Articles related to commodities
Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
  What should the gold/silver ratio be
The price of gold is dominated by investment demand* to such an extent that nothing else matters as far as its price performance is concerned. Investment demand is also the most important driver of silver’s price trend, although in silver’s case industrial demand is also a factor to be reckoned with. In addition, changes in mine supply have some effect on the silver market, because unlike the situation in the gold market the annual supply of newly-mined silver is not trivial relative to the exis
Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
  The Story of Gold Money, Past, Present and Future, by Edwin Walter Kemmerer
There aren’t a lot of good books about the gold standard — the monetary system of the world until 1971 — after WWI. There aren’t a lot before WWI either, but it starts to get pretty bad after 1920. Ralph Hawtrey’s books have some merits, but they also have too many errors to serve as a definitive source. Gold and the Gold Standard: The Story of Gold Money, Past, Present and Future (1944) is something of an exception to this pattern. Edwin Walter Kemmerer was a professor at Princeton. Wikipedia o
Thursday, April 5, 2018
Robert Blumen - 24hgold
  The Myth of the Gold Supply Deficit 
Analyses based on annual supply and demand of gold appear on a daily basis, whether posted to gold web sites or in the financial media, many of them by the most respected analysts of gold mining shares. These articles typically show an imbalance between supply and demand, suggesting that there is a gold supply deficit. From there, the conclusion follows that a much higher gold price is required in order to bring supply and demand into balance.
Wednesday, April 4, 2018
Silver technicals - Zealllc
  Silver Technicals
Silver is a perpetually fascinating commodity. It shares much in common with the golden king of precious metals, yet it is also quite different in so many ways.
Monday, March 26, 2018
Valuing Mining Stocks - In Defense Of Net Asset Value
While browsing the various fundamental evaluations of mining companies made by investors on internet message boards, I have consistently seen two valuation methodologies - the in situ method and the cash flow method - used frequently, while the traditional net asset value (NAV) method used by professionals is neglected or not used at all. The NAV method, I believe, is superior to the other two, and the following is a defense of this valuation technique.
Saturday, March 24, 2018
Mark O'Byrne -
A beginner's guide to investing in Gold 
One’s motivation for buying gold is fundamental to deciding in which form you should buy it. Are you a speculator, investor or saver? Do you wish to take a short term speculative position in gold? Are you investing for the short, medium or long term? Or are you diversifying, saving or using gold as a form of financial insurance?
Tuesday, March 20, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Standing Ready to Lease Gold
We will take another break from capital destruction, to treat a topic which has come up this week. On March 11, we said: “…central bankers do not think about gold. Granted, they once did. In the 1960’s, there was the now-infamous London Gold Pool to keep the price of gold at $35. This is endlessly cited as evidence of current central bank price suppression, without bothering to mention that until 1971 the official US policy was to maintain the dollar to gold exchange rate of $35 to the ounce. …
Tuesday, March 20, 2018
Antal E. Fekete - Gold University
Is Aggregate Debt Excessive
Sunday, March 18, 2018
Chris Powell - GATA
What are all those monetary metals derivatives held by a few big U.S. banks
GATA's and gold's old friend Larry Parks, executive director of the Foundation for the Advancement of Monetary Education (FAME,, calls attention tonight to the third-quarter 2017 report of the U.S. Comptroller of the Currency, which shows that just several government-insured U.S. banks hold $45 billion in derivative positions related to monetary metals. The chart disclosing these positions, appearing on Page 32 of the OCC report, is reproduced at GATA's internet site here: ht
Sunday, March 18, 2018
Triggers And March Trigger Impending
DEEPCASTER LLCFORTRESS ASSETS PORTFOLIO | LETTERS, ALERTS & ARTICLESHIGH POTENTIAL SPECULATOR | HIGH YIELD PORTFOLIOPreserve & Enhance WealthInvestment & Geopolitical Intelligence Major Market Moves and indeed, Trends, often begin with a Triggering Event (like the one coming later this month—See Deepcaster’s Alert posted March 16 for its identity) so it is essential to identify these Triggers in advance for Key Market Sectors and to deploy one’s investments and Trades Accordingly, to Profit and
Saturday, March 17, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Price Unmoved, Hits 5-Week Low vs GBP as US Backs UK Over Russian Spy Attack
GOLD PRICES were unmoved Thursday by worsening tensions between Nato and Russia over the poisoning in Britain of a former spy, holding $5 below last week's finish to trade at $1318 per ounce as world stock markets also held flat overall. Silver also slipped, trading 1% down for the week so far at $16.43 as major Western bond prices rose, edging interest rates down. Russian bond yields rose as Mo
Friday, March 16, 2018
Egon von Greyerz - Matterhorn AM
Gambling is according to Wikipedia the wagering of money (or something of value) on an event with an uncertain outcome. Three elements are required for gambling, Consideration, chance, and prize. Thus, you make a bet and if you are lucky you win a prize but you can also lose it all. Gambling has been around for thousands of years and maybe longer. The first 6-sided dice dates back 3000 years. Eventually gambling became more organised as casinos were established. The first well known casino was s
Thursday, March 15, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Open Letter to GATA
Dear GATA and Mr. Chris Powell: I am writing this in response to your article Monetary Metals’ Weiner refuses to see anything wrong in the gold market. There is a certain irony for me to read that I refuse to see. I have spent eight years studying the mechanics of the market, building a model, developing software to run the model through several generations, and licensing nearly three terabytes of data giving ever bid and offer in both the spot and futures markets with sub-millisecond resolution
Thursday, March 15, 2018
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Silver Purchasing Power
This article was written for Miles Franklin by Gary Christenson. We know: a) Federal Reserve and U.S. government policies devalue the dollar—down about 98% since 1913. b) US. government spending is out of control, increases every year, regardless of revenues, and shows no sign of plateauing or declining. c) Few people encourage balanced budgets and LESS spending. All government agencies, lobbyists, congresspersons, military contractors, and many corporations encourage MORE spending, and by neces
Wednesday, March 14, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Fall, Silver Spec's Still Bearish as Attention Turns to the Fed
GOLD PRICES started the week lower against a falling US Dollar on Monday, while equity markets surged after Friday's strong US job data eased fears of inflation, writes Steffen Grosshauser at BullionVault. With the US central bank expected to hike interest rates at its March meeting next week, gold fell 0.5% even as the Dollar dropped on the FX market, touching what technical analysts called "nearby support" at $1317 per ounce after
Tuesday, March 13, 2018
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
“Should We Restore The Gold Standard”
I thought I would add a little commentary to this item from Bullionstar: Should We Restore the Gold Standard? It consists of a sort of virtual discussion between Larry White and David Glasner, who we looked at recently regarding his views of the Great Depression: I say “virtual” because it appears that the two did not have an actual discussion, but rather, the author compares some of their public statements. The article is a nice summary of what a discussion today on this topic might look like.
Monday, March 12, 2018
Frank Shostak
Why We Now Measure Gold in Dollars — and Not the Other Way Around
Prior to 1933, the name "dollar" was used to refer to a unit of gold that had a weight of 23.22 grains. Since there are 480 grains in one ounce, this means that the name dollar also stood for 0.048 ounce of gold. This in turn, means that one ounce of gold referred to $20.67.Observe that $20.67 is not the price of one ounce of gold in terms of dollars as popular thinking has it, for there is no such entity as a dollar. Dollar is just a name for 0.048 ounce of gold. On this Rothbard wrote,No one p
Saturday, March 10, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Are We in Late Cycle Implications for Gold
In the previous edition of the Market Overview, we explored the fascinating history of bull and bear cycles in both the U.S. dollar and gold. Since then, the idea of cyclicity doesn’t lead me to drop off, disrupting my sleep cycles. Let’s then dig into the topic. We start with the business cycles, as in the recent Gold News Monitor we wrote that “we are in the late stages of the economic cycle – as the cycle matures, volatility increases and investors start to buy more gold as a hedge.” Why do w
Saturday, March 10, 2018
Impending Mega-Moves and re #1 Asset for Profiting and Protecting
DEEPCASTER LLCFORTRESS ASSETS PORTFOLIO | LETTERS, ALERTS & ARTICLESHIGH POTENTIAL SPECULATOR | HIGH YIELD PORTFOLIOPreserve & Enhance WealthInvestment & Geopolitical IntelligenceMarkets were triggered and shocked a few days ago when the yield on the Bellwether U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note shot up over 2.9% which resulted mainly from Fed Chair Powell’s hinting at the possibility of 4 rate hikes this year. Other soon-to-be-detonated Triggers will have Mega-Consequences for Key Market Sectors but wi
Friday, March 9, 2018
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
Trade Wars
An overt trade war has commenced. President Trump has fired the starting gun, setting in motion an election promise, part of his Make America Great Again undertaking. It is a blow squarely aimed against China, costing China some trade perhaps, but basically a loser’s last roll of the dice.The back story appears to be far deeper than some relatively minor tariffs on steel and aluminium would suggest. It comes after a prolonged period of shadow-boxing between America in the blue corner and Russia
Friday, March 9, 2018