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Frank Shostak
Understanding Money Creation and the Trade Balance
According to conventional analysis, a key factor in exchange rate determination is the state of the balance of payments. It is held that as long as the US continues to run a large trade account deficit, which stood at $48.5 billion in January 2017, this is likely to keep pressure on the US dollar exchange rate against other currencies.Following this logic, an increase in imports gives rise to an increase in a demand for foreign currency. To obtain the foreign currency importers will sell the dom
Thursday, March 23, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Italy Seeks G7 Challenge to Trump’s Trade Protectionism: How About Starting With the EU?
The G20 watered down free trade rhetoric but Italy wants to try again. Italy will host the next G7 meeting, and Italy’s Prime Minister calls for G7 to Challenge Donald Trump. Italy has called on G7 countries to reject protectionism at their summit in Sicily in May, setting up a clash with Donald Trump just days after his administration’s trade stance caused conflict at a G20 meeting in Germany. The US forced a watering down of the language on trade after the G20 finance ministers’ meeting in B
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
A Word From Andy Schectman
For many years, the willingness of the world to accept dollars has been the key to the prosperity in the United States. Think about just how crazy it is that dollars created by the world’s biggest debtor nation, with nothing backing their value but the Government’s ability to tax and print, is accepted as the world’s reserve currency. The illusion of prosperity in the US, for years has been fostered by the grace of our foreign creditors. But it is becoming obvious, that these overseas investors
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
“Me First” Philosophy: G20 Waters Down Free Trade Language
G20 announcements are typically nothing but hot air because what countries pledge and what countries actually do are two different things. In this case, however, the attitude change is real and concerning as a Watered-Down Commitment to Free Trade reflects Trump’s America first agenda that every country is sure to follow. Finance ministers from the world’s biggest economies have dropped pledges to renounce protectionism in a meeting marked by tension over trade between the US and others includi
Monday, March 20, 2017
USA GOLD - USA Gold
The Daily Market Report: Gold Poised for Solid Weekly Gain
USAGOLD/Peter A. Grant/03-17-17 Gold remains firm, poised for its first positive weekly close in three-weeks. The yellow metal rebounded smartly on Wednesday after the Fed announced policy and economic projections, extended higher yesterday and is maintaining the bulk of those gains today. Minneapolis Fed dove Kashkari reiterated why he dissented on this week’s rate hike, noting that inflation remains below the Fed’s target and that slack in the labor market remains. He also said the Fed should
Saturday, March 18, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
ECB Declares Victory Over Deflation: Hallelujah!
ECB President Mario Draghi Declares Victory Over Deflation. That’s much like shouting hallelujah when you miss the game-winning field goal. Mario Draghi has declared victory against deflation and moved a step towards ending the European Central Bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy, sending the euro and German bond yields higher as investors bet on the end of crisis-era stimulus measures. Facing growing pressure from monetary hawks in Germany, the ECB president said the bank decided to change its
Thursday, March 16, 2017
Frank Shostak
By Itself, a Chinese Sell-Off in US Debt Won't Imperil the Dollar
After climbing to $1.315 trillion by July 2011, China’s holdings of US Treasuries have been in a downtrend closing at $1.058 trillion by December last year — a fall of 19.5%.As a percentage of total foreign holdings of US Treasuries, China’s holdings fell from 28.2% in July 2011 to 17.6% by December 2016.There is a strong consensus view that a sharp fall in China’s holdings of US Treasuries could seriously weaken the US dollar and cause a significant rise in the US interest rate structure. How r
Wednesday, March 15, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
Extremes To The Extreme
It’s just one day before the Ides of March; when not one, not two, but three potentially explosive “PM bullish, everything-else-bearish” factors are “scheduled” to occur.  During which, Andrew Maguire claims the wholesale physical gold market – where the world’s largest buyers, like Central banks and sovereign funds, play – has never been tighter; with massive unseen buy orders at the $1,200/oz level.  Will this in fact “break” the paper market in the next few months, as he anticipates?  I guess
Tuesday, March 14, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
EU Crisis Is Existential – Importance of Tomorrow’s Vote
EU Crisis Becoming Existential… Dutch Vote Tomorrow and Why It Matters The leader of the National Front in France, Marine Le Pen, has hailed Britain’s decision to leave the EU – and has called for France to hold a similar referendum The EU is facing an existential crisis and does not look like it will survive the massive political and financial challenges it is faced with. This has ramifications for investors in the EU itself and globally as the collapse of one of the world’s largest trading blo
Tuesday, March 14, 2017
Bullion Vault
Gold Prices Hold 'Psychological $1200' as US Fed Decision Trumps Brexit, Dutch Election
GOLD PRICES held above $1200 per ounce Monday morning in Asia and London, retaining a 4% drop for this month so far ahead of this week's key central bank interest-rate decision from the US Federal Reserve, writes Steffen Grosshauser at BullionVault. Wednesday will also see the Netherlands go to the polls, with the anti-Euro anti-Islam Geert Wilders' Freedom Party projected to win a majority in the Tweede Kamer.
Monday, March 13, 2017
Chris Martenson
When This All Blows Up...
This report marks the end of a series of three big trains of thought. The first explained how we’re living through the Mother Of All Financial Bubbles. The next detailed the Great Wealth Transfer that is now underway, siphoning our wealth into the pockets of an elite few. This concluding report predicts how these deleterious and unsustainable trends will inevitably ‘resolve’ (which is a pleasant way of saying ‘blow up’.) The Ka-POOM Theory In terms how this will all end, we favor the scenario pu
Monday, March 13, 2017
Michael J. Kosares - USA Gold
Why I own gold now, by investor of $2.8 billion
What investment/David Thorpe/3-10-2017 “Cutler has around 5 per cent of the fund deployed in gold. He told What Investment, ‘if you look at the different possible economic scenarios we are faced with now. The first is that we are all going to become like Japan, with no growth, and very low bond yields. Well, the number one reason not to own gold is that it pays no income, but in this scenario, bond yields are very low or negative so nothing pays an income, and that’s good for gold.’ Cutler conti
Sunday, March 12, 2017
Frank Shostak
How Central Banks Enable the Money-Creation Process
According to traditional economics textbooks, the current monetary system amplifies the initial monetary injections of money. The popular story goes as follows: if the central bank injects $1 billion into the economy and banks have to hold 10% in reserve against their deposits, this will cause the first bank to lend 90% of this $1 billion. The $900 million in turn will end up with the second bank, which will lend 90% of the $900 million. The $810 million will end up with a third bank, which in t
Saturday, March 11, 2017
Mark O'Byrne - gold.ie
Gold $10,000 Coming – “Time To Prepare Is Now”
James Rickards: Long-Term Forecast For $10,000 Gold James Rickards, geopolitical and monetary expert and best selling author of the ‘The New Case for Gold’ has written an interesting piece for the Daily Reckoning on why he believes gold will reach $10,000 in the long term. Gold in USD Adjusted for Inflation 1970-2017 – Macrotrends.net He warns of the many systemic and geopolitical risks including the EU elections, from nuclear North Korea, tensions with Iran and “rapidly rising tensions between
Friday, March 10, 2017
Mac Slavo - ShtfPlan
“They Are Erupting”: Alaskan Volcano Throws Ash 35,000 Feet Interrupting Commercial Flights
Volcanic eruption in Alaska’s Aleutian Islands as seen from ISS. Is a major seismic event headed our way? There is no way to know for sure, but science warns that hotspots like the San Andreas fault in Southern California are “overdue” for the big one, which frequently occurs every hundred years or so. If the earth doesn’t release enough steam from time to time, larger pressures can build up, creating event more catastrophic disasters. A volcano in Alaska’s Aleutian Islands has been erupting qui
Friday, March 10, 2017
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
The fateful date
Caesar: What sayest thou to me now? Speak once again. Soothsayer: Beware the ides of March. Caesar: He is a dreamer; let us leave him: pass. This famous advice, according to Shakespeare, was ignored with fatal consequences for Julius Caesar. Markets may be being similarly complacent ahead of this anniversary date next week. The Fed has signalled that it will raise interest rates at the FOMC’s March meeting, timed for the same day. It so happens that this fateful date coincides with the end of th
Thursday, March 9, 2017
Andy Hoffman - Miles Franklin
How Technology, And Incompetence, Destroyed The World
In this weekend’s “same as it ever was – Bitcoin, gold, and a rapidly changing world,” I expressed my staunch disagreement with Peter Schiff’s views about Bitcoin – whilst simultaneously, commending him for being the best political and economic analyst in the blogosphere; which yesterday, was demonstrated in this must listen analysis of the Trump Administration’s comically pathetic “Trumpcare” proposal.  And I do mean must listen – so you can truly understand just how dysfunctional, and destruct
Thursday, March 9, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Trade Deficit Steepens Led by China: Top Six Offenders
The International trade deficit widened to $48.5 billion matching the Econoday consensus. Don’t give the economists too much credit because the preliminary numbers on goods gave a big tip on what was going to happen. Today’s numbers reflect goods and service. January’s trade deficit came in very deep but at least right on expectations, at $48.5 billion and reflecting a surge in foreign consumer and vehicle imports and higher prices for imported oil. January imports rose 2.3 percent from Decembe
Wednesday, March 8, 2017
The Gold Report
MAG Silver's World-Class Property Just Keeps Getting Better
MAG Silver appears to have the Midas touch: Everything it drills turns up silver—with a gold byproduct and lots of zinc, lead and copper thrown in for good measure. MAG's first drill hole discovered the Juanicipio vein and hole #16 discovered the Valdecañas vein, both world-class deposits. In this interview with The Gold Report, MAG CEO George Paspalas discusses the company's JV in the Fresnillo Trend, the latest off-the-chart deep discoveries and where MAG goes from here.
Wednesday, March 8, 2017
Ronan Manly - Bullion Star
More Bad News for the LBMA Silver Price, but an Opportunity for Overhaul
On Friday 3 March 2017, in a surprise announcement with implications for the global silver market, the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) informed its members that the current administrator and calculation agent of its recently launched LBMA Silver Price auction, Thomson Reuters and the CME Group respectively, will be pulling out of providing their services to the problematic London-based silver price benchmark within the near future. Thomson Reuters and the CME Group issued identical stat
Wednesday, March 8, 2017
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