Articles related to backwardation
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
Has Barrick Been Barricked By The U.S.
Wednesday, January 13, 2021
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
The Vanishing Of The Gold Basis and... 
The gold basis is defined as the difference between the nearby futures price and the cash price of gold in the same location. A positive basis is called contango; a negative one, backwardation. Since there were no organized futures markets in gold prior to 1971, the history of gold basis is confined to the last 35 or so years Gold futures trading started on the Winnipeg Commodity Exchange in Canada in 1971 at a time when ownership and trading of gold was still illegal in the United States. Upon becoming legal the bulk of gold futures
Tuesday, January 12, 2021
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
More dress rehearsal for the last contango
You have to remember that the basis is widely used as a guide in the huge arbitrage operations between gold holdings and dollar balances and in the gold carry trade. To participate in this arbitrage you must have gold on deposit in Comex warehouses. But with the vanishing of the gold basis the profitability of this arbitrage as well as that of the gold carry trade has been drying up, which explains the dwindling of warehouse stocks.
Saturday, January 9, 2021
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
Forward Thinking On Backwardation
Thursday, October 8, 2020
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
  The Supply of Oxen at the IMF
Wednesday, October 7, 2020
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
Gibson’s Paradox The Gold Price
Sunday, September 6, 2020
Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
Basic Gold Market Facts 
Here are ten basic gold-market realities that are either unknown or ignored by many gold 'experts'.1. Supply always equals demand, with the price changing to maintain the equivalence. In this respect the gold market is no different from any other market that clears, but it's incredible how often comments like "demand is increasing relative to supply" appear in gold-related articles.2. The supply of gold is the total aboveground gold inventory, which is currently somewhere in the 150K-200K tonne
Friday, August 14, 2020
Perth Mint Blog
Then, As Now, Silver's Course Dangerous To Predict
Looking for something different to read during my midday break today, I visited The Perth Mint’s library and came across “Messrs.Mocatta andGoldsmid’s Circular on the Movements of Gold and Silver during 1913”, an Appendix to the British Royal Mint’s 1913 Annual Report. Silver investors will find this circular of 100 years ago of interest as Messrs.
Monday, August 10, 2020
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
Has Hedging Killed The Goose - (Final Part)
Saturday, July 18, 2020
Julian D. W. Phillips - Gold Forecaster
Manipulation /Management : Controlling the Gold Price
There is much talk of price management/manipulation in almost all markets. These charges are met with denial, silence and scorn. There are several aspects of markets that can give the opportunity to manage/manipulate prices. Often we think of market manipulation solely in terms of heavy buyers and/or sellers overwhelming the markets.
Tuesday, June 30, 2020
Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
Precious Metals Leasing Explained
Whatis precious metals leasing, and why is it done...? LEASINGis an integral part of the precious metals market,writes Miguel Perez-Santalla at BullionVault. Why is it necessary? For a diverse number of reasons, the first is the need for industry to borrow instead of buying outright the metal. This enables them to avoid owning the metal at a fixed price if they have not yet contracted to sell their product.
Saturday, May 23, 2020
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
Remobilize Gold To Save The World Economy!
Let me explain. Gold is the only ultimate extinguisher of debt. Other extinguishers do, of course, exist but they are not ultimate in that they have a counterpart in the liability column of the balance sheet of someone else. Gold has no such liability attached to it. Gold is where the buck stops. It is this property
Tuesday, May 5, 2020
Valuing Mining Stocks - In Defense Of Net Asset Value
While browsing the various fundamental evaluations of mining companies made by investors on internet message boards, I have consistently seen two valuation methodologies - the in situ method and the cash flow method - used frequently, while the traditional net asset value (NAV) method used by professionals is neglected or not used at all. The NAV method, I believe, is superior to the other two, and the following is a defense of this valuation technique.
Saturday, March 7, 2020
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Standing Ready to Lease Gold
We will take another break from capital destruction, to treat a topic which has come up this week. On March 11, we said: “…central bankers do not think about gold. Granted, they once did. In the 1960’s, there was the now-infamous London Gold Pool to keep the price of gold at $35. This is endlessly cited as evidence of current central bank price suppression, without bothering to mention that until 1971 the official US policy was to maintain the dollar to gold exchange rate of $35 to the ounce. …
Tuesday, March 20, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Inflation Is Not Under Control
Let’s continue on our topic of capital consumption. It’s an important area of study, as our system of central bank socialism imposes many incentives to consume and destroy capital. As capital is the leverage that increases the productivity of human effort, it is vital that we understand what’s happening. We do not work harder today, than they worked 200 years ago, or in the ancient world. Yet we produce so much more, that obesity is a disease more of the poor than the rich. Destruction of capita
Monday, March 5, 2018
Chris Powell - GATA
Silver deeply in backwardation and on verge of breakout, Turk tells KWN
GoldMoney founder and GATA consultant James Turk, interviewed today by King World News, says silver is deeply in backwardation and seems to be on the verge of breaking up and out against the longstanding price suppression. The interview is posted at KWN here:
Tuesday, February 27, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Monetary Metals Brief 2018
Predicting the likely path of the prices of the metals in the near term is easy. Just look at the fundamentals. We have invested many man-years in developing the theory, model, and software to calculate it. Every week we publish charts and our calculated fundamental prices. However, predicting the outlook for a longer period of time is much harder. The fundamental shows the relative pressures in the spot and futures markets, but they only show a snapshot. They do not predict how those pressures
Monday, January 29, 2018
BullionStar - Bullion Star
Bitcoin backwardation, gold contango
People often refer to bitcoin as digital gold because of the similarities between the two assets. One big difference between gold and bitcoin is currently playing out in their respective futures markets. Since bitcoin futures were introduced last December by the CBOE, futures prices have often been inverted, or in backwardation. This sort of phenomenon rarely happens in gold markets, which trade normally, or in contango. Let's explore why inversion seems to be relatively common with bitcoin and
Monday, January 22, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Speculating Our Way to Prosperity
We have been discussing the consumption of capital. Last week, for example, we concluded with: “We see people eating more of the seed corn.” Morally, socialism is the enslavement of man to man. If you create something, they want not just to take it from you, but to render you unable to create anything else. They declare that the ideal is “from each according to his ability.” This is about the most perfect expression of envy ever put into words. By envy, we mean the hatred of the good for being t
Tuesday, January 16, 2018
Chris Powell - GATA
Hope for the day of deliverance but avoid predicting it
Some of you are inquiring about GATA consultant Harvey Organ's excellent work calling attention to the huge increase in the use of the New York Commodities Exchange's "exchange for physicals" procedure for fulfilling long contracts for gold and silver: It seems that most gold and silver bought through futures contracts on the Comex in New York and claimed for delivery now is being delivered in London through what long had been described as an "emergency" mechanis
Thursday, December 14, 2017