Articles related to economy
 
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Falling Productivity of Debt
Last week, we discussed the ongoing fall of dividend, and especially earnings, yields. This Report is not a stock letter, and we make no stock market predictions. We talk about this phenomenon to make a different point. The discount rate has fallen to a very low level indeed. Discount in stocks is how you assess the present-day value of earnings to occur in the future. For example, if the discount rate is 10%, then a dollar of earnings per share at Acme Piping next year is worth $0.90 today. At
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Subdued Despite Re-emerged Geopolitical Tensions and Indian Festivals
GOLD PRICES extended their fall on Tuesday morning in London as the Dollar continued to rise amid speculation off potential new Fed chief and continuing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Korean peninsula, writes Steffen Grosshauser at BullionVault. Gold slid to $1288 after touching a 3-week high in the previous session before falling through the key level of $1300 per ounce. Silver tracked gold and dropped to $17.08 per ounce after it had already started fa
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Richard Mills - Ahead of the Herd
Lithium Supercycle
The truth, in regards to the world’s mineral resources, is that we in the western developed countries are usually not in control of supply. “The spectre of resource insecurity has come back with a vengeance. The world is undergoing a period of intensified resource stress, driven in part by the scale and speed of demand growth from emerging economies and a decade of tight commodity markets. Poorly designed and short-sighted policies are also making things worse, not better. Whether or not resou
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Price Up Above $1300 as Asian Shares Record Multi-Decade Highs, Geopolitical Tension Continues
The GOLD PRICE is up above $1305 per ounce this Monday lunch time amid Asian stock market gains to multi-decade highs following Friday’s record US stock levels. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose to its highest level since November 2007, while Nikkei climbed for a tenth day to the highest level seen since Nov 1996. The FTSE increased 0.06% and DAX gained 0.16%.  Spain’s IBEX Index fell 0.67%. Yesterday Catalan leader Carles Puigdemont called for calm whilst Spain’s central
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Frank Shostak
  The Fed Is Confused about What Drives Inflation
On October 4 2017, the former governor of the Federal Reserve Daniel Tarullo in a speech at the Brookings think-tank in Washington said Fed policy makers do not have a reliable theory of what drives inflation. According to Tarullo, central bankers should pay less attention to theoretical models and more to actual data. However, how is it possible to make any sense of the data without having a reliable theory?The Importance of TheoryOne purpose of a theory is to enable one to ascertain the defini
Monday, October 16, 2017
Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
LBMA 2017: Spain, Silver and 'Lower Forever'
Precious metals history and macro-outlook from LBMA conference... LITTLE so far on precious metals prices or supply and demand at LBMA 2017 here in Barcelona, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. Not directly at least. But the market itself cares little about price direction. The refiners, carriers, vaulters, dealers, brokers and bankers meeting at the London Bullion Market Association's annual conference focus instead on volumes, margin and – most of all – get
Monday, October 16, 2017
Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
Gold, the stock market and the yield curve
The yield curve is a remarkably useful leading indicator of major economic and financial-market events. For example, its long-term trend can be relied on to shift from flattening to steepening ahead of economic recessions and equity bear markets. Also, usually it will remain in a flattening trend while a monetary-inflation-fueled boom is in progress. That’s why I consider the yield curve’s trend to be one of the true fundamental drivers of both the stock market and the gold market. Not surprisin
Monday, October 16, 2017
James Howard Kunstler
  The Future (Not) 
I took myself to the new movie Blade Runner 2049 to see what kind of future the Hollywood dream-shop is serving up in these days. It was an excellent illustration of the over-investments in technology with diminishing returns that are dragging us into collapse and of the attendant techno-narcissism that afflicts the supposedly thinking class in this society, who absolutely don’t get what this collapse is about. The more computer magic Hollywood drags into the picture, the less coherent their sto
Sunday, October 15, 2017
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
Zimbabwe Inflates, Again…
In November 2008, Zimbabwe experienced the second highest recorded inflation rate in history, and with that, it entered the Hanke-Krus World Hyperinflation Table. That’s when the annual inflation rate reached a peak of 89.7 sextillion (10^21) percent (see table below). At this point, prices were doubling every 24.7 hours. During Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation episode (2007-2008), the Reserve Bank of Zim
Sunday, October 15, 2017
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
Oil for gold – the real story
Following an article in the Nikkei Asia Review, which reported China will shortly introduce an oil futures contract priced in yuan, there has been some confusion about what it means. The article pointed out that in combination with existing gold futures priced in yuan, an oil exporter to China contracting to accept yuan could use these two futures contracts to take delivery of physical gold in payment for oil.I was quoted in that article as follows:"It is a mechanism which is likely to appeal to
Sunday, October 15, 2017
Chris Powell - GATA
Is Britain ready to go cashless? UK heads toward abolishing physical money
The replacement of the forgery-prone old 1-pound coin, supposed to be fully implemented from tomorrow night, has sparked fresh speculation about how rapidly Britain is heading toward a new epoch in the history of spending -- the outright abolition of all physical cash. A report published this week puts Britain second in Europe and third in the world in its readiness to "go cashless." Only Canada and Sweden are closer than Britain to abandoning notes and coins, the report found. The data was ba
Saturday, October 14, 2017
John Butler - Goldmoney
Common commodity misconceptions 
Commodities are the most basic economic goods, providing essential inputs into progressively more complex goods at advanced stages of production. Yet the economic mainstream generally fails to understand commodities, treating them as distinct from the processes whereby they are created and the processes they subsequently enable, when in fact they are an integral part of a dynamic, complex, adaptive economic system. A correct understanding of commodities is essential if we are to understand what
Saturday, October 14, 2017
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
A Free Market for Goods, Services, and Money
A thesis submitted September 3, 2012 by Keith Weiner to the Graduate Faculty of the New Austrian School of Economics, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. Major Subject: Monetary Science. Abstract A free market is composed of people who produce and trade the products of their efforts in exchange for the products of others. Each sets the prices at which he is willing to offer his product and at which he is willing to bid on others’ products. The marke
Saturday, October 14, 2017
Jan Skoyles - GoldCore
U.S. Mint Gold Coin Sales and VIX Point To Increased Market Volatility and Higher Gold
– US Mint gold coin sales and VIX at weakest in a decade – Very low gold coin sales and VIX signal volatility coming – Gold rises 1.7% this week after China’s Golden Week; pattern of higher prices after Golden Week – U.S. Mint sales do not provide the full picture of robust global gold demand – Perth Mint gold sales double in September reflecting increased gold demand in both Asia and Europe – Middle East demand likely high given geopolitical risks – Iran seeing increased gold demand and Iran’s
Friday, October 13, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Yuan and Gold
In the previous editions of the Market Overview, we have already analyzed the relationship between gold and some major world currencies, such as the U.S. dollar, the euro, or the Japanese yen. But what is the link between the Chinese yuan (officially: renminbi) and the yellow metal? Let’s check it out. Chart 1: The USD/CNY exchange rate (red line, right axis) and the price of gold (yellow line, left axis, London P.M. Fix) from January 1981 to September 2017. As one can see in the chart above,
Friday, October 13, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Young Guns of Gold Podcast – ‘The Everything Bubble’
– Precious Metal Roundtable discuss gold in 2017 and outlook – Gold +9.1% year to date; Performing well given Fed raising rates, lack of volatility and surge in stock markets – “People are expecting too much from gold” – Economy: Inflation indicators, recession on the horizon, global debt issues – Global demand: ETF inflows, Russia central bank purchases, Germany investment figures and international coin demand bode well for gold – “First monetary inflation, then asset inflation, next is price i
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Frank Shostak
Tax Cuts Without Spending Cuts Won't Grow the Economy
President Donald Trump proposed last month a tax plan that would lower the top individual tax rate to 35% from 39.6%. It would also lower the corporate income tax rate to 20% from 35%.The plan however, says nothing about how spending will be cut to avoid increasing deficits. According to supply-side economics — a relatively new school of economics — a reduction of tax rates and lower revenues for the government does not need to be offset by decreased government spending or increased borrowings.I
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Chris Powell - GATA
World is turning its back on the dollar, Saxo Bank FX strategist writes
By David Reid CNBC, New York Wednesday, October 11, 2017 A combination of geopolitical pressures could spark the end of the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency, according to the head of foreign exchange strategy at Saxo Bank. In a quarterly outlook note titled "The World Is Turning Its Back on the Almighty Dollar," John Hardy claimed the U.S. currency was "increasingly dysfunctional" and there was an urgent need to replace it. The currencies analyst highlighted these three geopolitical i
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Steve St Angelo - SRSRocco Report
THE UNKNOWN FUNDAMENTAL: This Will Push The Silver Price Up Much Higher
Precious metals investors need to understand the coming silver price surge will not occur due to the typical supply and demand forces.  While Mainstream analysts continue to generate silver price forecasts based on supply and demand factors, they fail to include one of the most important key factors.  Unfortunately, the top paid Wall Street analysts haven’t figured it out that supply and demand forces don’t impact the silver price all that much.For example, I continue to read articles by analyst
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Jan Skoyles - GoldCore
London House Prices Are Falling – Time to Buckle Up
– London house prices fall in September: first time in eight years – High-end London property fell by 3.2% in year – House sales down by over a very large one-third – Global Real Estate Bubble Index – see table – Brexit, rising inflation and political uncertainty causing many buyers to back away from market – U.K. housing stock worth record £6.8 trillion, almost 1.5 times value of LSE and more than the value of all the gold in world – Homeowners and property investors should diversify and invest
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
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