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Articles related to Theory
 
Phoenix Capital - Gains Pains & Capital
U.S. Treasury Secretary: I Assume Fort Knox Gold Is Still There
U.S. Treasury Secretary: I Assume Fort Knox Gold Is Still There US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin visits Fort Knox Gold Later tweeted ‘Glad gold is safe!’ Only the third Treasury Secretary to visit the fortified vault, last visit was 1948 Last Congressional visit was 1974 Speculation over existence of gold in Fort Knox is rife Concerns over Federal Reserves lack of interest in carrying to an audit on gold Gold was last counted in 1953, nine years before Mnuchin was born Mnuchin may be looking
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
The fiscal benefits of free trade
Western governments have an overriding problem, and that is they have reached or exceeded the bounds of taxation, at a time when legally mandated welfare costs are accelerating. Treasury departments in all the welfare nations are acutely aware of this problem, to which there’s no apparent solution. The economic recovery, so consistently forecast since the great financial crisis, has hardly materialised and has added to the problem.There is, if treasury economists could only understand it, a solu
Saturday, August 19, 2017
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
It’s Getting Uncomfortable in the Prices, Interest Money Box
We’ve been talking about The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner. July 23, 2017: The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner July 31, 2017: The Midas Paradox #2: Blame Gold August 3, 2017: The Midas Paradox #3: It’s So Because I Say It Is August 11, 2017: The Midas Paradox #4: Much Ado About Nothing I’ve mentioned many times the “Prices, Interest, Money Box” that economists got themselves into beginning in the 1870s, and are still in today. The result of this, regarding the Great Depression, is
Friday, August 18, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Investment Advice in Four Words: Have Patience, Avoid Bubbles
A relations manager for Ted Thomas reached out last week and asked: “What is your most valuable advice to people who are beginner investors so that they can get great results in the long term?” The answer form had no formatting options. Here is a detailed response, with links. Have Patience, Avoid Bubbles The TINA theory (there is no alternative other than stocks and bonds) is a path to poor returns. Cash and gold are indeed options. I discussed TINA in Median Price-to-Revenue Ratio Higher in A
Friday, August 18, 2017
Frank Shostak
Do Seasonal Adjustments Help Identify Business Cycles?
Various statistics that governments produce on a regular basis carry the label "seasonally adjusted". What is the meaning of this label? According to popular thinking the data that is observed over time (labelled as time series) is determined by four factors, which are:The trend factorThe cyclical factorThe seasonal factorThe irregular factorIt is accepted that the trend determines the general direction of the data over time, while the cyclical factor causes movements that are related to the bus
Friday, August 18, 2017
Sprott Money
Bitcoin Has No Yield, but Gold Does
Last week I said: It is commonly accepted to say the dollar is “printed”, but we can see from this line of thinking it is really borrowed. There is a real borrower on the other side of the transaction, and that borrower has powerful motivations to keep paying to service the debt. Bitcoin has no backing. Bitcoin is created out of thin air, the way people say of the dollar. The quantity of bitcoins created may be strictly limited by Satoshi’s design. We referred to the dollar as being borrowed
Thursday, August 17, 2017
Przemyslaw Radomski CFA - SunshineProfits
Gold’s Breaks Below $1,270 – Third Time Lucky?
The last couple of years and – in particular – the last couple of months were very difficult for gold traders – i.e. they were boring. Despite several huge daily price swings, the precious metals market has not been going anywhere, moving in and around the $1,100 - $1,300 price range. Gold got to the point where this lack of volatility is by itself an extreme sign pointing to a much bigger price swing in the market, as the periods of very high and very low volatility tend to follow each other. G
Wednesday, August 16, 2017
Jason Hamlin - Gold Stock Bull
Why The Bitcoin Price Could Top $1 Million
The price of Bitcoin made a new record high above $4,300 today and is now up roughly 350% year to date or 643% over the past 12 months. If you add in the free Bitcoin Cash distributed to Bitcoin holders, the current value of Bitcoin is closer to $4,600. In this article, I will lay out the case for why a Bitcoin price of $1 million is not as outlandish as it appears at first blush. While some people are saying it could hit this level by 2030, I think we could see the Bitcoin price reach $1 milli
Monday, August 14, 2017
Chris Powell - GATA
FLASH: Wall Street Journal acknowledges gold leasing and swaps question ...
* * * In the report appended here the newspaper gets a Fed official to say that the Fed does not lease the gold of other nations. Well, of course not. But do those other nations lease or swap gold, or did they? And does the U.S. government lease or swap gold, or did it? If so, why? The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, William Dudley, was asked that question in public last year and ran away from it as fast as he could. It's on video: http://www.gata.org/node/16341 Over the last
Monday, August 14, 2017
Sprott Money
“What, Me Worry?” Markets - Gary Christenson
Mad Magazine introduced Alfred E. Neuman (What, Me Worry?) in the 1950s. He did NOT become a central banker. That is “fake news.” Global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, created “What, Me Worry?” markets after the 2008 crash. There has been little worry since the November election, until now. But the market worry level may have increased. Changes between highs and lows in two days – until time of this writing: Date Aug. 8 Aug. 10 DOW
Sunday, August 13, 2017
James Howard Kunstler
  Battle of the Behemoths 
As the empire deliquesces into a fetid slurry of economic failure, we stand ankle deep in the rising swamp waters witnessing the futile battle of the giants, Walmart and Amazon. Neil Howe, co-author of The Fourth Turning, wrote this week that “[t]he Amazon-Walmart rivalry will determine the future of retail.” Well, it seems that way, perhaps, and I understand why a lot of people would imagine it, but I would draw some different conclusions. What we’re seeing is more like the battle between Godzi
Friday, August 11, 2017
Jason Hamlin - Gold Stock Bull
“What, Me Worry?” Markets
Mad Magazine introduced Alfred E. Neuman (What, Me Worry?) in the 1950s. He did NOT become a central banker. That is “fake news.” Global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, created “What, Me Worry?” markets after the 2008 crash.  There has been little worry since the November election, until now. But the market worry level may have increased.  Changes between highs and lows in two days – until time of this writing: Date                       Aug. 8                   Aug. 10 DOW       
Friday, August 11, 2017
Alasdair Macleod - Finance and Eco.
Cryptocurrency - its status as money
The cryptocurrency craze is fascinating to an economist, or at least a student of catallactics, because it is a test of the theory of exchange ratios and prices, which is what catallactics is about.For this reason, the outcome of the cryptocurrency craze is of great theoretical interest. It is also of interest to students of the psychology of speculation.Supporters of cryptocurrencies claim they are money. If they are unable to substantiate this claim, then we must conclude that cryptocurrencies
Thursday, August 10, 2017
Sprott Money
Dumb And Dumber: Money Keeps Pouring In - John Rubino
Someday, stock, bond and real estate valuations will matter again. And the mechanism by which this return to sanity is achieved will probably be the torrent of money now flowing in from people who, for various reasons, don’t care about (or understand) the prices they’re paying. Millennials, for instance, seem to have reached the “beginners’ mistakes” phase of their financial lives. They’re major buyers of recreational vehicles – see The Perfect Crash Indicator Is Flashing Red — and are
Thursday, August 10, 2017
Mac Slavo - ShtfPlan
Did A Novelist From The 1800s Warn Us In Advance That Donald Trump Would Be ‘The Last President’?
This article was originally published by Michael Snyder at The Economic Collapse Blog I am about to share with you one of the strangest things that I have come across in a very long time.  In the late 1800s, author Ingersoll Lockwood wrote a series of novels which appear to have striking parallels to events happening today.  In his first two novels, The Travels and Adventures of Little Baron Trump and His Wonderful Dog Bulgar and Baron Trump’s Marvelous Underground Journey, an extremely wealthy
Thursday, August 10, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
How Much Gold Should the Common Man Own?
Earlier today, I had the pleasure of discussing gold, equity valuations, bond bubbles, and inflation with Greg Hunter at USA Watchdog. In the interview, I mentioned the nearly “everything bubble” and stated a belief that gold was one thing that was not in a bubble. Following the interview, Hunter asked me to put my thoughts on gold and the “nearly” everything bubble in writing. Specifically, Hunter asked: “How Much Gold Should the Common Man Own?” My answer follows. First, please consider my US
Wednesday, August 9, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Bitcoin vs Gold: Peter Schiff vs Max Keiser – Who is Right? Bitcoins the New Beaver Pelts?
A major debate topic came up between Max Keiser and Peter Schiff at the Freedom Fest conference on July 19-22 in Las Vegas.: Bitcoin vs Gold. Max Keiser is a huge proponent of Bitcoin. Peter Schiff says “These digital currencies might make fiat currencies look good. That’s how bad they are.” The video was well produced, thanks to Stacy Hebert. It’s well worth a play in entirety. Bitcoins the New Beaver Pelts As noted in my clip, I think Schiff is on the right side of the debate. This is my ta
Tuesday, August 8, 2017
Mish - Global Economic Analysis
Debunking MMT, Keynesianism, Monetarism: Reader asks “What theories do you believe?” Mish Reading List
In Central Banks Puzzled as Global Inflation Hits Lowest Level Since 2009: Solving the Puzzle I stated: “It’s no mystery why central bankers are mystified: Collectively, they are economically illiterate fools engaged in Keynesian and Monetarist group think.” Reader Jon wants to know what I do believe and if I have any links. Specifically, Jon asked: “Mish, if you are not a Keynesian nor a monetarist, what theories do you believe and do you have links or references about them?” I subscribe to th
Tuesday, August 8, 2017
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
Much Ado About Nothing
We’ve been talking about The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner. July 23, 2017: The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner July 31, 2017: The Midas Paradox #2: Blame Gold August 3, 2017: The Midas Paradox #3: It’s So Because I Say It Is Today, I promised that we would take a look at some of these “supply and demand for gold” factors that Sumner talks about. Supply is pretty stable during this time, either in terms of mining or aboveground gold, so it is really about demand. I’ve talked about t
Saturday, August 5, 2017
Nathan Lewis - New World Economics
It’s So Because I Say It Is
We’ve been talking about The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner. July 23, 2017: The Midas Paradox (2015), by Scott Sumner July 31, 2017: The Midas Paradox #2: Blame Gold The primary claim of the book is that gold’s value soared higher, in an unprecedented and disastrous fashion, sometime beginning around 1929. Over the years, there have been a number of arguments that gold’s value goes up and down by substantial amounts. Other people have said that gold’s value is basically stable, and doesn’
Friday, August 4, 2017
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