Articles related to rates
 
Keith Weiner - Monetary Metals
Falling Productivity of Debt
Last week, we discussed the ongoing fall of dividend, and especially earnings, yields. This Report is not a stock letter, and we make no stock market predictions. We talk about this phenomenon to make a different point. The discount rate has fallen to a very low level indeed. Discount in stocks is how you assess the present-day value of earnings to occur in the future. For example, if the discount rate is 10%, then a dollar of earnings per share at Acme Piping next year is worth $0.90 today. At
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Subdued Despite Re-emerged Geopolitical Tensions and Indian Festivals
GOLD PRICES extended their fall on Tuesday morning in London as the Dollar continued to rise amid speculation off potential new Fed chief and continuing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Korean peninsula, writes Steffen Grosshauser at BullionVault. Gold slid to $1288 after touching a 3-week high in the previous session before falling through the key level of $1300 per ounce. Silver tracked gold and dropped to $17.08 per ounce after it had already started fa
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Richard Mills - Ahead of the Herd
Lithium Supercycle
The truth, in regards to the world’s mineral resources, is that we in the western developed countries are usually not in control of supply. “The spectre of resource insecurity has come back with a vengeance. The world is undergoing a period of intensified resource stress, driven in part by the scale and speed of demand growth from emerging economies and a decade of tight commodity markets. Poorly designed and short-sighted policies are also making things worse, not better. Whether or not resou
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Price Up Above $1300 as Asian Shares Record Multi-Decade Highs, Geopolitical Tension Continues
The GOLD PRICE is up above $1305 per ounce this Monday lunch time amid Asian stock market gains to multi-decade highs following Friday’s record US stock levels. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose to its highest level since November 2007, while Nikkei climbed for a tenth day to the highest level seen since Nov 1996. The FTSE increased 0.06% and DAX gained 0.16%.  Spain’s IBEX Index fell 0.67%. Yesterday Catalan leader Carles Puigdemont called for calm whilst Spain’s central
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Frank Shostak
  The Fed Is Confused about What Drives Inflation
On October 4 2017, the former governor of the Federal Reserve Daniel Tarullo in a speech at the Brookings think-tank in Washington said Fed policy makers do not have a reliable theory of what drives inflation. According to Tarullo, central bankers should pay less attention to theoretical models and more to actual data. However, how is it possible to make any sense of the data without having a reliable theory?The Importance of TheoryOne purpose of a theory is to enable one to ascertain the defini
Monday, October 16, 2017
Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
LBMA 2017: Spain, Silver and 'Lower Forever'
Precious metals history and macro-outlook from LBMA conference... LITTLE so far on precious metals prices or supply and demand at LBMA 2017 here in Barcelona, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. Not directly at least. But the market itself cares little about price direction. The refiners, carriers, vaulters, dealers, brokers and bankers meeting at the London Bullion Market Association's annual conference focus instead on volumes, margin and – most of all – get
Monday, October 16, 2017
Steve Saville - Speculative Investor
Gold, the stock market and the yield curve
The yield curve is a remarkably useful leading indicator of major economic and financial-market events. For example, its long-term trend can be relied on to shift from flattening to steepening ahead of economic recessions and equity bear markets. Also, usually it will remain in a flattening trend while a monetary-inflation-fueled boom is in progress. That’s why I consider the yield curve’s trend to be one of the true fundamental drivers of both the stock market and the gold market. Not surprisin
Monday, October 16, 2017
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
Zimbabwe Inflates, Again…
In November 2008, Zimbabwe experienced the second highest recorded inflation rate in history, and with that, it entered the Hanke-Krus World Hyperinflation Table. That’s when the annual inflation rate reached a peak of 89.7 sextillion (10^21) percent (see table below). At this point, prices were doubling every 24.7 hours. During Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation episode (2007-2008), the Reserve Bank of Zim
Sunday, October 15, 2017
John Butler - Goldmoney
Common commodity misconceptions 
Commodities are the most basic economic goods, providing essential inputs into progressively more complex goods at advanced stages of production. Yet the economic mainstream generally fails to understand commodities, treating them as distinct from the processes whereby they are created and the processes they subsequently enable, when in fact they are an integral part of a dynamic, complex, adaptive economic system. A correct understanding of commodities is essential if we are to understand what
Saturday, October 14, 2017
Gary Tanashian - Biwii
Update on Q4 Pivot View for Stocks and Gold
By Gary TanashianReference a post from August 11: Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and GoldStock Market StatusIn the above-linked article we noted several legs that could be kicked out from under the S&P 500’s table in Q4 2017. The stock market blew right through one of them, which was a bearish (on average) seasonal trend for the 2nd half of September. No one indicator is a be all, end all. In sum, they define probabilities. But price is the ultimate arbiter and as of today, price says ‘sti
Friday, October 13, 2017
Adam Hamilton - Zealllc
Gold Miners’ Q3’17 Preview
With the third quarter’s earnings season now underway, the gold miners will soon join in and report their latest results.  No data is more highly anticipated by investors, for good reason.  Quarterly reports dispel the dense fogs of herd sentiment that usually obscure gold stocks, revealing their operations’ underlying fundamental realities.  Q3’17’s upcoming results are likely to prove quite bullish for this neglected sector. Four times a year publicly-traded
Friday, October 13, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
“Fade” the little guy for profit!
As many of you know, I worked in the brokerage industry as a stockbroker/branch manager for 23 years. During that time and the 10+ years since, I have seen the “herd” move(d) violently in tandem many times. For years, smart investors would discern what retail investors were doing as a group and do the opposite quite profitably. It has been said and I have to agree, “the little guy is almost always wrong, and wrong at the wrong time”. Fade the little guy, it is usually quite profitable! We are ag
Friday, October 13, 2017
Jan Skoyles - GoldCore
U.S. Mint Gold Coin Sales and VIX Point To Increased Market Volatility and Higher Gold
– US Mint gold coin sales and VIX at weakest in a decade – Very low gold coin sales and VIX signal volatility coming – Gold rises 1.7% this week after China’s Golden Week; pattern of higher prices after Golden Week – U.S. Mint sales do not provide the full picture of robust global gold demand – Perth Mint gold sales double in September reflecting increased gold demand in both Asia and Europe – Middle East demand likely high given geopolitical risks – Iran seeing increased gold demand and Iran’s
Friday, October 13, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Yuan and Gold
In the previous editions of the Market Overview, we have already analyzed the relationship between gold and some major world currencies, such as the U.S. dollar, the euro, or the Japanese yen. But what is the link between the Chinese yuan (officially: renminbi) and the yellow metal? Let’s check it out. Chart 1: The USD/CNY exchange rate (red line, right axis) and the price of gold (yellow line, left axis, London P.M. Fix) from January 1981 to September 2017. As one can see in the chart above,
Friday, October 13, 2017
Jason Hamlin - Gold Stock Bull
Gold, Gold Stocks, and Gold Favorable News
Recent News: Four hurricanes arrived in six weeks.  Harvey, Irma, Maria, and Nate have caused hundreds of billions in damage to the US.  Repairs and human misery will continue for months or years.  Many will never return to Puerto Rico, Houston, and Florida. Where will they go and what will it cost? Regardless, it means higher deficits, more debt, a weaker dollar and higher gold prices! Wildfires, literal and figurative: California wine country is burning out of control as of October 11.
Friday, October 13, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Is It Right Time for Reversals in EUR/USD and GBP/USD?
Earlier today EUR/USD and GBP/USD extended gains and reached their important resistance areas. Will currency bears use them to push the exchange rates lower? EUR/USD Quoting our Monday alert: (…) taking into account Friday drop to the green horizontal support line (based on the mid-August low) and the buy signals generated by the daily indicators, it seems that we may see a short-lived rebound (…) in the coming days.Will such price action change anything? In our opinion, it’s doubtful, bec
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
FOMC Minutes from September 2017 Meeting and Gold
Yesterday, the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting were released. What do they say about the Fed’s stance and what do they mean for the gold market? How can we summarize the recent FOMC minutes? As earlier this year, the FOMC members agreed that “the labor market had continued to strengthen and that economic activity had been rising moderately so far this year”. The U.S. central bankers also noted that the economic impact of recent hurricanes would only be short-lived. But the mos
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Stewart Thomson - Graceland Update
Gold's Technical Line Of Concern
The traditional post jobs report rally for gold is in full swing. This is the daily gold chart. Gold arrived at a key Fibonacci line at about $1268 as the US jobs report was released. The dollar has stalled against the yen, and that’s also good news for gold. Gold tends to stage great rallies in the days following the jobs report, and this rally is a particularly interesting one. Here’s why: First, Trump has ratcheted up his “hawk talk” in regards to North Korea and Iran. He’s scheduled to
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Young Guns of Gold Podcast – ‘The Everything Bubble’
– Precious Metal Roundtable discuss gold in 2017 and outlook – Gold +9.1% year to date; Performing well given Fed raising rates, lack of volatility and surge in stock markets – “People are expecting too much from gold” – Economy: Inflation indicators, recession on the horizon, global debt issues – Global demand: ETF inflows, Russia central bank purchases, Germany investment figures and international coin demand bode well for gold – “First monetary inflation, then asset inflation, next is price i
Thursday, October 12, 2017
Frank Shostak
Tax Cuts Without Spending Cuts Won't Grow the Economy
President Donald Trump proposed last month a tax plan that would lower the top individual tax rate to 35% from 39.6%. It would also lower the corporate income tax rate to 20% from 35%.The plan however, says nothing about how spending will be cut to avoid increasing deficits. According to supply-side economics — a relatively new school of economics — a reduction of tax rates and lower revenues for the government does not need to be offset by decreased government spending or increased borrowings.I
Wednesday, October 11, 2017
12345678910...