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Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Stocks Fail to Hold Gains, But Still No Correction
The U.S stock market indexes lost 0.2-0.7% on Wednesday, as investors continued taking profits after week-long rally from February 9 lows. The S&P 500 index extended its short-term fluctuations along the level of 2,700-2,750. It retraced more than 61.8% of its late January - early February sell-off. However, it bounced off that resistance level again and reversed its intraday uptrend following the FOMC Minutes release at 2:00 p.m. The broad stock market index currently trades 6% below January 26
Friday, February 23, 2018
Rick Ackerman
Stocks Plunge on News of Nell's Death
Stocks dove late in Wednesday’s session on news that the minutes from the January FOMC meeting were more than a little hawkish. From where we were sitting, the selloff looked like a brazen shakedown. It amounted to a 475-point reversal in the Dow, but that’s the kind of plunge that Wall Street’s thimble-riggers engineer whenever they are hungry for shares at bargain prices. For their part, the Fed governors seem convinced that U.S. economic growth is strong enough to handle who-knows-how-many mo
Friday, February 23, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Bullion Steadies from Fed Minutes Fall, Banks Tip Commodities vs. Inflation
GOLD BULLION rallied just $3 off a 1-week low versus the rebounding Dollar on Thursday as world stock markets fell after notes from the Federal Reserve showed the US central bank expects to keep raising its key interest rate in 2018. China's stock market opened sharply higher on the first trading day of the new Year of the Dog, but Hong Kong fell hard with the rest of Asia. Shanghai's gold marke
Friday, February 23, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Gold Bulls, Brace Yourselves – Fed Hikes Are Coming!
Are they? As usual, the FOMC minutes provoked diverse interpretations, both dovish and hawkish. Let’s analyze them, separating the wheat from the chaff. What do the recent minutes really mean for the gold market? Hawks Attack Bullion We have long warned investors about the hawkish treat. For example, as early as in the October edition of the Market Overview, we wrote that the Fed under Powell could be more hawkish than under Yellen. In December, after Powell’s nomination, we elaborated on our st
Friday, February 23, 2018
Michael Pento - Delta Global Advisors
Four Percent 10-year Note Yield Will Be a Floor No...
The two most important factors in determining the level of sovereign bond yields are the credit and inflation risks extant within a nation. When determining a country’s ability to service its debt investors must analyze not only the absolute debt level, but also the ratios of debt and deficits to GDP. In addition, the current rate of inflation must also be viewed within the context of debt in order to make an accurate assumption as to the level of future inflation. When analyzing historical meas
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices 'Hit by Deep Link' to Real Yields But 'Should Gain' on Inflation
GOLD PRICES struggled to recover from yesterday's sharp drop against the rallying US Dollar in London on Wednesday, halving last week's 2.2% gain as world stock markets fell, bond prices steadied and commodities edged higher. Retreating 2.6% from last Friday's 3-week high at $1361 per ounce, the gold price in Dollar terms has now cut its 2018 gains to date to just 2.2%. Priced in Eu
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
London Gold Trading Up, Physical Flows Down in 2017
4-year high in London bullion trading as gold bar holdings grow... GOLD TRADING in the world's central wholesale market of London rose to a four-year high by volume and value in 2017, but physical flows of bullion bars through the UK fell by one quarter, down for the first year since 2014, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. Data reported by industry body the London Bulli
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
The End Is Near
The doomsayers have been calling for recession for years. Mainstream economists laughed at them, painting a rosy picture. However, the recent plunge in the stock market strengthened the pessimists’ hand. They interpret the dive as a signal of a coming recession. Is the end of the stock market boom really near? What Lies Ahead? The recent stock market turmoil brought traders to their knees. We, of course, covered the descent for our readers, calling for calm. We urged investors not to panic about
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Find 'Support', Silver 'Improving' as 40 of GLD Held by Institutional Investors
GOLD PRICES rallied from a brief dip below $1340 per ounce in London trade on Tuesday, rising against a firm US Dollar as New York traders returned from the long Presidents Day weekend. With China's markets still closed for the New Year of the Dog celebrations, Asian stock markets closed lower while European equities edged higher. Benchmark UK Gilt yields rose above 1.60%, up near t
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Bullion Vault
Comex Silver Speculators Turn Net Bearish, Gold Prices Steady as Russia, Turkey Warn US Over Syrian 'Fire'
GOLD and SILVER PRICES remained steady on Monday morning in London against a rebounding US Dollar, write Steffen Grosshauser and Adrian Ash at BullionVault. With New York shut for Presidents Day – and ahead of meeting minutes due Wednesday from the US Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting – global equity markets were mixed as non-US government bond prices fell once more, nudging interest rates higher.
Monday, February 19, 2018
James Howard Kunstler
  Thirteen Russians ands a Ham Sandwich 
Remember that one from 1996? Funny, that was the American mainstream media bragging, after the fact, about our own meddling in another nation’s election. WASHINGTON — A team of American political strategists who helped [California] Gov. Pete Wilson with his abortive presidential bid earlier this year said this week that they served as Russian President Boris N. Yeltsin’s secret campaign weapon in his comeback win over a Communist challenge. —The Los Angeles Times, July 9, 1996 The beauty in Rob
Monday, February 19, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Irredeemable Currency De-tooths Savers
Arbitrary Interest Rates In the past few weeks, we have argued that interest rates will not rise. We have made our arguments based on observable cases of soft credit demand that falls with rising rates, and analysis of the incentives on creditors and debtors. Ours is a case that rates can’t go up much, for long, because demand for credit won’t chase rates up. In the postwar period up to 1981, borrowers chased rates all the way up the moon. But not since then. Now, we want to make a theoretical a
Monday, February 19, 2018
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
US-China Trade War Escalates As Further Measures Are Taken
– Trade war between two superpowers continues to escalate– White House likely to impose steep tariffs on aluminium and steel imports on ‘national security grounds’– US may impose global tariff of at least 24% on imports of steel and 7.7% on aluminium– China “will certainly take necessary measures to protect our legitimate rights.”– China is USA’s largest trading partner, fastest-growing market for U.S. exports, 3rd largest market for U.S. exports in the world.– If the U.S. continues to escalate
Monday, February 19, 2018
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
The Floating Pound and Dollar, 1790-1830
Here is a bit of new data, regarding the floating pound during the Napoleonic Wars 1793-1821, and also the floating dollar during the War of 1812, 1812-1819. The source of the data is here: http://www.centerforfinancialstability.org/hfs.ph The data here is somewhat intermittent, so I plotted it as points rather than as lines. It is the gold price in London, in pounds. Convertibility was officially suspended in 1793, but as we can see there was not much change in the value of the pound vs. gold,
Saturday, February 17, 2018
Chris Martenson
The Worst Threat We Face Is Right Here At Home
Last week, volatility made a long-overdue return to the US and global equity markets. It began with a 2-day back-to-back violent drop. Day 3 saw a big rebound, swiftly followed by two more days of gut-wrentching losses. And then finally, last Friday, the day saw massive swings both high and low, ending with a huge upside run. During this period the S&P 500 lost more than 300 points.  Since then, though, the market has been steadily rising. Is the danger past?  Are the markets safe once more?  
Friday, February 16, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Bitcoin as Poison
The views on Bitcoin among various investors are quite polarized. The whole spectrum includes both people directly owning the cryptocurrency and those who seem to hate it. We have read analyses suggesting that a surprising percentage of hedge fund managers own digital coins. At the same time, Warren Buffett's investment chief, Charlie Munger, called Bitcoin “noxious poison.” Do such words mean that Bitcoin is doomed? In an article on the Guardian website, we read: Bitcoin is heading towards $10,
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Near 4-Year Weekly High as $4 Trillion of US Debt Faces Bond Market
GOLD PRICES neared their highest weekly finish against the Dollar in almost 4 years on Friday, trading 3.0% up for the week as the US currency extended its drop on the FX market. Friday morning's benchmarking auction in London set the highest AM gold price since late January's 17-month high, finding a balance of buying and selling demand at $1358.60 per ounce. An afternoon LBMA Gold
Friday, February 16, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
U.S. Dollar Bull and Bear Markets
The idea of endlessly repeated cycles is a very old one. This is how the ancients perceived time: not as linear sequence of events, but as replaying patterns of dark and golden ages. Although the Judeo-Christian culture changed the way we view time, we like to see the market as an area of constant struggle between bulls and bears, and the resulting upward and downward trends. Since the end of the Bretton Woods system back in the early 1970s, the U.S. dollar has also moved in trends and cycles. D
Friday, February 16, 2018
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
The origin of cycles
It was Karl Marx who was among the first believers that cyclical behaviour was endemic to free markets.He lived through a time when there was a regular cycle of boom and bust, with phases of economic expansion followed by contraction. Workers were employed and then unemployed, and the only way this could be stopped, in Marxian economics, was for the workers to acquire the means of production, or more correctly, the state to do so on their behalf.Other economists, such as Jevons and Wicksell, rec
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Bullion Touches 'Hurdle at $1356' as Dollar Falls, Tokyo Equities Join Correlation Break
GOLD BULLION hung onto four-fifths of its sharpest 1-day gain since August in London trade on Thursday, holding firm as world stock markets rose again despite longer-term US interest rates holding at multi-year highs after yesterday's inflation data beat Wall Street forecasts. The Dollar fell again, with the single currency Euro briefing touching $1.25, just shy of end-January's 3-year high. Sna
Thursday, February 15, 2018
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