Articles related to interest
 
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
A Roman lesson on inflation
“While it is the duty of the citizen to support the state, it is not the duty of the state to support the citizen” – President Grover ClevelandThe point President Cleveland made back in the 1880s was that individuals and vested interests had no rights to preferential treatment by a government elected to represent all. For if preference is given, it is always at the expense of others.Those days are long gone, and the last president to take this stance was Calvin Coolidge in the 1920s. He was foll
Friday, February 23, 2018
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Did The Office Of Management And Budget Just Throw In The Towel
At some point you really have to begin to wonder if the U.S. government has simply given up on the idea of even pretending to have any sort of fiscal plan. It’s almost as if they’ve stopped trying to even bother to maintain the appearance of solvency, and are just wondering how long it will take before the market notices and ends the charade. A quick review is that the publicly stated debt is now over $20 trillion, with unfunded liabilities like Social Security and Medicare raising the real tota
Friday, February 23, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Bullion Steadies from Fed Minutes Fall, Banks Tip Commodities vs. Inflation
GOLD BULLION rallied just $3 off a 1-week low versus the rebounding Dollar on Thursday as world stock markets fell after notes from the Federal Reserve showed the US central bank expects to keep raising its key interest rate in 2018. China's stock market opened sharply higher on the first trading day of the new Year of the Dog, but Hong Kong fell hard with the rest of Asia. Shanghai's gold marke
Friday, February 23, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Gold Bulls, Brace Yourselves – Fed Hikes Are Coming!
Are they? As usual, the FOMC minutes provoked diverse interpretations, both dovish and hawkish. Let’s analyze them, separating the wheat from the chaff. What do the recent minutes really mean for the gold market? Hawks Attack Bullion We have long warned investors about the hawkish treat. For example, as early as in the October edition of the Market Overview, we wrote that the Fed under Powell could be more hawkish than under Yellen. In December, after Powell’s nomination, we elaborated on our st
Friday, February 23, 2018
Oilprice.com - oilprice.com
5 Record Breaking Gemstones Even Billionaires Can’t Buy
As Elizabeth Taylor once said: “I adore wearing gems, but not because they are mine. You can't possess radiance, you can only admire it.” It’s a good philosophy, because when it comes to the world’s biggest, rarest and most extraordinary gemstone discoveries, no one—not even billionaire President Donald Trump—could afford the possession. We’re not talking about the average diamond engagement ring that sets you back $4,000 and was probably grown in a lab. And we’re not talking about the $3,000 ru
Thursday, February 22, 2018
Jeff Clark - Goldsilver
What Happens to Gold and Silver When the Stock Market Crashes
Many investors hold gold and silver to hedge against various crises. But does this hedge hold up during stock market crashes?It’s a common assumption that gold and silver prices will fall right along with the market. And if that’s the case, wouldn’t it be better to wait to buy them until after the dust settles?Before formulating a strategy, let’s first look at price data from past stock market crashes…The Message from HistoryI looked at past stock market crashes and meas
Thursday, February 22, 2018
Michael Pento - Delta Global Advisors
Four Percent 10-year Note Yield Will Be a Floor No...
The two most important factors in determining the level of sovereign bond yields are the credit and inflation risks extant within a nation. When determining a country’s ability to service its debt investors must analyze not only the absolute debt level, but also the ratios of debt and deficits to GDP. In addition, the current rate of inflation must also be viewed within the context of debt in order to make an accurate assumption as to the level of future inflation. When analyzing historical meas
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices 'Hit by Deep Link' to Real Yields But 'Should Gain' on Inflation
GOLD PRICES struggled to recover from yesterday's sharp drop against the rallying US Dollar in London on Wednesday, halving last week's 2.2% gain as world stock markets fell, bond prices steadied and commodities edged higher. Retreating 2.6% from last Friday's 3-week high at $1361 per ounce, the gold price in Dollar terms has now cut its 2018 gains to date to just 2.2%. Priced in Eu
Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold's Golden Week
I’ve noted that when China’s markets go quiet during the “Golden Week” holiday, the gold price tends to soften. This is the key gold chart. Price softness is expected during this holiday, and the good news is that it is occurring on very light volume. The bears would argue there’s a small double top in play, while the bulls have an inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern on their team. A bull flag pattern may also have formed. I’ve told investors to expect a substantial battle between the
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
The End Is Near
The doomsayers have been calling for recession for years. Mainstream economists laughed at them, painting a rosy picture. However, the recent plunge in the stock market strengthened the pessimists’ hand. They interpret the dive as a signal of a coming recession. Is the end of the stock market boom really near? What Lies Ahead? The recent stock market turmoil brought traders to their knees. We, of course, covered the descent for our readers, calling for calm. We urged investors not to panic about
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Find 'Support', Silver 'Improving' as 40 of GLD Held by Institutional Investors
GOLD PRICES rallied from a brief dip below $1340 per ounce in London trade on Tuesday, rising against a firm US Dollar as New York traders returned from the long Presidents Day weekend. With China's markets still closed for the New Year of the Dog celebrations, Asian stock markets closed lower while European equities edged higher. Benchmark UK Gilt yields rose above 1.60%, up near t
Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Bullion Vault
Comex Silver Speculators Turn Net Bearish, Gold Prices Steady as Russia, Turkey Warn US Over Syrian 'Fire'
GOLD and SILVER PRICES remained steady on Monday morning in London against a rebounding US Dollar, write Steffen Grosshauser and Adrian Ash at BullionVault. With New York shut for Presidents Day – and ahead of meeting minutes due Wednesday from the US Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting – global equity markets were mixed as non-US government bond prices fell once more, nudging interest rates higher.
Monday, February 19, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Irredeemable Currency De-tooths Savers
Arbitrary Interest Rates In the past few weeks, we have argued that interest rates will not rise. We have made our arguments based on observable cases of soft credit demand that falls with rising rates, and analysis of the incentives on creditors and debtors. Ours is a case that rates can’t go up much, for long, because demand for credit won’t chase rates up. In the postwar period up to 1981, borrowers chased rates all the way up the moon. But not since then. Now, we want to make a theoretical a
Monday, February 19, 2018
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Macro Update: 1 Week Later Risk Remains 'On' as 2 of 3 Amigos Ride On
Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk ‘on’ backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators we watch, like Junk bond ratios and the Palladium/Gold ratio say the same thing. Junk/Treasury and Junk/Investment Grade are threatening new highs and as we have noted in NFTRH updates all through the recent market volatility, Palladium (cyclical) got hammered vs. Gold (counter-cyclical), but only to test its major uptrend
Monday, February 19, 2018
Chris Martenson
The Worst Threat We Face Is Right Here At Home
Last week, volatility made a long-overdue return to the US and global equity markets. It began with a 2-day back-to-back violent drop. Day 3 saw a big rebound, swiftly followed by two more days of gut-wrentching losses. And then finally, last Friday, the day saw massive swings both high and low, ending with a huge upside run. During this period the S&P 500 lost more than 300 points.  Since then, though, the market has been steadily rising. Is the danger past?  Are the markets safe once more?  
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Near 4-Year Weekly High as $4 Trillion of US Debt Faces Bond Market
GOLD PRICES neared their highest weekly finish against the Dollar in almost 4 years on Friday, trading 3.0% up for the week as the US currency extended its drop on the FX market. Friday morning's benchmarking auction in London set the highest AM gold price since late January's 17-month high, finding a balance of buying and selling demand at $1358.60 per ounce. An afternoon LBMA Gold
Friday, February 16, 2018
Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
GDX Weathers Stock Selloff
The gold miners’ stocks weathered the recent stock-market plunge really well.  As evident in their leading GDX ETF, they were already beaten down before stock markets started falling.  The resulting explosion of fear bled into GDX, forcing it even lower.  Nevertheless, no major technical damage was done.  GDX remained well within its consolidation trend channel and is still within striking distance of a major $25 breakout. Gold stocks’ behavior during stock-mar
Friday, February 16, 2018
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
The origin of cycles
It was Karl Marx who was among the first believers that cyclical behaviour was endemic to free markets.He lived through a time when there was a regular cycle of boom and bust, with phases of economic expansion followed by contraction. Workers were employed and then unemployed, and the only way this could be stopped, in Marxian economics, was for the workers to acquire the means of production, or more correctly, the state to do so on their behalf.Other economists, such as Jevons and Wicksell, rec
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors
10-Year Yields Move into Overbought Territory
The rise in Treasury Bond yields that started following our signal in July 2016 has come in two waves. The first produced overbought readings into December 2016 and was followed by a drift lower through September. Since then they have moved higher, gaining momentum in the last five weeks as 10-Year yields reached 2.8%. This has produced overbought Exhaustion Alerts and Sequential 9 Sell Setups in the daily and weekly charts. Such 'Signs of Strength' coming out of a consolidation pattern are gene
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors
Signs of the Times
Perspective We have been watching for credit conditions to deteriorate - enough to prompt the establishment to claim that there are no problems. It took a jump in long-dated rates and a hit to the stock markets to prompt some such defensive claims. The advice to ignore the break and focus on the economy seems naïve. In ordinary conditions the top of the stock market leads the peak in the economy by some 12 months. That is why the S&P is included in the formal list of "Leading Indicators" (number
Friday, February 16, 2018
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