on Trade
With his announcement last week of broad tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, President Trump launched what could be the first salvo of an all-out global trade war. Seemingly itching for a fight, he gleefully tweeted that “Trade wars are good, and easy to win.” It seems like Trump thinks the conflict will play out much like Ronald Reagan’s 1983 week-long invasion of Grenada rather than the more telling quagmires that unfolded in Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq. He’s wrong. Apart from overestim
Wednesday, March 7, 2018