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Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
Gold, the stock market and the yield curve
The yield curve is a remarkably useful leading indicator of major economic and financial-market events. For example, its long-term trend can be relied on to shift from flattening to steepening ahead of economic recessions and equity bear markets. Also, usually it will remain in a flattening trend while a monetary-inflation-fueled boom is in progress. That’s why I consider the yield curve’s trend to be one of the true fundamental drivers of both the stock market and the gold market. Not surprisin
Monday, October 16, 2017
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
Zimbabwe Inflates, Again…
In November 2008, Zimbabwe experienced the second highest recorded inflation rate in history, and with that, it entered the Hanke-Krus World Hyperinflation Table. That’s when the annual inflation rate reached a peak of 89.7 sextillion (10^21) percent (see table below). At this point, prices were doubling every 24.7 hours. During Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation episode (2007-2008), the Reserve Bank of Zim
Sunday, October 15, 2017
John Butler - Goldmoney
Common commodity misconceptions 
Commodities are the most basic economic goods, providing essential inputs into progressively more complex goods at advanced stages of production. Yet the economic mainstream generally fails to understand commodities, treating them as distinct from the processes whereby they are created and the processes they subsequently enable, when in fact they are an integral part of a dynamic, complex, adaptive economic system. A correct understanding of commodities is essential if we are to understand what
Saturday, October 14, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Update on Q4 Pivot View for Stocks and Gold
By Gary TanashianReference a post from August 11: Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and GoldStock Market StatusIn the above-linked article we noted several legs that could be kicked out from under the S&P 500’s table in Q4 2017. The stock market blew right through one of them, which was a bearish (on average) seasonal trend for the 2nd half of September. No one indicator is a be all, end all. In sum, they define probabilities. But price is the ultimate arbiter and as of today, price says ‘sti
Friday, October 13, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Tokenization of Gold
The Blockchain technology enables tokenization of gold. What does it mean for the precious metals market? Usually, investors consider precious metals and cryptocurrencies as substitutes, as the value of both asset classes depends on the level of faith in the national fiat currencies. However, a few cryptocurrencies backed by gold exist, potentially creating some synergies. For example, there is OneGram, which is a sharia-compliant cryptocurrency backed by gold. It means that each token is backed
Friday, October 13, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
“Fade” the little guy for profit!
As many of you know, I worked in the brokerage industry as a stockbroker/branch manager for 23 years. During that time and the 10+ years since, I have seen the “herd” move(d) violently in tandem many times. For years, smart investors would discern what retail investors were doing as a group and do the opposite quite profitably. It has been said and I have to agree, “the little guy is almost always wrong, and wrong at the wrong time”. Fade the little guy, it is usually quite profitable! We are ag
Friday, October 13, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Yuan and Gold
In the previous editions of the Market Overview, we have already analyzed the relationship between gold and some major world currencies, such as the U.S. dollar, the euro, or the Japanese yen. But what is the link between the Chinese yuan (officially: renminbi) and the yellow metal? Let’s check it out. Chart 1: The USD/CNY exchange rate (red line, right axis) and the price of gold (yellow line, left axis, London P.M. Fix) from January 1981 to September 2017. As one can see in the chart above,
Friday, October 13, 2017
Jordan Roy Byrne - The Daily Gold
US Dollar Outlook and What it Means for Gold
By Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTAThe US Dollar Index (USDI) bottomed in September a hair below 91.00 and has recently rallied up to 94. We were skeptical Gold would break its 2016 highs as it failed to show strong performance in the wake of the USDI’s decline to new lows. The market was discounting a coming rebound in the USDI and/or future weakness in Gold. In any event, although the USDI broke key levels which leave its bull market in question, it became quite oversold and was due for a sustained
Friday, October 13, 2017
Rick Ackerman
What If AMZN Is Getting Second Wind?
Today’s bullish surge was strongly impulsive on the hourly chart (see inset), surpassing no fewer than four prior peaks, three of them ‘external’. From a technical standpoint it transformed a bearish head-and-shoulders formation that has been taking shape since May into something else — presumably a consolidation pattern with enough energy to push the stock above the all-time high at 1083.31 recorded in late July. We shall soon see. Of course, if the bull market in AMZN is about to get second wi
Friday, October 13, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Is It Right Time for Reversals in EUR/USD and GBP/USD?
Earlier today EUR/USD and GBP/USD extended gains and reached their important resistance areas. Will currency bears use them to push the exchange rates lower? EUR/USD Quoting our Monday alert: (…) taking into account Friday drop to the green horizontal support line (based on the mid-August low) and the buy signals generated by the daily indicators, it seems that we may see a short-lived rebound (…) in the coming days.Will such price action change anything? In our opinion, it’s doubtful, bec
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
FOMC Minutes from September 2017 Meeting and Gold
Yesterday, the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting were released. What do they say about the Fed’s stance and what do they mean for the gold market? How can we summarize the recent FOMC minutes? As earlier this year, the FOMC members agreed that “the labor market had continued to strengthen and that economic activity had been rising moderately so far this year”. The U.S. central bankers also noted that the economic impact of recent hurricanes would only be short-lived. But the mos
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
More New SP 500 Record Highs Or Topping Action?
Briefly:Intraday trade: Our yesterday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved wrong because the S&P 500 index gained 0.2% again. However, the index continued to trade within relatively narrow intraday trading range. The market may retrace some of its recent rally today, as investors continue taking short-term profits off the table. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,565 and potential profit target is at 2,530 (S&P 500 index).Our intraday
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Catalan Declaration of Independence and Gold
Yesterday, Catalan leaders signed a declaration of independence. What does it mean for the gold market? So it really happened. On Tuesday, the Catalan President, Carles Puigdemont, signed a document declaring Catalonia’s independence from Spain. He also delivered a speech in the regional parliament saying that the recent referendum gave his government the mandate to create a sovereign state: “I assume the mandate that Catalonia should become an independent state in the form of a republic.” (By t
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold's Technical Line Of Concern
The traditional post jobs report rally for gold is in full swing. This is the daily gold chart. Gold arrived at a key Fibonacci line at about $1268 as the US jobs report was released. The dollar has stalled against the yen, and that’s also good news for gold. Gold tends to stage great rallies in the days following the jobs report, and this rally is a particularly interesting one. Here’s why: First, Trump has ratcheted up his “hawk talk” in regards to North Korea and Iran. He’s scheduled to
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
Updating gold’s true fundamentals
Last week I posted a short piece titled “A silver price-suppression theory gets debunked“, the main purpose of which was to direct readers to a Keith Weiner article disproving that the silver price had been dominated by the “naked” short-selling of futures. My brief post rattled the cage of GATA’s Chris Powell, who made an attempt at a rebuttal early this week and in doing so proved that 1) he doesn’t understand what arbitrage is and how it affects prices, and 2) he doesn’t understand what funda
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Steve St Angelo - SRSRocco Report
THE UNKNOWN FUNDAMENTAL: This Will Push The Silver Price Up Much Higher
Precious metals investors need to understand the coming silver price surge will not occur due to the typical supply and demand forces.  While Mainstream analysts continue to generate silver price forecasts based on supply and demand factors, they fail to include one of the most important key factors.  Unfortunately, the top paid Wall Street analysts haven’t figured it out that supply and demand forces don’t impact the silver price all that much.For example, I continue to read articles by analyst
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Rick Ackerman
Swinging for the Fences in Comex Gold
I am tracking a single-contact position with a cost basis that has been reduced by profit-taking to 1204.80. At a current price of 1293.10, that would imply a theoretical gain so far of nearly $9000. As is my custom, I track positions only when subscribers have reported initiating trades with actual money, based on explicit recommendations I have made, or on precise reversal targets that I’ve calculated using the Hidden Pivot Method. We are swinging for the fences with one contract that remains
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Peter Degraaf
Gold And Silver Price Report – Several Interesting Charts
The Gold Direction Indicator has just turned positive again, at 71%. Featured is the daily gold chart. Price found support on Friday and produced an upside reversal. Then on Monday gold began to break out at the downtrendline. A close above the blue arrow will confirm the breakout with a target at $1360. The supporting indicators are positive, as well as the moving averages which are in positive alignment and rising. The Gold Direction Indicator closed at 71%. Gold usually rallies after the
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Palladium Beats Platinum for the First Time in 16 Years
At the end of September, the price of palladium became higher than the price of platinum. What does it mean for the precious metals market? Initially, we wanted to provide investors with an update on Catalonia, but Catalan President Carles Puigdemont rescheduled the session of the Catalan Parliament for today. We will cover the developments in Spain in tomorrow’s Gold News Monitor, while today we focus on the historical development in the precious metals market. On September 28, palladium prices
Tuesday, October 10, 2017
Jesse - Le Cafe Américain
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts -
“Politicians were mostly people who'd had too little morals and ethics to stay lawyers.” George R.R. Martin “The main problem in any democracy is that crowd-pleasers are generally brainless swine who can go out on a stage and whip their supporters into an orgiastic frenzy— then go back to the office and sell every one of the poor bastards down the tube for a nickel apiece.” Hunter S. Thompson "This idea that you can't be an honest man and a Washington politician is a myth, a crock made up
Tuesday, October 10, 2017
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