Articles related to rates
 
Bullion Vault
Comex Silver Speculators Turn Net Bearish, Gold Prices Steady as Russia, Turkey Warn US Over Syrian 'Fire'
GOLD and SILVER PRICES remained steady on Monday morning in London against a rebounding US Dollar, write Steffen Grosshauser and Adrian Ash at BullionVault. With New York shut for Presidents Day – and ahead of meeting minutes due Wednesday from the US Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting – global equity markets were mixed as non-US government bond prices fell once more, nudging interest rates higher.
Monday, February 19, 2018
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Irredeemable Currency De-tooths Savers
Arbitrary Interest Rates In the past few weeks, we have argued that interest rates will not rise. We have made our arguments based on observable cases of soft credit demand that falls with rising rates, and analysis of the incentives on creditors and debtors. Ours is a case that rates can’t go up much, for long, because demand for credit won’t chase rates up. In the postwar period up to 1981, borrowers chased rates all the way up the moon. But not since then. Now, we want to make a theoretical a
Monday, February 19, 2018
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Macro Update: 1 Week Later Risk Remains 'On' as 2 of 3 Amigos Ride On
Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk ‘on’ backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators we watch, like Junk bond ratios and the Palladium/Gold ratio say the same thing. Junk/Treasury and Junk/Investment Grade are threatening new highs and as we have noted in NFTRH updates all through the recent market volatility, Palladium (cyclical) got hammered vs. Gold (counter-cyclical), but only to test its major uptrend
Monday, February 19, 2018
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
The Floating Pound and Dollar, 1790-1830
Here is a bit of new data, regarding the floating pound during the Napoleonic Wars 1793-1821, and also the floating dollar during the War of 1812, 1812-1819. The source of the data is here: http://www.centerforfinancialstability.org/hfs.ph The data here is somewhat intermittent, so I plotted it as points rather than as lines. It is the gold price in London, in pounds. Convertibility was officially suspended in 1793, but as we can see there was not much change in the value of the pound vs. gold,
Saturday, February 17, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Near 4-Year Weekly High as $4 Trillion of US Debt Faces Bond Market
GOLD PRICES neared their highest weekly finish against the Dollar in almost 4 years on Friday, trading 3.0% up for the week as the US currency extended its drop on the FX market. Friday morning's benchmarking auction in London set the highest AM gold price since late January's 17-month high, finding a balance of buying and selling demand at $1358.60 per ounce. An afternoon LBMA Gold
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors
10-Year Yields Move into Overbought Territory
The rise in Treasury Bond yields that started following our signal in July 2016 has come in two waves. The first produced overbought readings into December 2016 and was followed by a drift lower through September. Since then they have moved higher, gaining momentum in the last five weeks as 10-Year yields reached 2.8%. This has produced overbought Exhaustion Alerts and Sequential 9 Sell Setups in the daily and weekly charts. Such 'Signs of Strength' coming out of a consolidation pattern are gene
Friday, February 16, 2018
Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors
Signs of the Times
Perspective We have been watching for credit conditions to deteriorate - enough to prompt the establishment to claim that there are no problems. It took a jump in long-dated rates and a hit to the stock markets to prompt some such defensive claims. The advice to ignore the break and focus on the economy seems naïve. In ordinary conditions the top of the stock market leads the peak in the economy by some 12 months. That is why the S&P is included in the formal list of "Leading Indicators" (number
Friday, February 16, 2018
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
“Thelma and Louise” Moments in Markets
This article was written for Miles Franklin by Gary Christenson. The movie “Thelma and Louise” was released in 1991. One theme it discussed was “crossing over” or going beyond the point of no return. The consequences were tragic. Markets occasionally experience “Thelma and Louise” (T&L) moments when they “cross over” into a new phase. The results are usually tragic. Now is a good time to call Miles Franklin to convert over-valued digital assets into real silver bullion. Thelma (Geena Davis):  “
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Bullion Vault
Gold Bullion Touches 'Hurdle at $1356' as Dollar Falls, Tokyo Equities Join Correlation Break
GOLD BULLION hung onto four-fifths of its sharpest 1-day gain since August in London trade on Thursday, holding firm as world stock markets rose again despite longer-term US interest rates holding at multi-year highs after yesterday's inflation data beat Wall Street forecasts. The Dollar fell again, with the single currency Euro briefing touching $1.25, just shy of end-January's 3-year high. Sna
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
WTF? Bonds Sink, Gold Price Jumps
Valentine's Day leap in yields and interest rates sees gold price rise... OKAY, this is weird, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. "Increase in US inflation sparks bond sell-off," as the Financial Times reports. "Treasury yields hit 4-year highs," the FT goes on, referring to the interest rate no
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Strange Link between Inflation and Gold
It was a strange day. Inflation surged yesterday. But gold dropped initially, only to quickly reverse the fall and fly into the air. What happened? And – importantly – will gold soar on the inflation fuel? Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head (or Tries to, at Least) The recent payrolls report showed that wages had jumped 2.9 percent in January on an annual basis. It was the best result since 2009, which awakened fears of inflation. That’s why investors awaited yesterday’s data on consumer prices. On Tu
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Is The Gold Price Heading Higher? IG TV Interview GoldCore
Research Director at GoldCore, Mark O’Byrne talks to IG TV’s Victoria Scholar about the outlook for the gold price. In this interview, Mark O’Byrne, research director at Goldcore, says the fact that the gold price did not spike during last week’s equity sell-off was to be expected. He said even at the height of the global financial crisis, amid the collapse in the Wall Street behemoth Lehman Brothers, gold prices fell. O’Byrne says gold’s hedge abilities and safe haven attributes are seen more
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Global Debt Crisis II Cometh
– Global debt ‘area of weakness’ and could ‘induce financial panic’ – King warns– Global debt to GDP now 40 per cent higher than it was a decade ago – BIS warn – Global non-financial corporate debt grew by 15% to 96% of GDP in the past six years – US mortgage rates hit highest level since May 2014– US student loans near $1.4 trillion, 40% expected to default in next 5 years– UK consumer debt hit £200b, highest level in 30 years, 25% of households behind on repayments The ducks are beginning to
Wednesday, February 14, 2018
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
The Right Question…
Last week I mentioned that my grandson Josh (Andy’s boy) was accepted at McGill University in Montreal, the University of Indiana’s business school and the University of Michigan.  He is interested in pursuing a degree in business and is taking all the requisite (advanced) classes in economics. He called me yesterday and asked me, “Which Fed Policy would be better, Quantitative Easing or Tapering and what can be done to make things better?”  Geese Louise!  When I was his age the only question I
Wednesday, February 14, 2018
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Budget Issues Return To Spotlight As Next Debt Ceiling Circus Looms
Judging by the fact that you’re reading this, at some point you have probably been concerned about the financial condition of United States government. The publicly stated debt is now over $20 trillion, while Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff pegs the cost of unfunded liabilities at over $222 trillion! Not exactly ideal in an $18 trillion economy. And if there’s an accountant out there who can explain how it’s even feasibly possible that the debt could ever be repaid without default
Wednesday, February 14, 2018
Bullion Vault
Start of Chinese New Year Holiday See Gold Bullion Whip on US Inflation Data, Turkey Threatens 'Ottoman Slap'
GOLD BULLION prices fell as the Dollar jumped on stronger-than-expected US inflation data Wednesday, only to recover the drop as fixed-income bond prices fell, pushing longer-term interest rates higher once more. World stock markets also sank and then rallied on the news, with Germany's Dax regaining a previous 1.0% loss by mid-afternoon in Frankfurt. Gold priced in non-US currencies also spiked
Wednesday, February 14, 2018
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold Stocks: “V” Bottom Blast-off
Gold has staged a superb rebound from the $1310 support zone, but that was overshadowed by the truly spectacular reversals taking place in most of the Western world’s gold stocks! This is the gold chart. I like the technical action being displayed right now. Here’s why: First, $1370 is massive resistance. It’s understandable that gold would build a modest head and shoulders top pattern after arriving at this key price zone. What’s especially positive is that gold has only modestly declined
Tuesday, February 13, 2018
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Key Change That Nobody Talks About
Last week, everyone focused on the stock market sell-off. Reasonably enough, given the pace of the declines. But the analysts failed to pay enough attention to the very important shift. That change may be more important than Trump’s victory in the presidential election. Will the critical switch make gold shine – or dull? Three Important Legacies of Yellen’s Fed Tenure A crucial change is behind us. Powell is the new boss. Yellen is out. For better or worse, she doesn’t serve as the Fed Chair any
Tuesday, February 13, 2018
Jordan Roy Byrne - The Daily Gold
What the Stock Market Decline Means for Gold and Gold Stocks
It was a rough week for investors in stocks and stocks of all kinds. The S&P 500 lost 5%. Emerging Markets also lost 5%. Gold Stocks, which had weakened before the broader equity market have been hit hard. They (GDX, GDXJ) also lost 5% last week. The HUI Gold Bugs Index (which excludes royalty companies unlike GDX) lost 7%. After a strong start to the year, gold stocks have essentially given back all their gains. Nevertheless, we remain extremely optimistic on gold stocks over the next 12-18 mon
Tuesday, February 13, 2018
Axel Merk - Merk Fund
This Time is Different. Really?!
Axel Merk, Merk Investments February 13, 2018  Follow @AxelMerk Tweet “Don’t panic, buy the dip, who cares?” or “These are rumblings of an earthquake, people will be hurt like in 1929” - which one is it? I would call it a wake-up call. Let me explain: In recent years, markets had appeared eerily “safe”. Central banks promised to do “whatever it takes”, provided “forward guidance” to keep rates low, even printed money to
Tuesday, February 13, 2018
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